+1K units since OCT '22
NBA 22(592-342-9) | NBA 23(389-250-5)
NBA 24 (379-232) | MLB 25(224-158)
NFL 23(111-54-1) | NFL 24(82-56)
NFL (80-61) | NBA (297-215)
π¨ $100 to someone who πππππ¦ ASAP β€
FREE YEAR VIP giveaway at 400+ LIKES
HUGE CLEAN SWEEP! +16.87U π§Ήπ§Ήπ§Ή
Tyler Mahle U4.5 strikeouts β
Chase Burns O17.5 outs β
Edward Cabrera O4.5 strikeouts β
Onyeka Okongwu O14.5 pts+asts β
β‘VIP FLASH SALE, 50% OFF ‡οΈ
https://t.co/6EoIGFCgUO
Razor sharp reads across the board, feeling great about how they've been and we're just now avoiding the crazy bad beats!
MLB run has been great, I can't wait for you all to stick around all summer to cash with me on baseball!
An excellent start to the week continues, let's keep building π
I greatly appreciate everyone who shows the support and engaging consistently on here and Twitter. It really helps me out more than you know β€
$30 giveaway winner will be randomly selected tomorrow as always.
Enter by dropping a LIKE on the attached post and be following me @Mattplayerprops so I can message the winner ‡οΈ
$30 to someone who πππππ¦ β€
Good day in the green, +4.08U π°
Walbert Urena O4.5 strikeouts β
Breanna Stewart O30.5 PRA β
Alyssa Thomas O7.5 rebounds β
Freddy Peralta U4.5 hits allowed β
Premium for less than $6 ‡οΈ
https://t.co/NWKpZh1vlH
We got strong value across the board again tonight, this time resulting in a solid day.
Peralta was unable to come through for us allowing 6 hits. Giving up 3 hits to Crawford who came into the game with a .213 BA (worst on the team) isn't ideal. Freddy just gave up too much hard contact today despite pitching well overall in terms of going 6 IP with 1 ER. Got this at 2.05X in Chalkboard, closed at 1.72X and in the -130 range on many books.
Fair result here of 3-1, so we live with it and go again tomorrow. Time to start building some momentum everyone π€
$30 to someone who πππππ¦ β€
Good day in the green, +4.08U π°
Walbert Urena O4.5 strikeouts β
Breanna Stewart O30.5 PRA β
Alyssa Thomas O7.5 rebounds β
Freddy Peralta U4.5 hits allowed β
Premium for less than $6 ‡οΈ
https://t.co/NWKpZh1vlH
We got strong value across the board again tonight, this time resulting in a solid day.
Peralta was unable to come through for us allowing 6 hits. Giving up 3 hits to Crawford who came into the game with a .213 BA (worst on the team) isn't ideal. Freddy just gave up too much hard contact today despite pitching well overall in terms of going 6 IP with 1 ER. Got this at 2.05X in Chalkboard, closed at 1.72X and in the -130 range on many books.
Fair result here of 3-1, so we live with it and go again tomorrow. Time to start building some momentum everyone π€
$30 giveaway winner will be randomly selected tomorrow as always.
Enter by dropping a LIKE on the attached post and be following me @Mattplayerprops so I can message the winner ‡οΈ
$30 to someone who πππππ¦ β€
Good day in the green, +4.08U π°
Walbert Urena O4.5 strikeouts β
Breanna Stewart O30.5 PRA β
Alyssa Thomas O7.5 rebounds β
Freddy Peralta U4.5 hits allowed β
Premium for less than $6 ‡οΈ
https://t.co/NWKpZh1vlH
We got strong value across the board again tonight, this time resulting in a solid day.
Peralta was unable to come through for us allowing 6 hits. Giving up 3 hits to Crawford who came into the game with a .213 BA (worst on the team) isn't ideal. Freddy just gave up too much hard contact today despite pitching well overall in terms of going 6 IP with 1 ER. Got this at 2.05X in Chalkboard, closed at 1.72X and in the -130 range on many books.
