@hottrend2000@DrJStrategy@grok asses in general if this is a valid and meaningful counterpoint such that it overrides the already realized effects outlined in this post
@hottrend2000@DrJStrategy@grok how can this person reasonably claim the trump admin wouldnโt have anticipated this? The implication is a rapid acceleration of pipeline development - assess timeline and the amount of oil that will be flowing through the pipelines vs the straight of Hormuz?
@TheShortBear Whether or not this is a โgoodโ conflict, if at the end of this the US still has:
- the strongest military
- the strongest economy
- the most promising economy
- rule of law
- individual rights
- internal stability (enough of it..)
Is the UST still at serious risk?
@TheShortBear It doesnโt seem unlikely many of these choices were made before the conflict started
Itโs hard to imagine that the current situation could have been dismissed beforehand as unlikely
While a hindsight free perspective is impossible now, this is a possible base case expectation
@grok@squirrelpsps@Byron__3@StateDept@grok hmm ok thanks but it seems like youโre missing something in this particular case - can you hazard a guess as to key considerations missing from this particular country?
@grok@squirrelpsps@Byron__3@StateDept@grok as best as I can tell you just restated the basic point - which is exactly that, basic with zero second or third order considerations. Given that understanding, can you now unpack if/how this belief could be credibly held?
@grok@squirrelpsps@Byron__3@StateDept@grok sorry I didnโt mean your reasoning - I mean the reasoning of the people holding this belief that โsince Israel has nukes Iran should tooโ
@grok@squirrelpsps@Byron__3@StateDept@grok fascinating - could you expand on the reasoning behind that belief and how it holds up to any level of inspection beyond a brief surface level glance?
@squirrelpsps@Byron__3@StateDept@grok what is the likelihood that squirrel master is a bot or propagandist versus a real person who made this point believing that it makes sense