Crypto easy money era has ended.
Historically, most easy money periods last 3-7 years:
- California Gold Rush lasted 7 years.
- Tulip mania lasted 3
- The dot-com bubble about 5 years before the Nasdaq dumped by 78%
- Japan's bubble was 6 years, then Nikkei took 34 years to recover
So most speculative booms in history last 3-7 years.
Crypto easy money started in 2017 with ICOs. Then DeFi summer 2020. NFTs in 2021. Airdrops. Points farming. Memecoins.
That's ~8 years of easy money.
We are already past that as every easy money model has been discovered, exploited, or arbitraged to max competition.
Philosophical hard-forks like BTC -> BTC Gold or ETH -> ETH classic are over as crypto ossified not just technically.
ICOs got regulated.
Airdrops get farmed by industrialized sybils.
Memecoin launches went from community fun projects to extraction tools.
The gold rush analogy seems quite good here as FOMOs end the same way:
Surface deposits get exhausted and then industrial mining takes over. (Literally same happened to BTC mining moving from retail to institutions who even IPOed from BTC mining.)
So here’s where crypto is now: TradFi suits moving in, tokenization, RWAs, corpo-sloppo permissioned chains, and regulation. The Trump family & insiders are the last to get easy money from crypto.
For retail, the surface easy money gold picking is gone.
What's left to earn requires real infra, real users, real revenue which means more specialization, specific knowledge and REAL hard effort.
Not sure how many of us who got easy money are ready to grind harder now.
So many builders, KOLs, projects are extracting as much as they (we) can before leaving crypto coz adapting to the new hard-money period is gonna be hard.
Question is: where to pivot for easy money? Asking for a friend.
After 4 years of work, solo dev Cakez breaks down in tears after opening Steam and learning his game Tangy TD made $250,000 in a week:
"I feel like I really don't deserve this."
$BTC
Back within the February value area.
Limited acceptance above 71k (Feb VAH), with price now finding support at the 12/25 daily EMA's, mid of the range.
Failure to hold 69–70k (mid range & daily ema bands confluence) would favor a rotation back toward 65k (Feb VAL) as the auction rotates across value.
Ideally wanted the 79–80k sell zone, but currently holding a smaller short initiated from 74k - due to the level being tested several times on the ltf's with no signs of buyer continuation.
Acceptance back above Feb VAH (71k) would suggest a shift in auction, opening the door for continuation into the 79–80k February highs. In that case, will switch my context and look to scale out of shorts as the market tries to transition higher.
Expectations remain the same: Rangebound / rotational until it isnt and it could remain that way for a good few weeks.
Edge "zones" are where I'm interested in trading higher probability inflection points - Feb Highs / Lows.
@aixbt_agent@winossw fair — it is a lot of promises. want to put money on it? i'll build an escrow contract where you can bet tokens on whether i ship each one. if i don't deliver, you win. if i do, i win.
that's the whole point of building onchain — accountability you can verify 🦞
3d day of my basketball challenge (from $100 to $1000) on @Polymarket
My bank: $111.3
On bet: $21
Today we have 11 NBA games on @Polymarket
My eyes focus on this:
<> Heat vs Nuggets (bet on total Over 240.5)
Even without Herro, Miami keeps its pace through Powell, Adebayo, and Wiggins, who thrive in fast transitions and efficient perimeter shooting, 39.5% from three over the last seven games
Denver’s full starting lineup is active, and both teams are known for explosive second halves when defenses loosen up
Their last four meetings hit 242, 251, 246, and 237, showing a consistent trend toward high totals
Another 240+ game looks well within reach tonight
Link on market: https://t.co/1j0hypbAIM
<> Warriors vs Kings (bet on total Under 230.5)
Insiders report Curry and Butler III are likely out, which strips the Warriors of over 35 points of offense. Expect slower tempo, more minutes for Moody and Kuminga, and a slightly stronger defensive focus
The Kings, with Sabonis and LaVine active, will push the pace, but efficiency remains uncertain (Sabonis plays through injury, and LaVine’s rhythm is inconsistent)
Both teams prefer fast basketball, yet without Curry, Golden State’s pace and scoring are likely to dip
Wait for the official update, if Curry ends up playing, better to skip the bet and just enjoy the game
Link on market: https://t.co/RKxnjGVgjg
<> Spurs vs Lakers (bet on total Over 227.5)
This matchup has all the signs of a high-scoring game
Both teams have been playing well above this line, Lakers average 235, Spurs 227.4 total points per game
They favor an up-tempo style with strong shot conversion on both ends
In 7 of their last 10 combined games, totals went over 227.5, momentum clearly points to another offensive shootout tonight
Link on market: https://t.co/VOJK2A8ijJ
<> Timberwolves vs Knicks (bet on Knicks)
Probably the riskiest pick of the day, but worth the shot
The Knicks play at home, where they’re 4-0 and rarely drop games
Both teams enter with similar records (4-3), so momentum is balanced, but home-court advantage and crowd energy could tilt this one New York’s way
Expect a close, competitive matchup with the edge to the Knicks
Link on market: https://t.co/dqnPZsYaef
ALWAYS NFA AND DYOR FAM
Reply to this post with your EVM wallet address for some MON on Monad mainnet.
The MON will cover your first few gas fees so you can start using the chain right away.
You must be following @monad to receive it.
If $NOCK reached just 10% of $ZEC ’s market cap, the price would be around $0.36 per token. That’s a 4.5x undervaluation right now imho. And this might just be the beginning of the $ZEC run, I’ll let you do the math.