Last week in Vegas, Landon and I opened a Pappy Van Winkle 23 on stage.
I told the room it was worth about $5,000.
Unopened, of course.
Landon pulled the cork right there.
Here's why we did it.
The Scrap Yard Signal Just Turned RED.
Last time it flashed this hard, it called the industrial rally before Wall Street.
$NUE +44%
$STLD +38%
$CAT +52%
$URI +26%
Now the same boots-on-the-ground indicator is screaming the opposite direction.
👇
What if the safest driver on the road isn’t a human, but Tesla’s AI?
LikeFolio's @AndySwan says Tesla FSD is already far safer than human drivers, in some cases multiple times safer!
The problem? Tesla barely markets it. If people understood that pressing a button and letting AI drive is safer than driving yourself, it could be a game-changer by 2026–2027. $TSLA
If ND was as big of a brand as it thinks it is then ESPN would be wanting them in the CFP
ND isn’t among the 10 most watched teams in the sport
4-8 South Carolina averaged over 200k more viewers a game this season than Notre Dame did
I think the Pop-Tart Bowl will be fine man
Rick Pitino after St. John’s 103-96 loss to Alabama at Madison Square Garden:
“That was the worst f***ing defensive performance I've ever witnessed in New York City…And we just let a Communist take over City Hall earlier this week.”
Shopify $SHOP is expected to have stellar earnings on Tuesday.
@AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 are bullish in their earnings product.
Puts and Call options are heavily overvalued going into earnings. Great time to put on a credit put spread or debit call spread.
🚨 $19B CRYPTO HEIST 🚨
Attackers exploited a flaw in Binance’s USDE stablecoin — timed perfectly with Trump’s tariff comments — to trigger cascading liquidations across crypto.
$19B wiped. Leverage traders destroyed. Cold storage holders untouched.
My full breakdown, including my Bitcoin playbook and 3 cryptos to watch from here 👇
🚨 High risk / high reward alert $RENT 🚨
“Wardrobe-as-a-service” is heating up
👗 $URBN Nuuly struggles = subscribers shifting to $RENT
📦 $RENT just expanded inventory +24%, 36 new brands, +1,000 styles
📈 Web visits up +31% YoY into holiday season
📱 Active app users +9% MoM
📉 Stock down -25% YTD, -41% YoY
Low bar -- @AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 analysis shows it's worth an asymmetric bet to the upside on $RENT.
We don’t usually touch fresh IPOs on earnings… but the data here is 🔥 $FIG
📈Web visits = all-time highs
💥Stock cut in half since IPO
🌱Sentiment turning positive
🤖Likely the AI-powered “prompt-to-table” web builder
Last time we did this? $RDDT — a huge MegaTrends winner.
Volatility expected, but data leans upside.
@AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 analysis ...
Rather than chase Nvidia $NVDA with the crowd, we’re lining up a Bearish trade on Ulta Beauty $ULTA.
📉 @LikeFolio data: digital demand falling while stock climbs
💸 Macro: lower-income consumers pulling back on beauty
🚫 Target $TGT partnership wind-down = near-term headwindHigh bar after last quarter’s rally… we’re betting downside.
Full Week 7 Scorecard also features a bold trade on Five Below $FIVE
@AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 earnings analysis for $ULTA Thursday after market close.
Earnings Setup: $HD vs $LOW
HD Tue → LOW Wed:
- HD is eating LOW’s lunch in contractor biz
- LOW data suggests relative weakness during critical DIY season
- LOW stock +18% in the last month... ripe for disappointment
PLAYBOOK:
1. Take ½ bearish position in LOW before HD reports.
2. If LOW pops on HD’s results → double to full position. If HD warns on tariffs/consumer, take profits on LOW drop prior to their report.
Let's get another win -- @AndySwan, @landonswan, @mebrantley2
After a huge gain from $ONON earnings earlier this week, Earnings Season Pass members have another setup ready today...
Bearish on $TPR into earnings @LikeFolio data shows a clear divergence: TPR web traffic has dropped sharply since February, yet the stock is pushing multi-year highs.
That disconnect often signals trouble.
Kate Spade revenue fell -12% YoY last quarter. Coach — the bright spot — is losing momentum.
Luxury peer $LVMH reported weak sales and profit, hinting demand may be cracking.
With an Earnings Score of -34 and expectations elevated after four straight post-earnings rallies, TPR may have a high bar it can’t clear.
We’re betting the gap between digital demand and stock price will close — and not in the bulls’ favor.
Great work @AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 ... let's get another earnings season win.
$CELH Bulls: Today could be big.
@LikeFolio data shows Celsius Holdings $CELH is gaining momentum fast—and they’re bringing reinforcements.
- Web traffic for CELH is at 1-year highs. Every time we’ve seen this pattern, shares moved higher in the weeks that followed.
- Their newly acquired Alani Nu is exploding—+65% YoY visit growth.
- Together, CELH + Alani now command 16.2% of the fast-growing U.S. energy drink market.
Margins are expanding. Shelf space is increasing. Consumer momentum is real.LikeFolio Score: 52 (Bullish)
Q2 Earnings: Thursday, premarket
Great analysis @AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 ... let's see a big win for $CELH
Bearish Alert: David vs. Goliath in coffee ☕️📉
Starbucks $SBUX reports earnings this week… but consumer interest is cratering: -29% YoY in web traffic.
Meanwhile, Dutch Bros $BROS is surging: +23% and gaining ground fast.
The drive-thru disruptor is stealing attention. Goliath looks tired ...
We also see seasonal weakness for $SBUX that comes roaring back 4th quarter with holiday season shopping sipping pumpkin spice lattes.
Week 3 earnings analysis by my friends @landonswan@AndySwan@mebrantley2@LikeFolio
BULLISH ALERT: Chipotle $CMG earnings next week is looking like a setup too good to ignore:
• 🔥Fast-casual is on fire: Segment is up +19% YoY
• 🚶♀️Chipotle web traffic? Up +32% YoY (not a typo)
• 🐔New honey chipotle chicken = consumer obsession
• 📈July data already accelerating which should give confident guidanceAnd here’s the kicker…
$CMG is down 10% YTD
Stock weakness ≠ consumer behavior
🎯We see a beat coming
Position accordingly
Killer analysis by @AndySwan@landonswan@mebrantley2 and the team at @LikeFolio
I love earnings season!
$NFLX down about 5% right now. Were @AndySwan and @landonswan right?
Well, subscribers of their service just made roughly 100% on the trade they executed around this bearish #Netflix call they made.
It turned out that $NFLX outperformed on revenue expectations. The thing is that they got a major boost from raising prices and ad revenue.
That's great. But they barely mentioned subscribers (see our original post). They made mention that members are growing.
The most important thing for $NFLX is not growing revenues compared to growing subscribers.
Their earnings were met with a blah response even though they raised guidance.
Great call Andy, Landon, and the team at @LikeFolio.