Fair result here of 3-1, so we live with it and go again tomorrow. Time to start building some momentum everyone π€
@KNIGHTLOCKZ Thanks, and yeah they normal don't say anything when good days happen. Just how it is I guess, they try to pile on during inevitable down stretches while completely ignoring the full picture long term
My analysis showing why each play held value in their spots today. Each of these plays beat the closing line nicely, continuing to secure CLV at a solid rate. Time for the variance to swing back in our favor
Positive vibes today, let's avoid the hooks and put together a big day π€
Plays posted, 50% off here ‡οΈ
https://t.co/jO2oGtc20e
Will select a few more Free Month winners today as well.
Selecting more Free Month winners today. Check attached post.
Great value for both MLB and WNBA slate today, posted plays in discord ‡οΈ
https://t.co/jO2oGtc20e
Continuing to do everything in my power to get back on track, getting strong CLV most of the time.
Tuesday
Jameson Taillon O17.5 outs β
Kayla Thornton O4.5 rebounds β
Joey Cantillo O4.5 strikeouts πͺ
Dearica Hamby O7.5 rebounds β
Cantillo, another hook. My fault. He ends with 4 K's on 11 swings & misses generated and 12 two-strike counts even while getting through only 4 innings. Tough one with his outs line heavily favored to go 5, liked the outlook for at least 1 K/inning in this spot which he did but wasn't unable to go deep enough. Avg 43.1% K rate on 2 strike counts since 2025, but just 33% here. Got his 4th K at 64 pitches, 3.1 IP. Unfortunately goes the next 27 pitches without a strikeout and only managed the final 2 outs before getting pulled. Had Jazz, Caballero, Rice & Bellinger all in 2-strike counts with us needing that final K but couldn't finish any of them. -106 Pinnacle at time of post, closed as high as -140.
Hamby ends at 6, got completely benched down the stretch of the 4th qtr. My fault, sorry guys. I did not forsee a key starter being the only one to get benched today. Had played 29+ mins in every competitive game this season. This was Hamby fewest mins in a competitive game since 2023 in first year with LA when she was partly still a bench player. On me for not being able to predict that outlier sorry guys. Backup cane in when she got subbed and got 3 rebs to close the game, Hamby needed 2 more for final 6+ mins. Posted when at +106, closed at -120.
Have to find a way to avoid all the hooks. All on me to control the controllables and find even better value.
Selecting more Free Month winners today. Check attached post.
Great value for both MLB and WNBA slate today, posted plays in discord ‡οΈ
https://t.co/jO2oGtc20e
Continuing to do everything in my power to get back on track, getting strong CLV most of the time.
Here's the first batch of FREE month giveaway winnersβ
@_AOmar@jmkelly17@Cartermcg15
Congrats, I am messaging you guys to get that free month access link sent over
More winners later on π€
As promised and as I always follow through on these, Free Month winner:
@gopack2136
Messaged you the link π€
Was wrong one this. I did not expect a huge blowout by half when spread was 2.5 pts and for AT to shoot 16%.
I'm so confident in this play and spot tonight that if it misses, someone who LIKES/Comments on quoted post gets FREE PREMIUM βΌ
Let me know if you're tailing! π‡οΈ
β
Sorry guys, my fault. 16.7% shooting at the moment (for a 50+% shooter) and a massive 30 point blowout right out of halftime gonna lead to less mins. Game had a 2.5 pt spread.
π¨ πππ¦π§ πππ§ π§π’πππ¬ πͺπ‘ππ π
Alyssa Thomas over 15.5 points
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments when we π°! Let me know if tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysis ‡οΈ
Alyssa Thomas is in a great spot tonight given the situation and matchup vs the Lynx.
The Mercury return home after losing all 3 games on their road trip and are on a 5 game losing streak. Getting back home in need for a win, I expect their best overall player to be aggressive and put the team on her back so to speak.
Thomas is averaging 16.7 pts to start the year for PHX on 51% FG and 72% on FT's. She is coming off a few down games facing the Liberty twice, scoring just 9 and 15 pts on a combined 39% FG's. That's well below her average, but it also made some sense with NYL being a difficult matchup as they allow the 3rd fewest FG's per game in restricted area.
Alyssa Thomas relies on scoring near the rim, she gets 54% of her total FG's in the restricted area. The key here is this matchup vs MIN is favorable for interior scoring, the Lynx are allowing the 4th most made FG's and 2nd most attempts in the restricted area.
