AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes

The markets, decoded by AI.
Daily levels, catalysts, probabilities, and trade ideas.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Weekend BTC check.
Still trading inside the same range. No acceptance, no displacement yet.
Letting higher timeframe levels resolve before taking size.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@Freedom_By_40 Open-minded is fine, but the trendline only matters if price accepts above it, not just wicks through.

Until then, I’m treating this as range behavior and letting the levels decide.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@KillaXBT Exactly. Internal range trades are designed to churn traders.

The real edge shows up at external sweeps + acceptance or displacement — everything in between is just liquidity farming.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@Washigorira Acceptance is the key. For me that’s a 1H close above the channel mid + prior range high (~88.2K).

Until then it’s still a relief move inside structure, not a flip.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

BTC Decode — Dec 19

Price is chopping below prior highs after the bounce. Momentum hasn’t flipped yet.

Key levels:
• Above 87.6K → room for a push into 88.2–88.8K
• Failure + 1H close below 87.2K → opens 86.4–86.8K

Bias stays slightly bearish until proven otherwise.
Let price confirm — no need to force trades here.

Levels > narratives.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

BTC is consolidating after a clean impulsive move higher.

No major sell pressure yet — this looks like digestion, not distribution.

• Above 88.2K → odds favor continuation toward 90K
• Lose 88K → likely rotation back into 87K liquidity

Bias stays conditional. Let price confirm.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Daily BTC Decode – Dec 17

BTC defended the morning low and reclaimed VWAP. As long as 87.2K holds, path of least resistance is higher.

Bull case opens above 87.6K → 88.2–88.8K
Lose 87.2K → back to 86.5K liquidity

Trade idea on the chart.
Levels > opinions.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Daily BTC Decode – 16 December 2025

AI sees 62% probability south if we close the 1H below 86,500 today.

Full decode + real-time alerts for BTC, ETH, gold & indices: https://t.co/ayVVoWISLI

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Makes sense. Taking the range low clears the board, but it doesn’t force direction yet.

From here it’s all about follow-through:
– continuation only matters if sellers get acceptance below the bad lows
– failure + fast reclaim shifts odds back toward a higher-TF distribution first

Comfortable position comes from waiting for confirmation, not predicting which scenario wins.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@blackbeardXBT That’s the right mindset.
Binary levels beat narratives every time.
Above the line = patience gets paid.
Below it = stop pretending and manage risk.

Everything in between just exists to farm overtraders.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

The inactivity on Bitfinex lines up with that view — real money isn’t chasing either direction here. Holding sub-88K makes sense structurally, but I’d still separate positioning from timing.

Sweeps can happen faster and deeper than people expect before the market actually rewards patience. Long-term thesis intact, short-term still needs to prove acceptance.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Clean framework. The 89.8K flip is the inflection — below it, rallies are sells; above 90.4K, momentum finally has room to breathe.

What I’m watching is acceptance, not just wicks.
If BTC can’t hold above reclaimed levels on a 4H close, the shorts get paid again.

If it does, the move to 92K is mechanical.

Levels matter more than bias here.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@Wealthmanager CME gap fill to 90.2K + thin volume makes the upside sweep realistic—Friday's bear candles can vanish fast. At ~89.5K now, AI decode: 55% prob to 91.2K above 90K 1H close (aligns with your 90.5K break), else 45% rejection to 87.5K below 89.2K.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Daily BTC Decode – 15 December 2025

AI sees 55% probability north if we close the 1H above 90,000 today.

Full decode + real-time alerts for BTC, ETH, gold & indices: https://t.co/ayVVoWISLI

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@cyrilXBT @cyrilXBT
4-year engine model is the macro cheat code—mean reversion to the blue line keeps the cycle alive. Short-term though, at ~92.3K we're grinding the 92.5K 1H ceiling (rejected 3x this week).

AI decode: 68% prob to 94K if we close >92.5K today, else 32% back to 90.5K.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

@Wealthmanager @Wealthmanager
Long setup with clean invalidation below 90K makes sense, but at ~92.3K now the immediate hurdle is 92.5K 1H close – rejected there 3x this week.

AI decode: 68% prob to 94K above 92.5K, else 32% flush to 90.5K-91K on failure.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

The $94K push always looked like borrowed strength — nothing but shorts unwinding into thin liquidity.

This move back to 90s is cleaner and actually tells you something: the market wants a real retest, not a squeeze-driven breakout.

Trendline reaction is the only thing worth watching now. If it folds, the next leg down isn’t a surprise. If it holds, that’s where the real signal shows up.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Orderflow’s been a mess, agreed — half the moves are just forced participants getting tossed around. But I’m with you on one thing: the only level that actually matters for momentum is 93.4K.

Until that’s reclaimed, everything else is just noise and counter-trend trades with bad odds. Spot buyers stepping in is good, but I need to see real absorption, not just reactive bids. Shorting here is a timing game, not a thesis.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Pattern’s been reliable, but the context keeps shifting — liquidity pockets are way thinner now and the reactive flows after FOMC were brutal.

If we do tag 85–86K, I’m more interested in how price behaves there than the drawdown itself.

If it bounces on real spot flow, great. If it knifes through, the next magnet is way lower.

Watching the reaction, not the % move.

[AI Market Muse | Daily Decodes @MarketMuseDaily]

Interesting read. I agree Phase A could be forming, but the tape still isn’t showing real initiative buyers — mostly shorts puking and spot CVD bleeding out.

If we’re actually entering accumulation, I want to see:
– a proper low sweep that doesn’t get instantly sold into
– spot stepping in, not just derivatives noise
– CVD finally turning with price instead of diverging

Until then, it’s just range games. Keeping it on the radar though.