Michael Hunderson

Trading Mentor @ BOTE Finance Institute 📈 | Options & Crypto Strategist. 12+ yrs helping traders win w/ precision & innovation. Master the markets! #Crypto

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

24 hours to Tesla—first Magnificent Seven report
Markets: +0.3-0.5% VIX: 20.50 (elevated despite gains) Setup: Software thriving (Netflix), hardware cautious (TSM)
Tomorrow sets tone for tech week Friday: Delayed CPI + NFP both drop

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Q3 earnings paradox: Banks crushing it, but VIX jumping to 19.50
Banks (JPM/C/WFC): Beat with real revenue growth VIX: 19.50 (up from mid-16s) Signal: Smart money hedging before tech earnings

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

⏰ 1 hour to Fed minutes (2PM ET)
This week: Mon: Rally to new highs on -32K jobs Tue: Pause on hot PPI Wed: Waiting for Fed's view
Key: Minutes written BEFORE jobs shock and PPI surprise

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

This week's biggest lesson: Markets don't follow our logic
DESPITE:

Government shutdown
Missing jobs report
ISM manufacturing 7th month contraction
Mixed China PMI

RESULT: 5th consecutive weekly gain, new records
Don't fight the trend. Understand it.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Q4 Week 1: Risk-off tone as multiple crosscurrents hit
Today's scoreboard: 🔻 Asian markets mixed (Hang Seng -0.72% worst) 🔻 US futures down 0.3-0.4% 📈 DXY 106.18 (USD strength) 📊 VIX futures ~15.5 (vol rising)

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

🌟 Community-powered insights from this weekend:
"MacroMaven" asked a brilliant question about CBDCs impact on ETF flow analysis. Answer: CBDCs will likely ENHANCE flow data, not diminish it.
Multiple requests for commodity ETF flow analysis → new series launching next week.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

📊 Weekend prep for a data-driven Q4
Coming up: 🇨🇳 Monday: China PMI (first major Sept data) 📈 Friday: US Jobs Report (the big one)
Pro tip: Don't predict the data. Prepare for ALL market reactions.

🔗 https://t.co/VFabtHPbel

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

📊 September 2025: The month that rewrote the rules
Equity performance: 📈 S&P 500: +3.5% (vs -0.5% historical avg) 📈 NASDAQ: +4.2% 📈 Dow: +2.8%
Crypto reality check: ₿ BTC: -5% → $109,491 💎 ETH: -6% → $5,350

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

🔄 The crypto-traditional market convergence is accelerating
Current data: 📊 S&P 500: 6,668 (record levels) 📊 VIX: 16.63 (+volatility) ₿ BTC: $112,400 (0.65+ correlation with SPX)

🔗 https://t.co/VFabtHPbel

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

🏛️ FOMC Day 1: Record highs (SPX 6,629) with VIX +6% to 15.69
This divergence screams institutional hedging. 94% probability of 25bp cut tomorrow, but that 6% uncertainty could create violent volatility.
🔗 https://t.co/VFabtHPJ3T
#FOMCMeeting #FedPolicy

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Why last week's jobs report was the PERFECT trading psychology lesson:
Initial reaction: Panic selling on 22K jobs (vs 75K expected) Smart money reaction: "Weak data = Fed easing = bullish"
Emotional traders got whipsawed. Disciplined traders positioned for the real move.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

🗓️ New month, new opportunities.
September data: 📊 VIX: 14.1 (historically low) 📊 S&P Futures: 5,315.50 ₿ BTC: ~$107,881
Remember: Success in trading comes from discipline, not luck.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

🧠 Weekend Reflection: In market volatility, risk management matters more than predicting direction.
This week's data: 📊 VIX: 14.50 (low volatility) 📈 Major indices down 0.5-0.8% ₿ BTC: $111K (-2.1%)

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

VIX in mid-teens + 0.80 Put/Call ratio = PERFECT Iron Condor weather ⛅
S&P 500 stable at 5,500. Time decay and low volatility are your friends right now.
This is when sophisticated strategies shine. 🦋
https://t.co/siL613hNQ5

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Anna K. was stuck breaking even for 2 years.
After using our AI risk management tools: 4.5% average monthly returns.
Her words: "The AI enforced discipline I never had."
This is why we built BOTE. 💪
https://t.co/siL613ilFD

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

ETH +4.66% weekend rally while total crypto market cap approaches $3T.
But the real story? SEC's "Project Crypto" + UK retail cETN approval = institutional floodgates opening.
DeFi isn't speculation anymore. It's infrastructure. 🏗️
https://t.co/siL613hNQ5
#DeFi #Ethereum

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Bitcoin at $118,400 while SPX drops 0.73% yesterday. Classic divergence = classic opportunity for options traders who understand cross-asset correlations.
Tonight's NFP data will be the real test. Are you ready? 📊
https://t.co/siL613hNQ5
#OptionsTrading #Bitcoin

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Midday AI signal check: Nasdaq hits new highs (+0.17%) while market shows classic AI-driven concentration. 70-80% of trading volume now algorithmic, creating unique pattern recognition opportunities.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Tonight's Apple/Amazon earnings test two opposing consumer tech philosophies after yesterday's mixed MSFT (+2.5%) and GOOGL (-2.8%) results showed market's selective approach to tech investments.

[Michael Hunderson @MikeHunderson]

Tonight's the night: Microsoft and Alphabet earnings after close will test the AI investment thesis. Combined $200-300B in AI capex across big tech demands revenue validation.
Microsoft key metrics: Azure growth rate, Copilot adoption data, and $64.5B revenue expectation.