๐จ SPACEX FELL 50% - EXACTLY WHAT I WANTED
I told you this drop was coming.
SpaceX is now down almost ~50% from its peak.
The $SPCX falling right now is actually the part I've been waiting for.
Everyone's screaming "failed IPO."
They're right about the price and wrong about what it means.
Here's what's actually happening:
~5% of SpaceX floats.
The rest unlocks in waves - 20% after Q2 earnings, then tranches through November.
Each wave dumps supply onto a stock that already stopped buying at $225.
That's the mechanic crushing it.
Not the company.
The plumbing.
And yes - the bears have real points.
Japan landed a reusable rocket.
Flight 13 slipped.
The valuation is stretched.
That's exactly why this keeps bleeding through every unlock.
But watch what happens on the other side.
Once the float is fat and the last locked shares hit the tape, the supply overhang is gone.
No more forced sellers.
That's the moment the sellers run dry - and that's when real size steps in, not before.
Institutions don't buy the hype at $225.
They buy the exhaustion after the final unlock, when the timeline has already left for dead.
The unlock schedule is the whole map.
I'm not buying yet.
The best entry of 2026 is on the far side of these waves. You'll know the moment I move.
NFA. Notifications on.
Sorry, but you WILL regret not following me earlier.
VOLUME NEVER CHANGE:
Define your edge and verify positive expectancy with data. Backtest and track.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. No adโhoc changes once youโre in.
Cut losses quickly. Small, frequent losses are tuition.
Let winners run. Sitting tight on the right trend often pays the most.
For those of you that are new to our trading strategy and indicators, here is the breakdown:
1. We are swing traders that focus on a MONTHLY & a DAILY chart. When we place a trade we are looking to typically hold the position for 1-6 months. WE ARE NOT DAY TRADERS!!
2. We ENTER and EXIT positions using the โ trading indicators.
3. ๐ข= BUY ๐ด= SELL
4. We only BUY assets that have a GREEN DOT ๐ข on the MONTHLY chart
5. We buy the day of the DAILY ๐ข in or around the GOLDEN ZONE as long as the monthly is ๐ข
(Buy Strategy = Monthly ๐ข + Daily ๐ข = BUY)
6. We have 2 different selling strategies:
๐ด Sell Strategy #1 = We sell on a BIG red dot in the RED ZONE on the DAILY chart
๐ด Sell Strategy #2 = We sell when the stochastic RSI (Light blue line on the trading indicator) hits the white dotted line on the MONTHLY chart.
For more information and a full breakdown checkout my FREE trading course inside of the discord at https://t.co/pHb1MsWE3A
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor always do your own research before investing!!
@overkilltrading