I can’t believe that for all the investors in $STRC, not one person could answer my question of where does the yield come from.
Not one person.
The only attempt was from someone saying Saylor has 10 months of reserves.
No one can answer where the yield comes from.
How on earth did some of you have the conviction to defend this let alone invest in it in the first place?
Shocking but not shocking.
The worst investment in America: whole life insurance
1. Almost never actually needed
2. Expensive
3. Pitched as a great investment (in reality, it's a terrible one)
Change my mind
NVIDIA was $10 in 2022. Palantir was $8 in 2023. Both went up 20x times.
While everyone’s buying the same popular tech stocks…
There are 5 companies that nobody talks about, but could hit similar returns as NVIDIA & Palantir.
Here's what they are:🧵
Imagine telling someone in 1999…
The year is 2026.
The President is Donald Trump in his second non consecutive term.
The richest man in the world is PayPal cofounder Elon Musk… but not because of fintech or Paypal. Because of rockets, electric cars, AI, satellites, brain chips and something called “Boring Company”.
Apple is worth trillions but its main business isn’t computers… its selling glass rectangles everyone stares at for 9 hours a day.
People don’t watch TV. They watch teenagers explain geopolitics, finance, and relationship advice in ~60 second videos.
The biggest taxi company owns no taxis.
The biggest hotel company owns no hotels.
The most powerful media companies are social networks where everyone argues with strangers for free.
Kids are making millions filming themselves playing video games.
AI Robots write emails, code, legal memos, songs, essays, and breakup texts.
The internet is mostly bots arguing with humans who are trying to prove they aren’t bots.
You can summon a car, groceries, a doctor, a date, a private jet, or a dog walker from your phone.
People pay real money for invisible currencies, digital monkeys, AI girlfriends and pictures that disappear after 24 hours.
The richest companies in the world don’t sell oil, steel, or cars. They sell attention, compute, data, and addiction.
And somehow, after all of that everyone is still using Excel.
good evening.
quick reminder before i go into tomorrows watchlist.
ive been telling you for 2 weeks to raise cash and wait. that the weakness window opens july 10 to august. we're already inside it. the choppy tape is exactly what i said would happen.
i also told you healthcare rotation would lead in the back half. that one started EARLIER than i expected. $JNJ $UNH $CVS already running. the people who positioned ahead of the move are paying for it now.
cash is still loaded. patience is still the POSITION.
heres what i'm watching for tomorrow:
$NBIS - 250 is the level. holds it, base is built. AI infrastructure pure-play that nobody trusts right now. exactly where i show up.
$UMAC - 18 zone. confluence support from the rising trendline. drone trade either confirms here or i wait.
$IONQ - already in. waiting to scale up…
$INTC - already in from 114. AI hardware turnaround playing out. holding through the noise. will add if it pulls back to 120….. my
$AMD - the cleaner AI semi setup for me right now. watching for the breakout above the recent consolidation. holding best RN
healthcare watchlist is growing. here’s the expanded list:
$JNJ - the anchor. already running. add on any pullback.
$UNH - turnaround + defensive. beaten down for 18 months. setting up.
$LLY - GLP-1 compounder. high quality. wait for the pullback, dont chase.
$VRTX - rare disease + pain pipeline. defensive growth.
$CAH - drug distributor. pure cash flow defensive.
$TEVA - generics turnaround. value play.
$ROIV - biotech holding company. asymmetric speculative.
$ARKG - the genomics ETF. broad biotech exposure without picking one name.
different risk profiles. same theme. you pick the one that matches your style.
five themes. fourteen names. one cash pile ready to deploy when the levels confirm.
my role is to keep u alert…. TOGETHER we’re one…
ill alert when any of these trigger.
The future of high yield ETFs isn’t covered calls. ❌
It’s put credit spreads.
Here’s how funds are using to them to get both growth and income.
Plus the tradeoff and how I manage these funds. 🧵👇
Been a tough year for medtech with $IHI down -27% from January highs to the May lows... but looking much better the past couple weeks... putting in some higher lows and now starting to breakout through the down-trendline... lots of medtech stocks growing 20-30% with 70-80% gross margins yet trading at 2-3x revs with strong IP portfolios.
We own $TMDX $PRCT $CLPT $ATEC $BFLY
Dario Amodei:
“I think biotech is about to have a renaissance, ultimately driven by AI… my instinct is we’re about to cure a lot of diseases.”
Safest plays in my opinion remain $TEM & $LLY.
I think few people see the vision for what $LLY is building but I sense a $1T valuation actually won’t be much in 5 years.
