Mike Irvine

Biostatistician at BC Children's Hospital Research Institute. Scientist who works with data. Opinions expressed are my own.

[Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rlmcelreath]

Forgive me, for I am about to Bayes. Lesson: Don't trust intuition, for even simple prior+likelihood scenarios defy it. Four examples below, each producing radically different posteriors. Can you guess what each does? Revealed in next tweet >>

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@TAH_Sci Would a good Bayesian be using an improper prior?

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

Our new study modelling the urgent need for #naloxone in the US. Using a #Bayesian model we developed for BC we estimated the probability of its use during a witnessed overdose. https://t.co/KLlynTCUPU provides estimates for each state @DanCoombsUBC @TraciCGreen1

[The Lancet @TheLancet]

NEW—Naloxone: substantial increase in life-saving #opioid overdose intervention urgently needed in almost every U.S. state, finds study in @TheLancetPH.

https://t.co/98a7nNWFd0

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@WarwickComplex @JonathanSkipp Congratulations @JonathanSkipp !

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@JoeBHilton Obligatory XKCD https://t.co/cTAbvfAp36

[Thomas Wiecki @twiecki]

The real reason to go Bayesian.

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@mathdona @GaryMirams @UoNMaths Congratulations! 🎉🎉🎉

[Med School Parents @Dr_R_Goldman]

Excellent discussion with @tedfieldglobal from @GlobalBC on our @ubcmedicine study – visits during the COVID19 peak pandemic @BCCHresearch
https://t.co/NpsR2B3Mqs

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@dbhaskar92 @HeikoEnderling @ara_anderson @mkjolly15 @mathonco @ESmb2020 @MathDeptOrg Nice work! Anywhere we can view the poster online?

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

Academic lemma: the number of requests and emails will go towards infinity as the date goes towards when you're supposed to go on holiday.

[Naveed Janjua @naveedjanjua]

Our team @CDCofBC & @ubcspph in #Vancouver is recruiting a quantitative #epidemiologist with focus on #COVID-19 and a #postdoc infectious disease #modelling to work with COVID-19 response team @CDCofBC. #epitwitter. DM me if interested. #BigData #YVRjobs @UBCmedicine

[Jessica Stockdale @JEStockdale]

Long time frames to detect the impact of changing COVID-19 control measures. Tag line: it takes longer than 2 weeks to see the impact of a change in physical distancing (or other NPIs)
with @MostlyStatic @CarolineColijn

https://t.co/U1uGqD8Fp8

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@DanCoombsUBC Skype at least does have a feature for subtitle, not sure if the same is true of zoom?

[Christopher Davis @chris_n_davis]

Pleased our work on the use of mixture density networks for emulation in epidemiology has recently been published in @PLOSCompBiol. Check it out: https://t.co/auwh3LSU27 @MikeAIrvine @DeirdreHoll @QuentinCAUDRON

[Daniel Coombs @DanCoombsUBC]

Yesterday's talk for those who missed it, or don't have Netflix: Real-time modelling of the 2020 coronavirus epidemic. https://t.co/3EChtSad1n via @YouTube. Shoutout to @UBC cosmologist Douglas Scott for the invitation to speak in the physics colloquium.

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@TAH_Sci Thanks for sharing Thomas. I got inspired by this (and others) to create one myself: https://t.co/1xhqxgyYg1

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

I created a blog post that allows you to explore how interventions might impact the covid-19 pandemic https://t.co/1xhqxghnot

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

Lots of talk at the moment surrounding the R0. I recently created an app to explore the concept for educational purposes only: https://t.co/JHYvyK4vQi

[Mike Irvine @MikeAIrvine]

@QuentinCAUDRON Pacific Northwest in the fall though, would be better to predict when it isn't raining...