matilda binx

Researcher, vlog maker, somewhat responsible gumshoe. Vlog link

[Wholesome Side of 𝕏 @itsme_urstruly]

Never forget that the compass was invented before the clock because direction is more important than time.

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@bavedikian @BestBuy @FedEx It’s really on fed ex to take responsibility for their drivers. Best Buy chose to use fed ex as the carrier. Yea that’s awful. @FedEx

[Brandon Avedikian @bavedikian]

Bought a $1,742.80 camera online from BestBuy.

The FedEx delivery driver stole it. FedEx admitted it.

But BestBuy won’t give a refund. They said we need to “work with local law enforcement.”

Thought everyone should know if you buy from @BestBuy and a @FedEx driver steals what you paid for, your money is gone. Neither company will make it right.

I’ve spent over $30K at BestBuy and will never spend another penny there.

[Mandy Arthur @mandyarthur]

Israel is quietly HIJACKING your government RIGHT NOW with 5 bills you’ve NEVER heard of and you're too psyoped to notice.

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@MaryBowdenMD Look around most larger hospitals surrounding areas (usually within a mile) and you will find chop shop organizations.

[Hamilton 🇺🇸 @Watchman_motto]

Interesting concept for small flock field management. Would cost you a ton to set up, but it’s very cool.

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@badbake_offgrid @RealTalk8386 Beans are so much fun to grow, black beans especially

[🪡 @girlpov]

it's three in the morning and i just teared up

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@OwenBenjamin River peoples will stay with heavy rain but mulchould feel better on the body. Dark hemlock
Nice!

[Alex & Books 📚 @AlexAndBooks_]

Every man should read this quote:

Friedrich Nietzsche (1895)

[m̃ @hexesandspell]

The laws of attraction are simple: the muse never has to chase the artist.

[Barry Young @BarryYoungNZ]

A group of very sick elderly people received their last covid jab in Dec 2021.
On that Day.
54 Vaccinated.
25 Died.
Longest 'sequence' (consecutively jabbed who later died)....19
This group had a mortality rate that was HUGE. Approaching 50%.
HOWEVER....
The chances of seeing 19 people die in a vaccination time sequence like this in Monte Carlo Simulations (trying to randomly pick a sequence of 19):
ZERO.
Even after a Million simulations:
ZERO.
Try it yourself in R studio...

longest_run <- function(x) {
r <- rle(x)
max(r$lengths[r$values == 1], na.rm = TRUE)
}

N <- 54
D <- 25
obs_run <- 19

nsim <- 1000000

runs <- replicate(nsim, {

x <- c(rep(1, D), rep(0, N-D))
x <- sample(x)

longest_run(x)

})

p <- mean(runs >= obs_run)

cat("Observed run:", obs_run, "\n")
cat("Monte Carlo p-value:", p, "\n")

# Expected longest run under random arrangement
expected_run <- mean(runs)

# 95% simulation interval
ci <- quantile(runs, c(0.025, 0.975))

cat("Expected longest run:", round(expected_run, 2), "\n")
cat("95% simulation interval:", ci[1], "to", ci[2], "\n")
cat("Observed run:", obs_run, "\n")
cat("Monte Carlo p-value:", p, "\n")

RESULTS

> # Expected longest run under random arrangement
> expected_run <- mean(runs)
> # 95% simulation interval
> ci <- quantile(runs, c(0.025, 0.975))
> cat("Expected longest run:", round(expected_run, 2), "\n")
Expected longest run: 4.58
> cat("95% simulation interval:", ci[1], "to", ci[2], "\n")
95% simulation interval: 3 to 8
> cat("Observed run:", obs_run, "\n")
Observed run: 19
> cat("Monte Carlo p-value:", p, "\n")
Monte Carlo p-value: 0

[Velina Tchakarova @vtchakarova]

The curse of awareness by Nietzsche: He who sees too much ends up not fitting in anywhere.

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@alleytopfiles brave girl

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@Idontgive2u your body is made of germs.

[matilda binx @MatildaBinx00]

@TheChiefNerd