Higher risk plays: $ABCL & $RXRX
Pay attention to the rotation.
There is always a bull market somewhere.
Industrials
Financials
Healthcare
Real Estate
Most traders ignore sector rotation until it's obvious. By then the easy money is gone.
Here are the names I'm watching in each sector:
Industrials:
$BE $POWL $GNRC $VRT $ECG $GEV $CDNL $AAL $UAL $STRL $GE
Finance:
$HOOD $AFRM $SOFI $BAC $USB $CFR
Healthcare:
$JNJ $ABBV $VRTX $QURE $HIMS $OSCR $ORKA $UNH $ILMN $NVTS
Real Estate:
$WELL $EQIX $APLE $HIW $MAC $COMP $CUZ
I have exposure in Industrials. Finance and plenty of Healthcare stocks.
Bookmark this. The leaders are quietly rotating while everyone's still watching the same 7 tech names.
One thing I've learned:
The market tells you what it wants to buy before it tells you where it's going.
$QQQ -2.5%
$IWM -.43%
$RSP -.23%
Notice the pattern?
Rotation into Healthcare, Finance, Real Estate
Individual stocks- I'm seeing strength in:
$APLD $HUT $NBIS $QBTS $WULF $LABU $CLSK $CORZ $DDOG $MRNA $OKTA $OSCR $OUST $RIOT
Semis: $ARM $DELL $MRVL $CRDO $ALAB $MU taking a pause for now.
Just pay attention to where the money is already flowing.
The leaders usually reveal themselves early.
When four insiders buy in the same month and the stock then falls below every price they paid, you pay attention.
That is $NOK right now.
The Chief Corporate Development Officer, the CEO's Chief of Staff, and two independent directors all bought on the open market last month between $15.34 and $16.02. Real money, within weeks of each other. The stock is at $13.50, below every single price they paid.
$NOK builds the optical transport and IP networking gear that moves the world's data between data centers, and they just expanded a US facility in Pennsylvania to produce the photonic chips that power AI networks at lower power.
Less than 2% of the world's advanced semiconductor packaging happens on US soil, and Nokia owns one of the only plants that does it. That is part of a multi-year $4 billion US manufacturing push landing right as the entire industry shifts from copper to light.
Stack on the rest. $NVDA put $1 billion into the company. AI and cloud revenue jumped 49% last quarter with a EUR 1 billion order backlog. JPMorgan just raised its target to $21.
The people with the clearest view of the business paid in the $15s and $16s. You can buy it 15% cheaper than they did.
Leopold Aschenbrenner also owns 6% stake in $NBIS.
The chart is setting up for an explosion towards $400+ by end of 2026 then $700 by 2028.
$NBIS has secured multiple multi-billion dollar agreements as it rapidly expands its purpose-built AI infrastructure.
Its top three most significant partnerships and contracts include:
$META: A landmark 5-year agreement worth up to $27 billion. Nebius will provide Meta with $12 billion in dedicated capacity using Nvidia's next-generation Vera Rubin platform, with Meta committing to purchase additional compute capacity up to $15 billion over the contract period.
$NVDA : A massive strategic partnership anchored by a $2 billion investment from Nvidia in Nebius. The deal focuses on deploying multiple generations of Nvidia hardware (including the Rubin platform) to build over 5 gigawatts of capacity by 2030, along with deep co-development of AI factory software.
$MSFT: A lucrative multi-billion, multi-year capacity agreement to supply dedicated GPU infrastructure. This alliance is powering Microsoft's AI services and helping Nebius expand globally as an AI-native neocloud platform.
$GOOG: They don't have a partnership with but $GOOG and $NBIS are both expanding aggressively in the AI infrastructure space. With Google recently investing heavily in AI cloud capacity alongside partners like Blackstone, there is a clear appetite for scaling third-party infrastructure.Plausibility: Nebius operates as an open-source, full-stack alternative in the cloud and AI-native space. Because both Google and Nebius target AI developers, startups, and enterprises with computing capacity and model-tuning tools, a partnership such as Google Cloud utilizing Nebius’ specialized GPU clusters for overflow or specialized inference tasks is highly logical and plausible.
After too many hours of research/DD to count, these are my Top 5 AI Stocks in the Top 5 AI Sectors to Invest in:
1. Neoclouds: The GPU & Compute landlords. Whoever owns the compute owns what every AI company on the earth needs to grow & succeed.
