Market With Hemant

Macro Market Analyst 📊
Specialised in identifying major BTC & market Tops/Bottoms
BTC $126K • Silver $118 • NIFTY 26.2K • Oil $58
Calls publicly documented.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

People blame the PM.
They blame the FM.
They blame GDP.
They blame crude oil.
They blame wars.
They blame Trump.
They blame manipulation.
There is always something to blame.

But sometimes, the uncomfortable truth is much simpler:

The market isn't the problem. Your lack of trading skills is.

We were on the right side of the market.
I publicly shared the short around 26.2K back in December, and documented the analysis publicly.

Then I took another short around August, again shared publicly, and captured 2K+ points from that move.

No hindsight. No deleted calls. No paid signal group.

And this is exactly why I keep saying:

Follow the right people. Learn from the right mentors.

Not someone selling you a magical indicator, a chart pattern, or a “100% accurate strategy” with endless bla bla bla.

Trading is not about finding a secret indicator.

It's about understanding market structure, liquidity, risk management, execution and psychology.

I have been sharing my analysis, calls and knowledge free of cost.

No subscription. No paid signals. No charge for guidance.

I may not have the recognition or follower count that some others have today.

That's okay.

I know what I've documented. I know what I've shared. And I know I didn't start sharing only after the move happened.

Maybe one day the crowd will come.

And when they do, I want them to be able to look back and say:

“He was already sharing it publicly when nobody was watching—and he never charged us for it.”

Build skill.
Build discipline.
Stop looking for excuses.

The market will always be there. The question is whether you'll be ready for it.

#NIFTY

NFA, DYOR

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

BTC Market Update 📊

As shared earlier, the 85.21K–85.88K zone remains the key area. BTC has recently closed above this zone and is continuing to hold above it, so for now we remain bullish and are looking for higher prices toward the 87.5K Yearly Open.

As long as BTC continues to hold above 85.21K, the bullish structure remains valid. A proper close back below 85.21K would change the current setup, and below that level we would start looking for short opportunities instead.

The broader “Uptober” bullish narrative is also gaining attention, which can continue supporting the upside in the short term. Historically, October has often been a strong month for BTC, although that obviously does not guarantee the same outcome this year.

At the same time, this is exactly why I am keeping the larger correction scenario in mind. A strong bullish narrative can continue attracting buyers and create the conditions for a later correction.

As mentioned earlier, I still think a larger downside move toward the 73K pending-liquidity area could develop sometime during October, but we will only focus on that if the price action actually starts building the setup.

For now, we are bullish. I would expect the current week to remain bullish unless BTC gives us a proper close back below 85.21K.

Key Levels 🎯

• 87.5K → Yearly Open / immediate major upside target
• 85.21K- 85.88K → key zone
• 81.67K → Pending liquidity
• 72.97K–73K → Major pending liquidity / larger correction objective

For now: bullish above 85.21K → 87.5K remains in focus. Below 85.21K on a proper close → reassess for shorts.

Not Financial Advice. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

DAY 19 — DAILY MORNING LEVELS
📅 05/10/2026

BTC
Upside key level: 90450-91100
Downside key level: 80809-82090

ETH
Upside key level: 2833-2859
Downside key level: 2435-2458

XRP
Upside key level:1.7316-1.7536
Downside key level: 1.3731-1.3898

SOL
Upside key level: 141.86-143.19
Downside key level: 109.42-110.07

BNB
Upside key level: 862.86-869.97
Downside key level: 739.67-742.01

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@OptionTrading03 we want 21700

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@Sanu9631 might be possible but I think it will take time may be when we will look for bear cycle starting.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

1/11

HYPE has continuously been showing PO3/distributive price behavior on higher timeframes, and I think this is something that should not be ignored technically.

There is also a strong liquidity curvature toward the downside.

I am not saying this scenario will definitely happen, and honestly, I am not sure whether it will be possible at all.

But technically, there are still some chances that HYPE could eventually move below its all-time low.

The probability may be very low, but the possibility is there, and I think it is important to keep that scenario in mind rather than assuming that HYPE can only go up from here.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@Cryptowithkhan 🫶

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

11/11

So, putting everything together:

Supply unlocks + extreme valuation + continuous outperformance + FOMO + PO3/distribution behavior + bearish HYPE/TOTAL3 + bearish HYPE/TOTAL + bearish HYPE/TOTAL3ES + bearish HYPE/ETH + liquidity concerns + the market's belief that HYPE will keep exploding.

Does this mean HYPE must crash?
No.

Could HYPE still pump?
Absolutely.

Could it become much stronger if the broader crypto market enters a powerful bull phase?

Yes, that is also possible.

But based on the current technical structure, I believe the downside risk is being underestimated.

