Mention Markets Pro

The #1 tool to get an edge on Mention Markets. Made by @GreekGamblerPM .

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

The Final Review for the market "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31" is pretty much OVER.

13.60M UMA tokens have been revealed voting NO, enough for consensus to be achieved.

This means that once the Reveal Phase ends, the market will resolve to NO in ~14–18 hours.

At this point, the voting is effectively over and the outcome can't be changed.

Don't listen to CT KOLs who know nothing about Polymarket and are telling you to buy YES.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

~97% of day traders lose money.
~85% of crypto traders aren't profitable.
~91% of retail futures/options traders lose money.
~90% of startups fail.

I turned $150 to $84,000 in one year on prediction markets.

I guess I just got lucky and I could do the same thing in a casino.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

New big hint on the $POLY airdrop formula just dropped from Polymarket.

We already knew trading volume would be one of the criteria and now we have a much clearer idea of how it may be calculated:

wV = Trade Size × (1 − Entry Price) × Category Weight

The key part here is the Entry Price.

A lot of people farmed millions in volume by buying shares at 99% or 99.9%, so this is really bad news for bonders.

Most of that volume will end up having barely any weight.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Some people are going to be really disappointed when the $POLY airdrop comes.

Many people lose thousands trying to farm the eligibility criteria and probably won't even make $100 back from the airdrop.

I know someone that has lost $50,000+ trying to farm LP rewards.

My advice: use Polymarket to build an edge and actually make profits.

Then the airdrop becomes a bonus on top of your trading profits, not the main reason you use Polymarket.

I will post a guide in the comments with strategies & tools to become a profitable trader.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Free money farm on @Polymarket .

The US x Iran ceasefire extended market is already clarified by Polymarket and voted in UMA.

You could've even gotten filled at 99.7c hours ago, which was a 94.1% APR.

Big whales have already traded millions here and farmed the noobs.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

With less than $10,000, you could make $250 in 18 days trading Polymarket bonds.

My Iranian regime fall position, had a 67% APR.

The US withdraw from NATO position, had a 39.3% APR.

And both of them are nearly impossible to go wrong, especially in such a short timeframe.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Someone went ALL-IN and turned $13,200 into $477,544 on Polymarket, trading there would be a US/Iran ceasefire today.

That's a 3,500% gain in a single trade.

He legit traded all the money he had in his account in this one.

What did he know?

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

GG. Trump indeed didn't say Netanyahu in his Address to the Nation.

Made ~$500 on this pick and $1,200 in total, which ain't bad considering I didn't size up at all.

I only share Polymarket plays here when I'm highly confident that they can't go wrong.

Stay tuned for more!

[koozy.pm @koozy_pm]

amazing call by @TheGreekTrader

followed you on that one

thanks for the free meal

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I traded $595 to win $220 that Trump won't mention Netanyahu in his Address to the Nation today.

He hasn't mentioned him in any written speeches so far.

Also, I think it would be bad PR to bring him up, so I don't see any reason why he would.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Today I'm going to the Strait of Hormuz with a friend to count how many ships pass daily.

Plan:
– I will be in UAE logging ships attempting to pass.
– My friend will be in Oman counting who makes it through.
- Trade that info on Polymarket.
- Become millionaires.

Stay tuned!

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I traded $225 to win $1,408, that the US won't conduct a cyberattack attack on Iran before April.

Currently +$1,119 or 500% up from this position.

Based on the rules, any cyberattacks that are part of some military action won't count.

Which means it's nearly impossible for this market to resolve as a YES during the war.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I think I've made over $2,000 farming and abusing those trash vibe coded bots on Polymarket.

My favorite bots to farm are the arbitrage bots between prediction markets with different rules.

Keep them coming.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I bet $1,218 to win $3 that Clavicular won't be Iran's next Supreme Leader by April.

That's a 0.2% return in 20 days or 4.5% APR.

Don't do anything funny @Clavicular0

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Someone might turn $46 into $9,600 betting that Trump said "Jesus" in the past week.

He is already at a 16,867% return, probably without a risk.

The market deadline is basically over, so he must have found a clip no one else noticed.

If that clip exists, it's free money.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I bet $224 to win $1,183 that the US won't conduct a cyberattack on Iran in March.

I'm already at +$774 profit or a 344% return after just one day of holding this position.

How did I get such a huge return in a single day?

Here's the ALPHA:

Based on the rules: "Cyber operations that are directly related to, coordinated with, or executed as part of kinetic military action" don't count.

All of the US cyberattacks that pumped this market's price up to 90% were part of broader military operations involving Iran so they don't qualify.

Because of that, the odds for NO jumped from 10% to 70% very quickly.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

I made ~$800, almost risk-free, betting that Iran WON'T strike Cyprus in March.

Why risk-free?

Yesterday there was a drone strike at RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus.

However, Akrotiri might be geographically in Cyprus, yet it's sovereign British territory.

So according to the rules, that wasn't a strike on Cyprus, it was on the United Kingdom.

Which means buying "No" was kinda free money.

Me being in Cyprus & knowing geography is the real alpha.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Prediction market traders that just made millions $ by trading that the US/Israel would strike Iran today.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

Some of my picks & thoughts on Trump's SOTU speech.

I bet $2,233 to win ~$5,000 profit that Trump will say Biden 10+ times at 31%.

At that price I still think there is a huge value on this pick, however the price spiked to 40-48%, which made me hedge this bet.

I don't really like big counters like this one, so I preferred to hedge my bet and secure ~$600-700 profit regardless of the outcome.

My other pick is Trump to say 'Hottest' at 77%. What I hate about this pick, is that I didn't buy way more at this price.

Trump just loves talking about how one year ago the US was a dead country and now it's the HOTTEST country anywhere in the world.

I will hold this pick till the end 100%.

Finally, I bought Trump to say 'Egg' (egg prices are down bla bla) and that the speech will be 100+ minutes.

Last year it was 99 minutes and yesterday Trump said "SOTU speech will be a long speech because he has so much to talk about". (This could also mean nothing tho because it would be long anyway).

That's all for now, I will be live trading a lot this one, because I am sure there will be many mispriced brackets during live.

GL everyone. NFA DYOR.

[The Greek Trader @TheGreekTrader]

You can now bet on which crypto company @zachxbt will expose for insider trading.

I hope we don't get insider traded by someone trying to expose someone else for insider trading lol.

https://t.co/vJQlRvCWQR