If we take out the 2 tough matchups vs NYL, we see Thomas is now averaging 17.8 ppg on solid volume of 18.83 FG+FT attempts going over this line in 5/6 games. The one miss did come vs the Lynx, however Alyssa had elite usage in that game with 23 combined FG+FTA. She just shot well below he avg both on FG & FT's (2/10 and 6/13).
The Lynx notably have turned Thomas into a scorer rather than playmaker, this was the same as last year too under same coaching. In 6 games vs Lynx in 2025, Alyssa avg 20.3 ppg on 21.5 FG+FT attempts (15+ FGA in all 6). She went over in 5/6 and had an avg of 28.5 USG in those games.
Since 2024 with a 24.5+% Usage and 32+ mins, she averages 20.1 ppg going over this in 12/16 games. A great spot all around, Thomas is over in 3/4 home games this year, avg 18.6 ppg with 20+% USG at home last year with PHX.
Widely available across DFS sites and sportsbooks, we got this line at -114 at time of post in discord.
#Gamblingπ #WNBA
π¨ πππ¦π§ πππ§ π§π’πππ¬ πͺπ‘ππ π
Alyssa Thomas over 15.5 points
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments when we π°! Let me know if tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysis ‡οΈ
Alyssa Thomas is in a great spot tonight given the situation and matchup vs the Lynx.
The Mercury return home after losing all 3 games on their road trip and are on a 5 game losing streak. Getting back home in need for a win, I expect their best overall player to be aggressive and put the team on her back so to speak.
Thomas is averaging 16.7 pts to start the year for PHX on 51% FG and 72% on FT's. She is coming off a few down games facing the Liberty twice, scoring just 9 and 15 pts on a combined 39% FG's. That's well below her average, but it also made some sense with NYL being a difficult matchup as they allow the 3rd fewest FG's per game in restricted area.
Alyssa Thomas relies on scoring near the rim, she gets 54% of her total FG's in the restricted area. The key here is this matchup vs MIN is favorable for interior scoring, the Lynx are allowing the 4th most made FG's and 2nd most attempts in the restricted area.
If we take out the 2 tough matchups vs NYL, we see Thomas is now averaging 17.8 ppg on solid volume of 18.83 FG+FT attempts going over this line in 5/6 games. The one miss did come vs the Lynx, however Alyssa had elite usage in that game with 23 combined FG+FTA. She just shot well below he avg both on FG & FT's (2/10 and 6/13).
The Lynx notably have turned Thomas into a scorer rather than playmaker, this was the same as last year too under same coaching. In 6 games vs Lynx in 2025, Alyssa avg 20.3 ppg on 21.5 FG+FT attempts (15+ FGA in all 6). She went over in 5/6 and had an avg of 28.5 USG in those games.
Since 2024 with a 24.5+% Usage and 32+ mins, she averages 20.1 ppg going over this in 12/16 games. A great spot all around, Thomas is over in 3/4 home games this year, avg 18.6 ppg with 20+% USG at home last year with PHX.
Widely available across DFS sites and sportsbooks, we got this line at -114 at time of post in discord.
#Gamblingπ #WNBA
Here's the first batch of FREE month giveaway winnersβ
@_AOmar@jmkelly17@Cartermcg15
Congrats, I am messaging you guys to get that free month access link sent over
More winners later on π€
Everyone who LIKES or Comments on this post will be entered for FREE Month giveaways.
Will be selecting many winners tomorrow.
I was simply bad this month, my worst ever month so going to extend/give a free month to a bunch of you guys. We drop down to approximately +25U on the year.
Profitable sure, but not up to my high standards I've set for myself since I started this based on making hundreds of units every year.
While catching 23 hook losses to 6 hook wins is wild variance, I have to and will be better going forward. You can count on that, I care about this so much and there's no one that will work harder to get back on track.
Everyone who LIKES or Comments on this post will be entered for FREE Month giveaways.
Will be selecting many winners tomorrow.
I was simply bad this month, my worst ever month so going to extend/give a free month to a bunch of you guys. We drop down to approximately +25U on the year.
Profitable sure, but not up to my high standards I've set for myself since I started this based on making hundreds of units every year.
While catching 23 hook losses to 6 hook wins is wild variance, I have to and will be better going forward. You can count on that, I care about this so much and there's no one that will work harder to get back on track.