Maxi Onti

Daily BTC charts, TA, liquidation levels & more
Orange pilled. NFA
Follow for real-time updates

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

My complete BTC trading framework — Liquidity • Structure • Confluence • Risk Management

This is how I analyze and trade. No predictions, just preparation.

Daily charts, TA & liquidation levels incoming. NFA

Orange pilled 🍊
Follow for real-time updates

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@seth_fin Remember: There can only be 21M BTC!
Only few coins are circulating supply!

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

#Bitcoin Supply Breakdown – Where is all the BTC? 🔥

Total supply: 21M (hard cap)
Mined: 20.05M (95.5%)
Unmined: ~950k (until ~2140)

Key stats:
• Illiquid/Long-term holders & cold storage: ~14.3M+ BTC (70–72%+)
• Exchange reserves (liquid): 2.5–2.7M (12–13.5%)
• Corporate treasuries: >1.26M (6.3%+)
• Lost/Permanently unavailable: 2.8–4M (14–20%)

Daily new supply: ~390–450 BTC (post-2024 halving)
Strategy buying weekly avg: ~6,200 BTC
vs Mined weekly avg: ~2,700 BTC

Follow for more Bitcoin supply charts, on-chain breakdowns & macro insights!

https://t.co/HIILxTLLEN

Stack Sats. NFA

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

#Bitcoin Supply Breakdown – Where is all the BTC? 🔥

Total supply: 21M (hard cap)
Mined: 20.05M (95.5%)
Unmined: ~950k (until ~2140)

Key stats:
• Illiquid/Long-term holders & cold storage: ~14.3M+ BTC (70–72%+)
• Exchange reserves (liquid): 2.5–2.7M (12–13.5%)
• Corporate treasuries: >1.26M (6.3%+)
• Lost/Permanently unavailable: 2.8–4M (14–20%)

Daily new supply: ~390–450 BTC (post-2024 halving)
Strategy buying weekly avg: ~6,200 BTC
vs Mined weekly avg: ~2,700 BTC

Follow for more Bitcoin supply charts, on-chain breakdowns & macro insights!

https://t.co/HIILxTLLEN

Stack Sats. NFA

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@ShaneHa86180328 @MMCrypto Of course nothing’s guaranteed. I actually agree with you that drawdowns are getting smaller this cycle. But BTC still did a 710% rally from the 16k lows to ATH — a lot of people just jumped in way too late, so it felt smaller for them. NFA

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@DrProfitCrypto Massive resistance right above!

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Next major short setup I'm watching on bitcoin:native (1d)🚨
Closely eyeing the 65k-67k zone — massive, short confluence stacking here!

→ Previous supply/demand zone (grey box)
→ VWAP from the 82.5k high (strong resistance/target)
→ 50-day EMA
→ Range POC (ceiling for the June 15 high)
→ Short liquidation cluster
→ Upper channel trendline

On top of that:
→ Rally driven by shorts closing, not real demand
→ Liquidity now sitting below us

That’s a tight ~2k range of HEAVY resistance aligning perfectly. Rejection here could get spicy.
What’s your bias? 👀

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@Davincij15 Are you guys ready for this???
It's just a question of time! ⏰️
The Clock is ticking!

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Bitcoin Supply Shock Setup – How Realistic Is it?👀
Exchange reserves are at multi-year lows (~2.5–2.7M BTC). Coins keep moving off exchanges into cold storage, ETFs, and corporate treasuries.
What actually matters:
A real supply shock happens when liquid supply on exchanges dries up while demand stays strong. This forces buyers to compete harder for fewer coins.
Current situation:
→ Long-term holders and institutions are mostly accumulating, not selling.
→ OTC desks have been quietly absorbing big buys for years.
→ This is some LTH holders’ wet dream.
Key trigger to watch:
When OTC liquidity runs out and these buyers start hitting spot exchanges directly, the available supply on the open market could tighten fast.
My take on timing:
I think second half of 2026 is still too early for a full-blown supply shock. We’re already seeing tightening, but not the explosive phase yet.
One interesting datapoint: Strategy alone is buying more BTC than is currently being mined.
Less liquid supply + steady accumulation = interesting setup ahead.
The real effects will likely show up more clearly in 2027 if this trend continues.
Are you positioned for it? bitcoin:native

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@BitcoinMagazine Are you ready for it!? 🙀
Remember: Ther can only ever be 21M BTC.
Some are only buying and never selling...

https://t.co/RQmDFWrdVY

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Bitcoin Supply Shock Setup – How Realistic Is it?👀
Exchange reserves are at multi-year lows (~2.5–2.7M BTC). Coins keep moving off exchanges into cold storage, ETFs, and corporate treasuries.
What actually matters:
A real supply shock happens when liquid supply on exchanges dries up while demand stays strong. This forces buyers to compete harder for fewer coins.
Current situation:
→ Long-term holders and institutions are mostly accumulating, not selling.
→ OTC desks have been quietly absorbing big buys for years.
→ This is some LTH holders’ wet dream.
Key trigger to watch:
When OTC liquidity runs out and these buyers start hitting spot exchanges directly, the available supply on the open market could tighten fast.
My take on timing:
I think second half of 2026 is still too early for a full-blown supply shock. We’re already seeing tightening, but not the explosive phase yet.
One interesting datapoint: Strategy alone is buying more BTC than is currently being mined.
Less liquid supply + steady accumulation = interesting setup ahead.
The real effects will likely show up more clearly in 2027 if this trend continues.
Are you positioned for it? bitcoin:native