$NBIS - Nebius. Spun out of Yandex, rebuilt as a pure-play AI cloud. Microsoft and Meta committed billions in contracted backlog. The fastest growing neocloud on the board. My favorite pick as a long-term investment.
$CRWV - CoreWeave. The American-founded neocloud. SemiAnalysis rated this Neocloud in a class of it's own, which can not be understated. Deals with Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta, Perplexity, Google, Microsoft... the list goes on forever.
$HUT - Hut 8. Started as a bitcoin miner, pivoted hard into AI hosting and power infrastructure. Owns the power, not just the GPUs. They're landing deals left and right, definitely an underappreciated sleeper pick.
$APLD - Applied Digital. Same playbook. Former crypto miner now building purpose-designed AI data center campuses with long-term hyperscaler leases.
$CIFR - data center host for Anthropic's directly, purchased Google TPU v7 Ironwoods (400K units, ~$10B), backed by a 10-year, $3B+ Fluidstack hosting deal where Google guarantees $1.4B of lease obligations for a 5.4% equity stake. One of the only neocloud-adjacent names with real exposure to Google's silicon instead of pure Nvidia GPU rental.
2. Optical / Photonics:
Because every GPU is useless if it can't talk to the GPU next to it.
$CRDO - Credo. The connectivity layer inside every AI cluster. Active electrical cables and DSPs that scale with every rack hyperscalers deploy.
$LITE - Lumentum. Legacy telecom optics company that's become a core 800G/1.6T transceiver supplier for the AI buildout.
$ALAB - Astera Labs. Connectivity chips that solve the bottleneck between GPUs, memory, and storage. Pure-play AI infrastructure with almost no legacy drag.
$COHR - Coherent. Lasers, optical components, and transceivers spanning the entire photonics stack from datacom to industrial.
$MRVL - Marvell. Custom silicon and photonic fabric for hyperscalers. The company quietly inside more AI racks than people realize.
3. Memory:
The most cyclical, most violently mispriced sector in semis. HBM demand changed the entire setup.
$DRAM - DRAM ETF. One ticker, every important memory company on the planet, including South Korean companies like SK Hynix and Samsung Electronic, companies you CAN'T INVEST IN with most brokerages.
$SNDK - SanDisk. Spun off from Western Digital, now a pure-play NAND flash story riding the same supply tightness as everyone else in this sector.
$MU - Micron. One of three companies on Earth that makes HBM. The clearest direct line from AI buildout to memory revenue.
$WDC - Western Digital. Hard drive and enterprise storage demand riding the same data center capex wave as everything else on this list.
$STX - Seagate. The other half of the storage duopoly. Enterprise nearline drives are seeing the same supply crunch dynamics as memory.
4. Analog / Power Semis:
Unsexy. Necessary. Every data center, every EV, every robot needs power management silicon that doesn't get the AI premium yet:
$MXL - MaxLinear. Smaller-cap analog and mixed-signal play with infrastructure and data center exposure that's still flying under the radar.
$STM - STMicroelectronics. European chip giant spanning auto, industrial, and power semis. Way out of favor relative to its diversification.
$ON - ON Semiconductor. Power semis for EVs and industrial, now leaning harder into data center power delivery as a growth vector.
$VSH - Vishay. Passive components: resistors, capacitors, diodes. Boring until you realize literally everything electronic needs them.
$POWI - Power Integrations. High-voltage power conversion chips. Small cap, niche, and positioned for the power efficiency problem AI data centers haven't solved yet.
5. Physical AI / Robotics:
It's coming, soon, and the market is beginning to realize it.
$OUST - Ouster. Lidar for robotics, industrial, and autonomy. Consolidated the space after merging with Velodyne, now the survivor.
$VICR - Vicor. High-density power modules for robotics, AI servers, and defense. Power delivery at the component level, not the rack level.
$VPG - Vishay Precision Group. Precision sensors and strain gauges. The torque and force-sensing hardware that gives robots a sense of touch.
$AEVA - Aeva. 4D lidar with built-in velocity sensing. Smaller and earlier stage than the rest of this list, highest risk, highest ceiling.
$AMBA - Ambarella. Edge AI vision chips. Powers the cameras and perception systems inside cars, robots, and security infrastructure.
I believe a portfolio with these 25 names will severely outperform the market over the next few years. I have 7 figures throughout many of these names. These are all names I'm currently invested in, or plan on investing in in the near future.
None of this is financial advice.
I want to take a minute and recognize 6 non-AI companies that are being completely overlooked by the market during this AI run…
1. Celsius $CELH
Category: Energy Drinks
Fwd P/E: 17.55x
Everyone talks about GPUs, memory, and lasers.
