@mdjcole@Magnus_Bishop@tnewtondunn Yeah agreed, invasion would be impossible. Attacks on CNI, select strikes against military installations, sabotage and sub-surface action however are likely; we currently - and if the £13.5bn figure comes to fruition - in future, will have limited options for credible defence.
@mdjcole@Magnus_Bishop@tnewtondunn@haynesdeborah Okay, you mention two Carriers; we don’t have enough personnel or aircraft to fully complement both. Nor the support vessels & escorts to put both to sea in any meaningful way.
Might I ask what makes you such an SME on this?
@mdjcole@Magnus_Bishop@tnewtondunn@haynesdeborah A military. We also aren’t well accustomed to defending against swarms of hundreds of OWAUAS. Our subsea infrastructure is myriad and a nightmare for such a small Royal Navy to defend. Oh… and Kaliningrad is only 1300km as the crow flies. BLUF; we aren’t anywhere near ready.
@mdjcole@Magnus_Bishop@tnewtondunn@haynesdeborah Again, not true. Sure in 2022 it was weaker, however, in the current context, it’s the world leader in C-UAS and in many elements, general air defence. Britain absolutely isn’t a super power; as of today, we’re second from bottom on the NATO chart only to Iceland, who don’t have
@mdjcole@tnewtondunn I’m sorry but that’s patently not true; the UKs defence capability against an array of Russian attack options is woefully thin. Think along the lines of large what we see launched against Ukraine on an average night and then overlay that with the UK; it wouldn’t be pretty.
@gregbagwell Ref spending, we get such a terrible return for what we put in because we write poor contracts and don’t hold companies to account for failures. I question whether the culture of making incompetence not reason enough to sack someone (Civil servant/serviceperson) is biting.