Chris✨

25. 🥶✨#WeBelieve | NCTL | #XRP

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

Might have to go nocturnal on em✨

[Dan Clark @DanClarkSports]

If MLB is going to have the ABS Challenge system, this simply cannot occur.

This is actually a disgrace and someone needs to be held accountable.

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

LMAO TATIS FINALLY GOT HIS FIRST HR

[Trainwreck @Trainwreckstv]

In light of X communities sadly closing down, let’s migrate the community over to Club, link will be in comments.

$200K giveaway (all of my sub revenue)

LIKE & COMMENT with a BTC address.

$50K here on X (5 winners)
$150K on Club (15 winners)

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

@Trainwreckstv 🐐

[Trainwreck @Trainwreckstv]

Alright my brothers & sisters, it’s time to run it back and look for a big day.

Today is the X community giveaway of all of my subscriber revenue, I’ll double it & make it $200K & introduce where we’re moving the community to since X is closing communities in 2 days.

LIVE NOW!

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

IM SICK BRO SICK

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

How the past couple days have gone for me… I gotta be dueeee 2700 from 25 in 2 days… what coulda been man FUCK and they both Harper and Olsen went deep yesterday. Shits sickening

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

How the past couple days have gone for me… I gotta be dueeee 2700 from 25 in 2 days… what coulda been man FUCK and they both Harper and Olsen went deep yesterday. Shits sickening

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

@AaronSupreme @MLB So ass, like it’s not this deep we just wanna watch the game 🤣 why does it matter where I live

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

This is absolutely sickening! Can’t watch a single game on right now due to the blackouts! BE BETTER @MLB

[Daily Loud @DailyLoud]

A volcano was erupting in the Philippines when a meteor suddenly crashed behind it and it appeared that something came out of meteor and began flying upwards 🤯

[Combat Casuals @Combat_Casuals]

Rico Verhoeven just had his win over Oleksandr Usyk STOLEN by the ref‼️

Dominating Usyk as a 1-0 boxer and they stop the fight AFTER THE BELL⁉️

#UsykRico

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

jus saw train hit 10mil from some ass cheeks 😵‍💫

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

June bugs are out mid May

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

Fk it I guess I’ll turn the angels game to end the nono

[TGU Swag @eswc_s]

Crazy that if cod finals was 2 BO5s like it should be this would’ve been the clip that ended the major

[Chris✨ @Middles_]

@Angels just said fk it let’s give the dodgers some BP for 3 days

[Viva La Stool @VivaLaStool]

Austin is FIRED UP and he’s taking home a piece of his bush

[Quigs @BigSeanQ_]

[BUSH]

[SlabSquatch Sports Cards @WaxMetrix]

2026 Bowman Value Boxes Analysis

Now that we have a full case rip in the books, I thought it would be a good time to re-evaluate a bit.

Some of the results were exactly as we expected. Some were not. If you tuned in, I think we can all agree that the case I ripped was underwhelming. Sure, one case is a small sample size, but it does help us visualize what some of these numbers actually mean.

Some big questions still remain:
1) Was our case below average or is this what you should expect when ripping a case of Value Boxes?
2) Would I still stand behind my assertion that Value Boxes are the best rip pound for pound when compared to other formats?

I can help you with some of this, but ultimately, you will need to decide what's most important to you as there are distinct differences between the formats.

Here's what we pulled vs what we expected to pull:

Autos- 3. Expected- 4
I think we were just unlucky on this one. The numbers show pretty clearly that autos fall 1:10 boxes overall. Due to variance, I would expect some cases to have more than 4, some less. Mine was less.

Parallels- 70 (+7 Red RCs). Expected: 70
The numbers hit this one right on the head. That said, this rip really helps us visualize what this 70 consists of.

Chrome parallels- 13 (Expected- 12.4)
(Gold /50- 1, Green /99- 1, Green Reptilian /99- 1, Green Shimmer /99- 1, Blue /150- 1, Fuchsia /199- 1, Purple /250- 1, Purple Raywave /250- 2, Speckle /299- 1, Lava /399- 1, Refractor /499- 2)

Paper parallels- 17 (Expected- 15.2)
(Pink /175- 3, Purple /250- 2, Purple Pattern /250- 2, Fuchsia /299- 3, Neon Green /399- 3, Sky Blue /499- 4)

Reptilians- 40 (Expected- 40)

Parallels Gold /50 or lower- 1 (Expected- 1.24)

Rare Inserts- 1 (Expected- 1.3)
(Patchworks)

Honestly, results were pretty much as expected on parallels as a whole. 70 sounds like a lot of parallels to pull from a case. But you have to consider 40 of those are Reptilians at 1 per box. And numbered cards are predominantly /250 and higher, but that will be consistent from any format.

The biggest surprise, and the reason why I think this was a pretty heavily underperforming case, is the metric I call quality hits. This encompasses all parallels and insert parallels /75 or lower, autos /100 or lower, and case hit level inserts or rarer.

