Betting Models

Value exists where no one is looking.

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Its here, its all day college football.

My betting model looks for mismatches. Does your strength attack their weakness? Is strength wasted in a matchup? Did the market adjust?

We dont do locks, nukes, +6000 parlays.
Good bets sometimes lose and we dont delete the losses

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Wrapping up Saturday.

UTEP +11.5
Air Force -5.5
Fresno St -13.5
Washington-10.5
Stanford +3

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Rest of the card

Monroe +11.5
Arkansas -7
Cincinnati +6
Washington St +10.5
Utah St -3
Arkansas St -6.5
Alabama -12.5
Middle Tennessee +7.5
NC St -13.5
West Virginia -1.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

LSU is allowing just 33 rush yards a game while Texas A&Ms best offensive play is the one where everything is busted and Marcel Reed runs for his life.

Plus the fact that A&M was getting run out of Kentucky before garbage time deserves more respect

LSU -8.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Mississippi St boosters are going to need to get out their checkbook and their kneepads to keep Kamario Taylor at Miss St after this year, he is a video game character...meanwhile Missouri is the softest 3-0 in America

Mississippi St -4.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

A few of the reasons im on Oregon...

Oregon has beaten USC 4x in a row
USC gave up 460 yards to Rutgers
USC needed a 99 yard pick 6 to beat Rutgers
USC is without both Trent Mosley and Corey Simms

Oregon -3.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Rest of the afternoon:

JMU -6
Wisconsin +10
New Mexico St +11.5
Oklahoma +13.5
Miami (Oh) -3.5
Western Michigan +7.5
Iowa St +7.5
Nebraska -5.5
Auburn -9.5
TCU -3

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

This is the shadiest line ever, then you discover that Lacy is out.

Then you read that Ole Miss is near the top in the nation in missed tackles while Jadan Baugh has forced more missed tackles then anyone in college football.

Florida -3.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

I just can't take the team whose offense exists simply so that the defense can have a water break.

But congrats to them on winning the Iowa state championship!!

Michigan -5.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Rest of the early games:

Wake Forest +12.5
Georgia St -10.5
Boston College +14
Ball St +3
Baylor -9.5
Wyoming +2.5
Maryland +1.5
Toledo -3

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Somehow, Arch Manning has managed to have more time to throw the ball than almost anyone else while putting up the most mediocre numbers possible for a QB. Add in that Hollywood Smothers is limping around, this might be a tough cover for Texas.

Tennessee +5.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Today's slate is absolute fire. UAB and Clemson both handled business last night, Temple pushed so im 2-1-1 on the week.

Multiview on tap today, lots to research
Tennessee vs Texas
Oregon vs USC
LSU vs Texas A&M
Ole Miss vs Florida
Iowa vs Michigan
Boise vs W Mich

Let's GO

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Nothing makes +3.5 feel better than the fact that each Army scoring drive will chew up 20 minutes on 17 plays.

Temple +4
UAB +6.5
Clemson -2.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Im not saying Penix is good, but he's gotta be better than Cooper Rush. Factor in Green Bay being down sone linemen on bith sides and Jaylen Reed, I'll take the points.

Falcons +5.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Massive line movement toward Liberty and all of the public steam after they beat (not good) Ball St. All the while, ignoring that they barely got by Gardner Webb.

Coastal Carolina +2.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Smoke em if you got em. Rams coasted wrapping up a 12-4 week.

19-11-1 on the season

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

@_koolade As long as the Rams aren't flying in the day before the game, I got them

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

The Rams are in a good spot here. They wont be flying in th day before this game so it should give them a shot to not look completely god awful.

Rams -6.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Might he the best day of my life betting NFL. Went 11-3 and picked up 6.74 units.

This takes me to 18-11-1 on the season. Monday Night coming up!!

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

Kenneth Walker ran for 173 yards last week.

The Colts gave up 144 to Derrick Henry.

People take two Week 1 box scores, multiply them together and call it handicapping while ignoring that Mahomes knee is stapled together and his LT Josh Simmons is out.

Colts +6.5

[Betting Models @ModelsBetting]

File this one in the same category as the Browns. The Dolphins are awful but unless youre the 2007 Patriots, im not giving away almost 2 TDs

Dolphins +13.5