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[Marius Paun 🇬🇷🇹🇩 @MariusPaun18]

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@ECiocu @1001calatorii Și în Grecia la fel

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@swisstrader09 Great video and clear explanations

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@CryptoTony__ You are the best ❤️

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Is #Bitcoin math?

What if BTC is following a predictable timeline of tops, bottoms, and blow-off peaks?

Here’s a model projecting the next potential ATH and why $190,000 by 2029 is aligned with previous cycles.

Bookmark this. Let’s dive in: 🧵👇
Last cycle:
Bitcoin topped ~Oct21 > Nov22 (~378days)

Last bottom to top:
~Nov22 to Oct25 > (~1064days)

This cycle:
Bitcoin topped ~Oct25 > Oct/Nov26 (378days?)

Next bottom to top:
~Oct26 to Sept/Oct29 > (~1064days?)

If we do live in a simulation, by this model, the bottom of this bearmarket will be somewhere in Oct/Nov this year.

Drawdowns last 3 cycles:
2013-2015: -86.9%
2017-2018: -84.2%
2021-2022: 77.5

If we apply a similar softening trend (say, another ~6% drop), the 2025–2026 drawdown would likely land around:

77.5% - 6% = 71.5% & that would put $BTC around $36k-40k ATL in 2026.

We will be exiting the accumulation zone somewhere in Oct27, +350 days after the bottom, like we did from Nov22 to Oct23.

Based on this model, the next top for Bitcoin will be somewhere between $180,000 - $190,000 in Sept/Oct2029.

The conclusion and investment thesis part, for investors who understand that Bitcoin is a longterm allocation:

Potential CAGR for the next 3 years:
ATL 2026 = ~$40,000
ATH 2029 = ~$190,000

Then the potential CAGR will be ~67.8% year from 2026 till 2029, beating by far #SP500 and most of the other TradFi assets.

As all models, they work until they don't, so take this with a grain of salt, more like a potential guideline based of what happened till now.

NotaBene: the indicator you see on the chart is Ichimoku, the only indicator I've been using for the past 10 years constantly and the red+green Clouds are just potential projections of its structures.

If this helped frame your long-term thesis, hit that like & ReTweet 🫡

[Marius Paun 🇬🇷🇹🇩 @MariusPaun18]

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[Marius Paun 🇬🇷🇹🇩 @MariusPaun18]

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