The odds show that you should expect one quality hit per 8 Value Boxes, or 5 per case. I pulled two (one Gold Chrome /50 and one Patchworks Insert). That tells me that ours was a distinctly below average case.

For context, odds also interestingly show that Quality Hits should fall 1 per Hobby box and 1 per Jumbo. Though I always include this on my spreadsheets for periodic format ranking purposes, I did not include this on my initial Bowman write-up.

What this tells us is, from a Quality Hit perspective, Hobby and Blasters are very close and both far superior to Jumbos.

$/Quality Hit (Based on pre-order pricing)
1) Hobby- $240
tie 1) Value- $240
2) Jumbo- $520

Conclusion:
Our case was a clunker. The only area we probably excelled were the Red RCs. Though we pulled one less than expected, our names included Murakami, Delauter, and Sal Stewart. From those, I'm hoping for at least one ROY, if not two, which would translate into some sweet Fancash.
After some research, it looks like only the Red RCs in basketball are worth $200 since there is only one ROY winner. The Baseball versions appear to still redeem at $100ea. I misspoke on this in my video. Even for someone as immersed in the hobby as I am, it's a lot to remember.

Do I still stand by my assertion that Value Boxes are the best format for value?

Yes, with a caveat.

For sheer parallel volume, Value Boxes win hands down. Just know that these will consist of predominantly unnumbered and high numbered parallels.

This is not altogether different than Hobby, which will also produce one unnumbered Mini Diamond, one unnumbered Xfractor, and two unnumbered Reptilians per box. Those account for 4 of your avg 8.5 parallels per hobby box.

Jumbo will have less parallels, but only one unnumbered Reptilian per box.

As for as rare inserts go, I have to stress again that at 1 in ~30 boxes, Value Boxes are the most cost-effective way to pull almost all of them. I was unlucky in the fact that the one from my case was probably the worst subject of all those checklists. I mean, is anyone actually a Ceddanne Rafaela fan?

If your objective is giving yourself the best chance to pull significant hits, Hobby is the best format. On paper, a better blaster case should give Hobby a challenge, but Quality Hits are more dense in Hobby, and the addition of Hobby exclusive Orange parallels help. If prices on Hobby boxes increase sharply over the $240 pre-order/$260 drop day pricing, this story will change.

For sheer auto potential, Jumbo is king as always. Low-numbered first autos are some of the most sought-after chases in Bowman. If that is your objective and you don't care about ancillary metrics, then it may be worth it to you to pay up for Jumbos. They're just not good for much else, and the fact that these are going for far more than the pre-order price of $520 would worry me if I was a buyer. At $750+, I'm out. High risk, high reward on these.

Breaker's Delight is a wild card. At 70%, they will produce by far the best percentage of numbered autos, but the fact that they dropped an auto from last year is frustrating. At 1.36 Quality Hits per box, they will be easier to come by than in any other format. The fact they don't win on any individual metrics can be misleading. Delight boxes are stacked. The question is are they worth the price since the only way for an average Joe to acquire them is on the secondary market. $75+ per card would be hard for me to stomach, especially knowing some of those will be base inserts.

And to muddy the waters even more, Mega Boxes are still a question mark. They come out two weeks after everything else, so we'll be left in suspense for a while. There are two main components that will define if Megas are worth buying. We already know that rare inserts are not possible. But there's a chance the format can still be salvaged.
Will they take lead provided by Bowman basketball and offer "1st Bowman" autos. They haven't in the past. And as of a month ago, I would have said there's no chance based on MLB Mega Box history. But then Bowman NBA goes and throws all that on its head and offers "1st Bowman" Autos. If this change happens in baseball, it's a game changer.
Also, the odds for baseball and basketball megas both stated there will be one Mojo parallel per pack (6 per box). Anyone who's ripped a basketball mega box knows they produce 12 Mojo parallels/box (11 Mojo parallels, 1 Mojo insert). If we have double the expected parallels in baseball megas, this goes a long way toward making the format better. If this is not the case, then the only thing I can conclude is that Topps likes basketball fans more than baseball fans.

So, overall, I have to stand by the Value Boxes as being the best bang for your buck. There are plenty of big hits hiding in Value Boxes...there just weren't in mine. And the simple fact that you will be able to get them at $30 MSRP means a lot. This will not be true of Hobby or Jumbo.

I assure you, there will be nukes pulled from all formats of Bowman. Everyone's experience will be different. My data is based on averages extrapolated from odds. They certainly will not define what your experience will be. Buy what makes you happy.

If I can give you one piece of advice, it’s this:

Don’t go into a rip expecting to get your money back, no matter the format. It’s fun, but it’s still gambling. If you go in assuming you will only get back 25% of what you spent, you’ll end up being pleasantly surprised way more often than if you’re expecting to come out ahead.

Good luck with your Bowman rips.

#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2026Bowman

[Matt Wallace @MattWallace888]

Man accidentally walks into the scene while they are filming for Hontavirus 🤦🏻‍♂️