@NWSBoulder This is a step in the right direction. I think you can do more to emphasize the low-side probabilities on ALL your communications. If the school districts had really understood there was a 1 in 10 chance of <4" in Denver, they might have waited until morning to make the call.
@ProfEmilyOster The simple framework for estimating risk is great. The hard part is knowing the probabilities to use. 10-15% for household transmission was shockingly low to me. I would LOVE a transmission probability cheat sheet! Teacher-> student, student-->student, parent-> kid etc.
@nasa Our preschooler loved hearing about all the instruments on Perseverance during today's student Q&A. He would like to know whether those instruments include drums? π₯π₯ #CountdownToMars
@ProfEmilyOster Great post! I'm curious for your take on the model used by https://t.co/swooicM6tb which calculates an implied infection curve based, in part, on testing volume