BIG PRICES NEED BIG SHILLS - a thread:
Something that has bothered me ever since I entered this space in 2017-2018 is that I have not truly believed in basically any narrative in the space expect that potentially if global Gov's allow, $BTC may be able to become a digital gold for younger people and end up stabilizing around a Market Cap the size of Gold (or they dilute each other).
Everything else in Crypto hasn't made sense to me long term:
๐$ system overthrow? Lol y would they let that happen? They would rather kill you.
๐Young ppl wanna live in VR: really? The internet is making us all miserable and alone. Look at the data in kids since 1995 & Johnathan Haidt's work. Young ppl are not doing well in their current space and isolating tech, echo chambers etc. making things worse. We're seeing cultural discourse with this (aka "touch grass guys" - we know it)
๐Replaces tradfi $$ transfer infrastructure - okay cool maybe. But you think us little guys will be the ones profiting off of that? Why would banks buy incredibly inflated BTC/existing asset to do this when they could introduce their own and sell it to the masses through colluding with the government (oh look - CBDC's)
๐Gonna replace traditional fiat systems - why does any normie not interested in crypto want to stop using a credit card and start dealing with crypto? Theres a technical barrier to entry that this market sucks at trying to get rid of.
I've always felt everything except the gold narrative in this space is a scam until proven otherwise. So how do I try to make money in a market I feel this way about?
BIG SHILL = BIG PRICE.
A nice current example: $UNIBOT (see chart below)
OMGGGG if you hadn't heard about UNIBOT the last couple month idk how. Right? COUNTLESS tweets from larger accounts talking about how much better than uniswap it is. Analyses of how much money the team is making and how easy its going to be for them to capture market share through incentives, revenue share, etc etc. "Use my ref link" etc. This is the best thing ever right? The numbers WORK.
Then why is price down 75% right now? I thought this was an indispensable tool for trading defi with healthy amounts of funds to ensure market stickiness? Go look at the big accounts who were shilling and see how much they are talking about it now vs. when price was at $100-$200.
PRICES NEED SHILLS.
How will the people who get in on initial sales cash out at high prices if there is not enough liquidity to cash out in a smooth manner? You need to drum up demand.
I think there may be an edge in quantifying the number of mentions and engagement a coin is getting, and figuring out what a typical correlation to its price chart looks like for any given shilled shitcoin. Could legit just watch for trending shills on new coins, hop on, and start selling when the shilling frequency begins to drop.
Will try to add to this with better details and data. But hope this paints a decent picture.
Trying to provide some value and provoking thoughts here. Wanna get into the discourse boys.
Let me know what you think about this concept! Stupid? Not fleshed out enough? Missing details?
Also FWIW I am not critcizing anyone/project. I am trying to discuss a strategy for improving performance on low-caps.๐ค
You ever just take a sec & appreciate the difference in the comments section on youtube when the video is just a music mix VS. when its some topic?
Topic vid: X is wrong, idiot! your dumb! Never met such a fool!
Music vid: yes dj keep spinning! Vibes good af! Scenery epic ty DJ!
Just tried to login to @facebook to use marketplace. I never use it so I had to verify my email.
THEN THEY SAID I NEED TO UPLOAD A VALID FORM OF IDENTIFICATION TO ACCESS MY ACCOUNT HAHAHAHA
FACEBOOK WANTS ME TO KYC. The less time I spend online, the more insane it seems.
Just tried to login to @facebook to use marketplace. I never use it so I had to verify my email.
THEN THEY SAID I NEED TO UPLOAD A VALID FORM OF IDENTIFICATION TO ACCESS MY ACCOUNT HAHAHAHA
FACEBOOK WANTS ME TO KYC. The less time I spend online, the more insane it seems.
Ppl are on socials, 'armchair-quarterbacking' society as if they know all the problems & have all the solutions - but people (not them tho) just aren't smart enough to figure it out.
"Oh yeah X is why USA is collapsing, we need to do Y but THOSE people just wont listen".
๐จ MAJOR ALERT: DO NOT INTERACT WITH ANY WEB3 SITES FOR THE TIME BEING
2 hours ago, MintDefense detected a major site had been hacked. Further investigations revealed that many other sites got compromised as well.
It seems to be a broader issue in many web3 sites, potentially in a web3 library.
๐จ DO NOT USE ANY WEB3 SITES UNTIL THERE'S MORE CLARITY.
@TheFlowHorse Classic politician play. Tell you voters you are going to make a bunch of change you know you can't accomplish, get elected on that. Then half-ass propose stuff that fails every time. When questioned, just blame "the patriarchy" or "the establishment politicians" etc.
Last night $ZETA along with related projects $MAIL & $DECOM were Rug-Pulled for 381.8ETH ($855,662)
We explain how we spotted what others missed, and visualise it with our unreleased Clustering Tool
Watchlist Largecaps from the quoted tweet doing well.
Top coins & positions for me at the moment, in order of portfolio weighting:
$SOL
$BTC
$ETH
$INJ
$FET
$RNDR
$LDO
$PYR (would prefer this above LDO, will likely dca to accomplish)
Nice to see pretty decent relative strength on this coins in relation to $BTC on this latest dump.
I'm continuing to spend less time on twitter & I have seen it improve my overtrading an FOMO a TON.
I am experimenting with shutting out basically all noise except 3-4 sources of info & market commentary. It has been saving me alot of time that did not create value for myself previously.
Lessons being learned. Nice to feel progress.
Cheers & happy Monday! New week. New opportunities. โ๏ธ
Current watchlist built to observe relative strength assuming trends hold, as well as degen on-chain stuff since opportunity seems to continue to rotate within that space.
$SOL
$LINK
$RNDR
$INJ
$FET
$LDO
$SYN
$RLB
$STX
$AKT
$UNIBOT
lowcaps:
$ETF
$BITCOIN
$ESPR
$WINR
$SPX
$NEWS
$PINT
$MOG
$CROWN
$JOE
$IBIT
special mention $NERD (TGE today)
@cents2crypto Right! Many times when we see the whole crowd agreeing on some narrative, it doesn't play out exactly that way. Why should this be different?
What if the "this isn't the bull market run" comments on this current rally end up incorrect?
How do you adjust your strategy?
How do you adjust your strategy NOW to ensure you minimize losses and capture gains regardless of what the chart ends up looking like months from now?
Narratives here come and go like weather patterns.
Common narrative at the last top was "this keeps going to 6 figures"
Common narratives tend to be dangerous.
What common narratives do you see on the TL now?
Weekend thoughts
$BTC long I took yesterday. I messed up setting my SL & had to re-enter. Didn't get to sharing here.
Felt like a good range play so sharing now. Took 25% tp so far