the most accurate AI model is only 6th at knowing when its wrong
we put 31 models and a human through 200 questions. claude opus 5 got the most right. fable 5.1 was best at knowing when to doubt itself
the human beat most of them
polymarket has claude at 0.1% to be the best model on sunday and anthropic at 80% to ipo above $1.25 trillion. being second best is worth a trillion apparently