So the guy who literally called Huntington’s disease patients and their advocates a "swamp" is now knocking on the FDA's door again? The irony is truly unbelievable. The HD community remembers exactly who you are. 🤡
@mike98572986@DesertDweller93@peter_mantas $QURE @HDSA
$qure $clpt
Lmao
Somehow I missed this
Scientist Andy got a new job somehow
“HHS spokesperson Andrew Nixon will take a new job helping advise FDA communications and supporting Acting Commissioner Kyle Diamantas.”
https://t.co/s3NqMk7ShB
Once the 4-year data drops in Sept and the FDA regulatory overhang is officially cleared, this "risk discount" will vanish completely.
When the market realizes the path is clear, expect a massive upward revision.
#uniQure#Biotech#AMT130 $QURE (3/3)
Latest Wall St Price Targets for $QURE:
🎯 LEERINK: $70
🎯 MIZUHO: $68
🎯 RBC: $65 (Upside to $84)
🎯 Wolfe: $65 (Upgraded)
🎯 Barclays: $60
But here's the catch: These targets still heavily discount the stock due to lingering regulatory & clinical risks. 🧵(1/3)
For example, Wolfe upgraded $QURE noting the market currently prices in <50% odds of approval due to AdCom fears. Even their new $65 PT only assumes a 70% probability of success for AMT-130.
Wall Street is playing it safe. These are highly conservative base cases. (2/3)
3/3 In summary, these discussions focus on structuring the post-approval study framework rather than changing the core submission package.
Once aligned, $QURE expects to proceed with the BLA filing in Q3 as planned. An important milestone to follow closely.
1/3 A quick overview of what remains to be finalized between $QURE and the FDA ahead of the BLA submission.
As noted in the Q2 call, 3-year data is agreed upon as the primary basis for Accelerated Approval. The current focus is finalizing the confirmatory study design. 🧵👇
2/3 The key details currently being aligned for the confirmatory trial include: $QURE
• Finalizing the patient sample size
• Fine-tuning powering & efficacy bars for 36-month TFC
• Potential considerations for a pre-specified interim analysis
6/6 Bottom line: $QURE management isn't pumping—they're executing. Q3 BLA submission, Q3 UK filing, and 4-year data in September. September is set to be a defining catalyst for Huntington’s disease & gene therapy.
5/6 FDA agreed sham procedures are no longer required for confirmatory trials. Meanwhile, Q2 SG&A rose as $QURE aggressively hires commercial launch teams. With $ 810M+ cash funding operations into 2030, runway is fully de-risked.
4/6 Total biological proof: The Sept update won't just cover clinical scales (cUHDRS/TFC)—it includes CSF NfL change from baseline through 4 years. $QURE is set to prove hard neuroprotective efficacy, not just clinical scores.
3/6 Statistical rigor at its finest. CMO Walid Abi-Saab revealed the Enroll-HD control database was expanded by 6,000 to ~26,000 participants for the 4-year analysis. You only raise the bar that high if you KNOW your drug signal dominates the noise. $QURE
2/6 The BLA package for Accelerated Approval is already "complete and self-contained" based on 3-year data aligned with FDA. The upcoming 4-year data isn't a plea for approval—it’s a knockout punch for regulators & Wall St. $QURE
1/6 Why is $QURE management so quietly confident ahead of the 4-year AMT-130 readout in Sept? CEO Matt Kapusta entered a formal quiet period, stating they "very much look forward to sharing those results". The executive poise speaks volumes. 🧵👇
Why did UK's NIHR post this 5 days ago? Right when $QURE got their FDA Type B minutes, NIHR officially touted the "75% slowing of disease progression" for HD. They are proudly bragging about the AMT-130 trial at UCLH! Government validation right before ER is NO coincidence.
@HarrieScarlet Agreed. Charts are mostly noise ahead of such a binary event. The market will solely dictate the stock price based on the upcoming ER call—gauging the management's exact wording, execution plans, and their underlying confidence. $QURE