But the real bottleneck is the only one both humans and data depend on to run.
IT'S WATER.
$ERII is up 8% today since I dropped my long thesis yesterday to clients.
So here's why this $500M water tech stock down 50% in 3 months could be an asymmetrical bet.
I first spotted $ERII in March, but I was too early.
Now I think a few catalysts put this small cap gem in prime re-rating territory.
$ERII makes a special piece of tech that makes desalination plants economical. The PX Pressure Exchanger recycles the pressure inside a seawater reverse osmosis plant and cuts its energy use by up to 60%. This hero product accounts for over 90% of $ERII's revenue and commands gross margins over 60%.
I love $ERII because it feels like a high margin IP business, not a low margin industrial, despite being priced like one.
So why is the stock trading half off its February $16 price and a fraction of its comps?
The Middle East, the world's largest desalination market, is 50% of their revenue. And two huge gut punches nuked the stock across two ER's.
1) Revised 26 guidance down before the Iran War started.
2) Removed 26 guidance entirely during the War due to the massive ME concentration of business. Then the CEO and CFO both left.
But the business isn't broken. And the Iran War looks to be resolved, making more signals of sustained ME peace a real catalyst.
Q1 is their smallest quarter historically and revenue still grew 20% YoY. The ugly Q1 loss was a one time charge from killing their CO2 side project. Q4'25 was a record $66.9M at 67% gross margin.
The balance sheet is a fortress too. $77M net cash, almost no debt, a 9x current ratio, ~$27M TTM FCF, and they buy back stock at a ~9% yield. You get paid to wait and this is not a small cap where you get diluted.
The tailwinds are massive for $ERII's desalination business and I think the market may be mispricing $ERII's growth potential on 4 vectors.
1) Fast Growing Market
Water scarcity isn't a regional story anymore, it's a global one. Rivers and aquifers are drying up while population, industry, and now AI all pull harder on the same shrinking supply, and desalination is the backstop the world keeps falling back on. Reverse osmosis dominates new capacity, every RO plant needs an energy recovery device, and the PX is the standard, so $ERII's installed base scales as desal scales globally.
2) Water As Warfare
The Iran war turned water into a weapon. Plants got hit across Bahrain, Kuwait, the UAE and Iran, and with desal supplying up to 90% of water in some Gulf states, every ministry just learned a centralized, aging fleet is a strategic weak spot. The answer isn't to build less. It's to harden, decentralize, and build MORE, which means more PX sales.
3) Middle East AI
Every gigawatt of compute landing in the Gulf has to be cooled, and up to 90% of the region's water comes from desal, so water is the constraint of where you can build. PwC sees Gulf data center capacity tripling to ~3.3GW by 2030, all running through RO where $ERII sells the picks and shovels. Management isn't even telling this story yet, but when they bring in a new permanent CEO, I could see him pushing AI + water scarcity angle.
4) AI Factory Wastewater Upside
This one is early but $ERII just carved wastewater out as its own segment, it's ~6% of revenue today. It's the OTHER end of the AI water story: data centers and the chip fabs feeding them discharge dirty water and the laws require treatment before it leaves. ERII uses the same PX tech here with same 60% margin profile, and management expects this to get bigger in 2027.
The comps do a ton of the work to feel good about the valuation here.
$ERII has the smallest market cap and the highest gross margin in water tech (63%) while trading at the LOWEST 24x TTM PE multiple. ~25x vs $XYL 28x, $BMI 30x, $FELE 31x.
The catalysts?
- Iran War peace deal finalized
- $300B Iran investment would boost any stocks with strong ME geography exposure
- Company re-affirms guidance for 2026 in Q2 or Q3 call
- New CEO joins replacing interim CEO and maybe introduces AI angle to boost narrative
The risks.
Re-escalation. If Israel and Iran flare back up, the momentum dies and this might retests the lows. Projects will get even more delayed.
Guidance. The reinstatement they flagged for Q2/Q3 could be pushed to Q3/Q4 and come later than we hope.
Leadership. The CEO retired and the CFO resigned in the same quarter, and the permanent CEO search is still open.
Lumpy revenue. This is a project driven, back half-weighted business where big orders slip without warning. February proved it.
But the floor is real. ~$77M net cash (nearly 1/5 MC), no debt, a 9% buyback. A $500M company growing 20% retiring its own shares is not the kind that drops to 0.
DYOR. NFA.
Make sure to join my VIP discord through my Substack at the link in my bio to chat with me and our analysts about this name.