There are still other perspectives I want to investigate — including the BNB/Hyperliquid competitive angle, institutional involvement, supply dynamics, regulatory developments, liquidity, and other factors.

With time, we can see which scenario actually develops.

For now, I would not blindly assume that because HYPE has performed extremely well, it must continue doing the same.

Might be HYPE becomes the next major crypto gem.

Maybe it becomes one of the most brutal downside examples of this cycle.

NFA. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

10/11

Then there is another interesting psychological/fundamental factor.

HYPE has already received very strong positive attention, including the Trump-related regulatory/onshoring narrative, which helped push HYPE significantly higher.

But I personally don't want to look at positive news in isolation.

Financial Markets has repeatedly shown that positive news can arrive around euphoric tops, while negative news often appears around bottoms.

We also have the previous HYPE + POPCAT/Hyperliquid manipulation incident as something worth remembering.

The incident involved a trader using multiple wallets and leveraged positions around POPCAT, resulting in a major trading disruption and losses for Hyperliquid's liquidity pool.

So the broader lesson for me is:

Liquidity is the real belief of the market.

If liquidity is there, price can be pushed much further than people expect — in either direction.

And the idea that someone could potentially try something similar on a much larger scale is a risk I would not completely dismiss.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@WEEX_Official ethereum:0x44ff8620b8ca30902395a7bd3f2407e1a091bf73

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

@WEEX_Official ethereum:0x44ff8620b8ca30902395a7bd3f2407e1a091bf73

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

3/3 🧵 — The interesting combination for me is:

Higher-timeframe accumulation

Repeated cyclic-demand tests

Defined accumulation levels

Clear TP structure

Previous ~$4.6B market-cap history

Potential for strong expansion if the market enters a real altcoin bull phase

And remember: crypto bull markets can produce extreme outliers.

We've seen even meme-driven assets reach enormous valuations. I'm not saying $VIRTUAL will do that.

I'm saying this is exactly why I prefer identifying potential setups early and then letting price prove the thesis.

Technically, $2.5876 is a realistic level to watch first, and after that we'll reassess the structure and market conditions before looking at higher levels.

I'll keep updating this structure as it develops.

Follow + repost + bookmark if you want to track the setup.

Free TG link is in my bio.

NFA. DYOR.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

1/3 🧵 — $VIRTUAL: THIS ONE COULD MOVE FAST 👀

$VIRTUAL is sitting in a confirmed higher-timeframe accumulation structure and is repeatedly testing its historical/cyclic demand zone.

One thing I've observed in these structures: when demand keeps getting tested again and again, eventually one of two things tends to happen — either demand breaks decisively, or price expands aggressively.

And $VIRTUAL currently looks interesting from that perspective.

Could this be another sudden expansion like $QNT?

Current price: ~$0.79

My technical roadmap:

🎯 TP1: $1.1966
🎯 TP2: $2.5876
🚀 TP3: Above $5.1229 / new ATH

The first target is the next major higher-timeframe structure, while $2.5876 is where the setup becomes much more interesting.

A strong expansion could potentially reach there in relatively few candles if momentum enters.

For accumulation:

My preferred areas are below ~$0.72 or a bullish retest of the Daily 200 EMA/SMA.

If BTC gives the deeper correction I've been expecting, that could also create better opportunities across alts.

For longer-term positioning, DCA with predefined levels makes more sense than trying to predict the exact bottom.

In a bull market, we never know which coin suddenly decides to move.

[Market With Hemant @Marketwithemant]

2/3 🧵 — NOW THE FUNDAMENTALS + MARKET-CAP MATH 📊

$VIRTUAL is a relatively newer project compared with Others.

Current figures from the data I'm using:

• Market Cap: ~$522M
• Circulating Supply: ~658M
• Total Supply: 1B
• FDV: ~$793M

I couldn't find enough reliable information from my research to confidently model the exact future token-unlock schedule, so I'm not going to assume there are zero future unlocks.

Let's stay conservative and work with the available supply data.

$VIRTUAL previously reached approximately $4.6B market cap around January 2025.

If the project revisits that market-cap level:

Using the current ~658M circulating supply:

$4.6B ÷ 658M ≈ $6.99

So roughly $7.

However, using the 1B total supply gives a much more conservative calculation:

$4.6B ÷ 1B = ~$4.60

That puts the ~$4.5–$4.6 area in the range of a full-supply valuation scenario.

And technically, that sits between our major expansion levels.

But don't get too excited yet. There is an important resistance area around $3.50–$3.60.

Even if the higher-timeframe accumulation expands, price still has to deal with major resistance on the way up.

My approach is simple:

$1.1966 → $2.5876 → reassess.

After that, we'll see whether the structure supports $3.5–$3.6, $4.5+, or $5.12+ / new ATH.

I'm not going to blindly predict the final target today.

Let the market build the structure first.