practicing anesthesiologist applying real-time OR decision-making under pressure to the chaotic markets. Medicine → Macro. Portfolio in commodities, mining, EM
Japan Is On Pressors: Why the Yen Keeps Weakening https://t.co/YCKnWoQ3u1 via @YouTube this was a fun one, why does the yen keep weakening? i thought the unwind was here?
Yes I started a little over a month ago. The reality too is I’m a full time physician so I post videos when I can. Sometimes it’s a whole week without posting and my understanding is it can take a while for the algorithm to figure out who to send your videos too (I’ve heard 6 months of consecutive posting)
this is a huge issue, russias grain exports being taken offline whilst simultaneous reports of lower crop yields, i dont see a reason to not be long ag...
i know its a long shot but if there is some sort of hormuz deal whereby transit through that chokepoint increases over a prolonged period, this would depress crack spreads and possibly increase price of crude, right now there's too much crude with too little refining capacity, theres alot of noise regarding our SPR and how low it is, but from my research it appears approx 60 billion barrels of venezuelan crude is economically extractable at today's prices. if crude prices rise alot more of those barrels become available.....
can someone tell me if this is geography specific or is this global for spreads? im assuming this changes depending on location. makes sense in middle east, europe, etc. but what about US?
@NorthstarCharts perhaps when china starts importing crude at scale and chinese refiners kick back in and strait actually materially opens. until then i would be hesitant to make that call based on technical chart analysis alone