@Philipp81346304 Mais c’était mathématique depuis le début, ils vont maintenant compter les 3 % de votes de la région de Lima qui restent (favorable à Keiko) et elle va creuser encore plus l’écart.
This morning, French fighter jets deployed to NATO Air Policing at Šiauliai Air Base shot down a drone that entered Latvian airspace.
Lithuania thanks our French allies for their swift and professional action in safeguarding the security of our region.
🇵🇪 | Estas son mis proyecciones de escenarios finales en Perú basándome en los conteos actuales (92,673%).
El margen actual en este momento es de 51.689 votos a favor de Keiko Fujimori con el Perú escrutado al 95,285% y el voto extranjero en 0%.
Quedan restantes 1.270.000 votos (7,33%).
Los tres escenarios posibles:
🟢 Escenario optimista para Keiko:
Voto extranjero fuerte favorable en un +65% a Keiko.
- Keiko: 50,36% – 50,50%
- Sánchez: 49,50% – 49,64%
- Diferencia: +110.000 — +150.000 votos
🟡 Escenario base / moderado:
Voto extranjero entre 58-62% a favor de Keiko.
- Keiko: 50,19% – 50,26%
- Sánchez: 49,74% – 49,81%
- Diferencia: 60.000 – 85.000 votos
🔴 Escenario pesimista (para Keiko)
Voto extranjero entre 52-55% a favor de Keiko.
- Keiko: 50.01% – 50,06%
• Sánchez final: 49,94% – 49.99%
• Margen final: Menor a 15.000 votos
Probabilidades finales de ser el nuevo presidente:
- Keiko Fujimori: 70%
- Roberto Sánchez: 30%
*No tomamos en cuenta lo que pueda pasar en robo de votos o actas a revisar (eso ya es factor humano, esto es matemáticas).
I did the math in Peru based on the current results from every province, using both the reported vote totals and the percentage of the vote counted in each province.
If the current margins in every province hold until 100% of the vote is counted, the projected result would be:
Sánchez - 8,917,462 (50.02%)
Fujimori - 8,910,045 (49.98%)
Under that scenario, Sánchez would win by approximately 7,417 votes.
However, this projection does not include the overseas vote, which has not yet reported results.
In 2021, Fujimori carried the overseas vote 220,588 to 112,671, netting 107,917 votes.
If overseas Peruvians vote similarly this year, the projected final result would be:
Fujimori - 9,130,633 (50.28%)
Sánchez - 9,030,133 (49.72%)
Under that scenario, Fujimori would win by approximately 100,500 votes.
Either way, it’s impossible to tell who is going to win this election until overseas ballots are counted in large quantities.
A video of a group of second-generation migrants enjoying themselves by beating up a Belgian boy is going viral in Belgium.
The attack took place on the bus line 133 between Kontich, Aartselaar and Schelle.
🇧🇪
They broke his bones, gouged his eyes out, cut out his tongue and castrated him. He died of a heart attack after being set on fire and dragged himself 50 meters across the floor.
"Tu me manqueras et je t'aimerai pour toujours 🕊️❤️ À jamais 18 ans mon frère"
Olivia Nowak, la sœur d'Henry Nowak, a publié une vidéo d'hommage à son frère.