@FardadFarahzad@shayansamii فرزاد همه تحلیل های ایشون اشتباه به نظر یک قرار داد پنهانی بین امارات و ایران پشت صحنه اتفاق افتاده هم پرواز ها باز شده هم دیگه حمله نمیشه به امارات و هم ویزاها بازشده هر چند این قرار داد پنهان خیلی شکننده هست، نشون می ده این کشور ها آمادگی جنگ بلند مدت ندارن .
اگر خدای نکرده دوباره جنگ شروع شد، خودتون رو برای شنیدن و خواندن جملات آزاردهنده ای مثل «بهترش رو می سازیم»، «فدای یه موی سر جوون هامون»، «راه حل شما چیه؟»، «زیرساخت به کون»، «مگه به حرف ماست؟» آماده کنید که در لابلای مرور دردناک اخبار، مثل نمک بر زخم دل شما پاشیده بشه.
@_A_khalifa 5/
A sudden collapse in a country as large and strategic as Iran could also create massive unpredictability for the region — economically, politically, and in security terms.
@_A_khalifa 4/
That’s why geopolitics is rarely black and white.
States compete, pressure each other, and sometimes profit from the very tensions they publicly criticize.
@_A_khalifa 3/
Some countries strongly opposed Iran politically, while at the same time benefiting economically from sanctions, trade routes, re-export markets, capital flows, and regional instability.
@_A_khalifa 2/
Like it or not, the entire region adapted itself around the existence of the Islamic Republic over the last 40+ years — politically, economically, and strategically.
@_A_khalifa 4/
Because regional politics is interconnected.
When the UAE normalizes with Israel, Iran notices.
When Iran expands influence, the Gulf notices.
When Turkey moves, everyone notices.
@_A_khalifa 3/
If tomorrow, in some alternate universe, Iran and Israel suddenly signed a “Cyrus Accord,” do you really think Gulf states would just shrug and say “not our business”? Probably not.
@_A_khalifa 2/
But saying “it’s none of your business” doesn’t really work in Middle Eastern geopolitics 😄
Every major alliance in this region affects the balance of power.
@amjadt25 4/
The Middle East has never worked under a single “boss.”
It’s a balance-of-power region where everyone needs coordination with everyone else.
@amjadt25 3/
And honestly, Oman deserves more respect in these conversations 😄
Muscat quietly mediates between rivals while others compete for attention on social media.
@amjadt25 2/
If we talk about real geopolitical weight, countries like Saudi Arabia, Iran, Turkey, and Israel have been shaping the region for decades through population, military power, geography, energy, and ideology.
@amjadt25 1/
The UAE is an important and successful country in the region, especially in business, logistics, and diplomacy. Nobody denies that. But the Middle East is much bigger than one state’s influence 🙂