Mikey

egocentric masochist; technically half centaur

[Matthew Cappucci @MatthewCappucci]

Have weather forecasts seemed less accurate lately? There's a major contributing factor: nearly half the morning weather balloons in the Lower 48 are "missing."

This is an ongoing crisis that is degrading critical severe weather forecasts that we all rely on. It's having real, tangible impacts on degrading forecast quality.

If you work in transportation, agriculture or commerce, this should matter to you.

Regardless of the causes, this negatively affects people of ALL political backgrounds. Weather affects everyone. And it's impacting ALL of us negatively.

We can't look at weather balloon data that doesn't exist. We can't pump nonexistent data into models. We can't rely as heavily on models that don't "know" what's happening above our heads.

This is especially concerning for severe weather forecasts. We can't go 18 hours without ascertaining how the atmosphere is layered, how much storm fuel has built up and if severe thunderstorms are going to erupt. The Storm Prediction Center has even acknowledged forecasting frustrations in at least one public bulletin.

As an atmospheric scientist myself, I can say firsthand – the forecasts I'm able to offer you are less accurate than they would otherwise be. I'm not able to predict severe weather with the confidence I normally would. That is extremely concerning.

The United States is "supposed" to launch balloons at 0Z and 12Z ideally – a.k.a. around 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. Eastern time. That's not happening. Many sites, due to staffing issues stemming from broader political and organizational issues, have pushed to 18Z, or early afternoon. That's not helpful for morning severe weather forecasts. In other words, you get less lead time. Less advanced notice. Quicker ramp-ups and ramp-downs to the forecast.

We're not able to get jet stream, temperature, moisture or wind profiles of the atmosphere each morning like we otherwise would.

Moreover, the World Meteorological Organization encourages 12Z soundings; that data is shared via the Global Observing System (GOS) under the World Weather Watch (WWW). That's not happening.

[Omar Jimenez @OmarJimenez]

The government claimed she rammed Border Patrol agents with her vehicle before an agent shot her five times. But new bodycam video shows the agent turned his steering wheel toward Marimar Martinez and that he was congratulated for "excellent service" after shooting her.

[Ryan Grim @ryangrim]

Drop Site obtained harrowing footage of the latest killing which appears to be from the perspective of the woman in pink filming from the sidewalk

[Vivian @suchnerve]

Free Palestine, fuck ICE, ACAB, unconditional abortion access, trans rights are human rights, protect trans kids, nations built on slavery owe reparations to those enslaved people’s descendants, autism is good, and you deserve to have your basic needs met simply because you exist

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@Wallface @B7AKE ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@azPadre @BNONews @alertpage Suck start a shotgun

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@Drunk_Cicero @angieloohoo @GeneralMCNews it's not a valid question you're just a shitty fucking human who thinks suffering is a psyop.

Find human contact and empathy or shut the fuck up forever you human turd

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@angieloohoo @GeneralMCNews you haven't seen any crisis actors you're just a dumb gullible cunt whose life is so boring, you think the misery of others is a mystery for you to solve.

literally touch grass and find fucking empathy you single cell organism

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@guy_steller @SamanthaStarsh3 Why are you worrying about "illegals?"

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@NunYour524367 @SamanthaStarsh3 Nazis deserve no recognition, only extermination.

Conflating the two isn't smart or even correct. One's a violent ideology and one's a equality movement.

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@JoeRanon252174 Very Christian of you.

So Christ-like.

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@sarielubembers @LEBassett What a terrible time to know how to read

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@Slycobb @TalkinBaseball_ @DodgersAndrew Whataburger is absolutely trash. Their buns are the cheapest most mushy shit. Just awful food.

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@FuckFacePod @EricBaudour @andrewpanton @GeoffLRamsey @GavinFree

I've found a (former) non-shifter in the wild

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@andrewpanton after warming up and before the elbow pain probably like 75-80mph. Played baseball for like 15 years

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@FabianArdaya The Dodgers don't deserve you Fabian. Come back to Anaheim. We miss you.

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@thedodgergirl Chase capacity is 48,000

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@thedodgergirl @HaloHangover @NLDIT714 Not that many people travel. Maybe this is some post covid travel bug but I lived in Phoenix until 2017 and it was more and more blue every year.

[Mikey @MikeyA15_]

@thedodgergirl @della_jamie Grew up in LA an Angels fan when the dodgers didn't win anything. Angels didn't want to be from LA we liked Anaheim or California Angels more. But we were the original LA team.