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Bitcoin Supply Shock Setup – How Realistic Is it?👀
Exchange reserves are at multi-year lows (~2.5–2.7M BTC). Coins keep moving off exchanges into cold storage, ETFs, and corporate treasuries.
What actually matters:
A real supply shock happens when liquid supply on exchanges dries up while demand stays strong. This forces buyers to compete harder for fewer coins.
Current situation:
→ Long-term holders and institutions are mostly accumulating, not selling.
→ OTC desks have been quietly absorbing big buys for years.
→ This is some LTH holders’ wet dream.
Key trigger to watch:
When OTC liquidity runs out and these buyers start hitting spot exchanges directly, the available supply on the open market could tighten fast.
My take on timing:
I think second half of 2026 is still too early for a full-blown supply shock. We’re already seeing tightening, but not the explosive phase yet.
One interesting datapoint: Strategy alone is buying more BTC than is currently being mined.
Less liquid supply + steady accumulation = interesting setup ahead.
The real effects will likely show up more clearly in 2027 if this trend continues.
Are you positioned for it? bitcoin:native

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

→ Buy wall just came in below us today! This has to hold if the rally continues…
→ Spot keeps dumping!
→ OI finally rising…
Rising OI is needed, but it also adds liquidity below us.
Price holding up could make the dump even juicier once momentum dies.
What are you watching?
https://t.co/vYjgm4Oyw1

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Order Flow Cheat Sheet 📊
The 6 key variables that move the market + 9 important market phases.
Save it! Study it! Trade smarter!
#OrderFlow #Bitcoin #Trading

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Order Flow Update:
This is still not looking great for the BTC bulls!
There are still quite a few people calling this a potential macro bottom or accumulation phase. I strongly disagree.
Even during the recent rally, Spot is not buying. That’s the biggest issue.
The only thing making me believe we can push a bit higher in the short-to-mid term are some new sell orders sitting above current price (yellow circles).
It looks like big money is expecting a move up and planning to sell there.
However:
-> Open Interest has been falling the entire time. No new money is entering the market.
-> This rally is not sustainable unless we see Spot CVD flip positive.
-> Funding rate being positive is good, but it’s not enough on its own. It shows traders are expecting price to move higher (futures longing), which adds more liquidity below price — not above it.
If funding rates were negative, we would probably see more short squeezes. For now, most weak shorts have already been taken out, only a few remain.
I am still in my short-term long position. I plan to close it out in the next liquidity cluster around $64,400.
If none of this makes sense to you, check my order flow cheat sheet down below: 👇👇👇
https://t.co/vYjgm4O0Gt

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Order Flow Cheat Sheet 📊
The 6 key variables that move the market + 9 important market phases.
Save it! Study it! Trade smarter!
#OrderFlow #Bitcoin #Trading

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@ChiefraFba Very interesting, buy wall just came in right below us, however spot keeps dumping!
That level should better hold for the bulls, otherwise this short squeeze could be over!
https://t.co/G1bUaNUdRE

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Order Flow Update:
This is still not looking great for the BTC bulls!
There are still quite a few people calling this a potential macro bottom or accumulation phase. I strongly disagree.
Even during the recent rally, Spot is not buying. That’s the biggest issue.
The only thing making me believe we can push a bit higher in the short-to-mid term are some new sell orders sitting above current price (yellow circles).
It looks like big money is expecting a move up and planning to sell there.
However:
-> Open Interest has been falling the entire time. No new money is entering the market.
-> This rally is not sustainable unless we see Spot CVD flip positive.
-> Funding rate being positive is good, but it’s not enough on its own. It shows traders are expecting price to move higher (futures longing), which adds more liquidity below price — not above it.
If funding rates were negative, we would probably see more short squeezes. For now, most weak shorts have already been taken out, only a few remain.
I am still in my short-term long position. I plan to close it out in the next liquidity cluster around $64,400.
If none of this makes sense to you, check my order flow cheat sheet down below: 👇👇👇
https://t.co/vYjgm4O0Gt

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@CrypticTrades_ Hoping for one more push towards 65k-67k for bitcoin:native !
That's where I see massive resistance 🧱and possible short setups: 📉

https://t.co/6nvQd4t5Ga

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Next major short setup I'm watching on bitcoin:native (1d)🚨
Closely eyeing the 65k-67k zone — massive, short confluence stacking here!

→ Previous supply/demand zone (grey box)
→ VWAP from the 82.5k high (strong resistance/target)
→ 50-day EMA
→ Range POC (ceiling for the June 15 high)
→ Short liquidation cluster
→ Upper channel trendline

On top of that:
→ Rally driven by shorts closing, not real demand
→ Liquidity now sitting below us

That’s a tight ~2k range of HEAVY resistance aligning perfectly. Rejection here could get spicy.
What’s your bias? 👀

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@MarcelHierzing1 yes!
Hoping for one more push to the upside, as this is where I have the best possible setup!
https://t.co/6nvQd4t5Ga

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Next major short setup I'm watching on bitcoin:native (1d)🚨
Closely eyeing the 65k-67k zone — massive, short confluence stacking here!

→ Previous supply/demand zone (grey box)
→ VWAP from the 82.5k high (strong resistance/target)
→ 50-day EMA
→ Range POC (ceiling for the June 15 high)
→ Short liquidation cluster
→ Upper channel trendline

On top of that:
→ Rally driven by shorts closing, not real demand
→ Liquidity now sitting below us

That’s a tight ~2k range of HEAVY resistance aligning perfectly. Rejection here could get spicy.
What’s your bias? 👀

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Trade Update! TP HIT!
-> Closed 75% of my long position ✅️
-> Not shorting yet. ❌️
-> BTC is still losing points from me for the clear lack of Spot buying despite the move up and facing stronger resistance levels now
-> I’ve left 25% running, in case we see the breakout!

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Next major short setup I'm watching on bitcoin:native (1d)🚨
Closely eyeing the 65k-67k zone — massive, short confluence stacking here!

→ Previous supply/demand zone (grey box)
→ VWAP from the 82.5k high (strong resistance/target)
→ 50-day EMA
→ Range POC (ceiling for the June 15 high)
→ Short liquidation cluster
→ Upper channel trendline

On top of that:
→ Rally driven by shorts closing, not real demand
→ Liquidity now sitting below us

That’s a tight ~2k range of HEAVY resistance aligning perfectly. Rejection here could get spicy.
What’s your bias? 👀

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

TP hit!
https://t.co/RkRHnWGT4l

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Trade Update! TP HIT!
-> Closed 75% of my long position ✅️
-> Not shorting yet. ❌️
-> BTC is still losing points from me for the clear lack of Spot buying despite the move up and facing stronger resistance levels now
-> I’ve left 25% running, in case we see the breakout!

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

Opened a small bitcoin:native long:
→ VWAP from the low
→ 1H order block + big wick of daily candles from 2 days ago filled

This is a more speculative position (my overall bias remains bearish), but we’re currently sitting at key support.
Buying the fear on recent escalation news has paid off well in the past.

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@BitbullTrading 🪓🪓🪓

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@XBTkaz And the other thing:
There is no spot demand!...
Its just a short squeeze...

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Order Flow Update:
This is still not looking great for the BTC bulls!
There are still quite a few people calling this a potential macro bottom or accumulation phase. I strongly disagree.
Even during the recent rally, Spot is not buying. That’s the biggest issue.
The only thing making me believe we can push a bit higher in the short-to-mid term are some new sell orders sitting above current price (yellow circles).
It looks like big money is expecting a move up and planning to sell there.
However:
-> Open Interest has been falling the entire time. No new money is entering the market.
-> This rally is not sustainable unless we see Spot CVD flip positive.
-> Funding rate being positive is good, but it’s not enough on its own. It shows traders are expecting price to move higher (futures longing), which adds more liquidity below price — not above it.
If funding rates were negative, we would probably see more short squeezes. For now, most weak shorts have already been taken out, only a few remain.
I am still in my short-term long position. I plan to close it out in the next liquidity cluster around $64,400.
If none of this makes sense to you, check my order flow cheat sheet down below: 👇👇👇
https://t.co/vYjgm4O0Gt

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

@TedPillows This setup still isn’t bullish. Spot buyers are missing despite the recent rally, Open Interest is falling, and the move higher looks unsustainable unless Spot CVD turns positive.

https://t.co/G1bUaNUdRE

[Maxi Onti @Maxi_Onti]

bitcoin:native Order Flow Update:
This is still not looking great for the BTC bulls!
There are still quite a few people calling this a potential macro bottom or accumulation phase. I strongly disagree.
Even during the recent rally, Spot is not buying. That’s the biggest issue.
The only thing making me believe we can push a bit higher in the short-to-mid term are some new sell orders sitting above current price (yellow circles).
It looks like big money is expecting a move up and planning to sell there.
However:
-> Open Interest has been falling the entire time. No new money is entering the market.
-> This rally is not sustainable unless we see Spot CVD flip positive.
-> Funding rate being positive is good, but it’s not enough on its own. It shows traders are expecting price to move higher (futures longing), which adds more liquidity below price — not above it.
If funding rates were negative, we would probably see more short squeezes. For now, most weak shorts have already been taken out, only a few remain.
I am still in my short-term long position. I plan to close it out in the next liquidity cluster around $64,400.
If none of this makes sense to you, check my order flow cheat sheet down below: 👇👇👇
https://t.co/vYjgm4O0Gt