Me And The Money Printer

Markets are a freak show. We track the liquidity, insiders, and absurdities that make it run.

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

When Momentum Turns Red, This Is the Playbook

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/VUMzCKrKTm

When momentum stays negative, the playbook is simple: don't pick a side and pray, protect the balance sheet first. Raise cash while the tape is still two-sided and fills are good. Then wait. At peak fear, when people start invoking the Great Depression, that is when policy turns accommodative and insiders load up at the lows. The drop is what triggers the rescue, and the rescue becomes the trade. Not a crash call, but potentially one of the best setups of the year.

#investing #stockmarket #semiconductors #trading #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Leverage in This System Is Starting to Unwind

All week the conversation has been about leverage in the financial system and growing cracks in how the markets are actually functioning, and what happened Friday was no coincidence. This one goes deeper into how momentum actually works and how leverage is unwinding in the system right now. If you think the thesis is wrong, the data is worth a very close look.

Catch the full episode on YouTube: https://t.co/YiCOLvurr8

#investing #stockmarket #leverage #momentum #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Why Isn't Oil at $150?

The Strait of Hormuz is effectively shut, removing roughly 12 million barrels a day of seaborne oil. That should be a massive price shock. Instead Brent is sitting near $65. So what is going on?

The shock is being masked. Demand destruction across the emerging world, sharp cuts to Chinese crude imports, supply leaking in from elsewhere, and reserve releases are all keeping a lid on prices. But inventories are drawing down, and the day that cushion runs out is the day the calm ends. Right now oil is priced for a clean reopening that does not look like it is coming.

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/sT2zReoFGb

#investing #oilprices #energy #commodities #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Rate Cut Narrative Just Completely Flipped

For two years the entire macro world asked one question: when would central banks start cutting rates? That narrative just flipped. This month nearly every major central bank is poised to raise rates instead, and they are doing it into rising energy prices and stalling global liquidity.

Next week is one of the most loaded policy weeks of the year. The ECB, the Bank of Japan, and the Federal Reserve all meet within days of each other. The Bank of Japan move is the one to watch, because roughly $6 trillion in Japanese capital sits parked offshore and a hike raises the question everyone from Goldman to the Financial Times is asking: when does that money go home? And it all lands as a brand new Fed chair takes the seat.

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/sT2zRepdvJ

#investing #stockmarket #interestrates #Fed #centralbanks

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Hiring Just Hit Its Weakest Level Since 2020

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/nr2RTkPwnK

Everyone is watching AI spending and oil prices. The number that actually matters is buried in the hiring data, and it is flashing. Global hiring just fell to its weakest level since July 2020, the depth of the pandemic, with 14 of 21 sectors cutting jobs in May, the most in nearly two and a half years.

The headline stays calm. The global composite PMI held at 51.8, so growth looks fine on the surface. But underneath, the employment component cracked. Major financial events tend to hit the labor market on a lag of about three months, and that timing lines up uncomfortably well with where we are right now. This is the last domino, and it is starting to move.

#stockmarket #investing #jobs #economy #inflation

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The AI Trade Faces Its Biggest Test This Week

Catch the full breakdown RIGHT HERE: https://t.co/7epex52IMx

Wall Street has started pulling money out of the broad software rally of the last two weeks, and it is starting to look like a head fake. The money is concentrating back into a narrow group of AI winners, which means leadership in this market is getting dangerously thin. When everything leans on a handful of names, a lot is riding on each of them.

This is the week that gets tested. Major earnings prints will reveal whether the AI trade keeps running or begins to roll over. And there is a wild card underneath it all: the proposal to tax half of AI companies on stock could gap these names lower on any given morning, especially as more politicians start making noise heading into the midterms.

#Shorts #stockmarket #investing #AIstocks #earnings #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Rotation Happening Under the Surface Right Now

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/7epex52IMx

A major Wall Street firm just pulled Microsoft off the top of its list and put Walmart in its place. On its own that is a small move. As a signal, it is the kind of rotation that tends to show up late in the cycle, when crowded high-beta tech gives way to consumer staples and the real economy.

The logic is straightforward. The consumer is stretched, confidence is weak, but people still have to eat and shop, and that spending flows toward names like Walmart, Dollar General, and Dollar Tree. If inflation keeps running hot and rate expectations keep climbing, capital leaves expensive long-duration tech and moves toward energy, healthcare, and staples. That is the flow worth watching.

#stockmarket #investing #Walmart #markets #rotation

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Should the Government Nationalize Part of AI?

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/7epex53gC5

Senator Bernie Sanders has put forward a bill that would tax US AI companies by 50%, and not in cash. In stock. It follows similar calls from officials in South Korea, and it is part of a much larger conversation about whether the government should nationalize parts of the AI industry altogether.

This is not a new idea, and it does not start in the United States. Politicians everywhere have been circling AI companies, and the reason has less to do with envy than with math. Today's breakdown lays out what the bill actually says and how it could affect investors in the years ahead.

#Shorts #AI #investing #stockmarket #policy #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Myth of Price Discovery

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/jZnceOcadr

Most people believe markets exist to discover prices. When enough buyers and sellers meet, the result is what something is actually worth. But increasingly, especially after 2008 and 2020, markets do something different. They manufacture buyers who are required to act, finance them through collateral and leverage, and route them through mechanical rules.

The result is not buying spread across every name in the index. It is concentration into a handful of crowded assets, over and over, as the same positions get rebuilt. Understanding that shift changes how you read everything the market does.

#stockmarket #investing #markets #liquidity #pricediscovery

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Fastest Company Ever to Go From $500B to $1 Trillion

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/jZnceOcadr

Micron just became the fastest company in history to go from $500 billion to a trillion in market cap. Faster than Apple, faster than Amazon, faster than Berkshire. Apple took roughly 1,700 days. Micron did it in weeks.

The interesting question is not whether it is a good business. It is how this happens, and the answer is not really about the fundamentals. It is about who is structurally unable to avoid owning the stock. Six different buyers coming from six different directions, all converging at once. That is the every buyer thesis, and Micron is the clearest example of it yet.

#stockmarket #investing #Micron #semiconductors #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Buying Signal That Doesn't Lie

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/adEu0hz8Zw

The people running these companies can see their own order books. They know what is coming before anyone outside does. That is what makes insider buying the survivor's signal. Watch the dollar-for-dollar ratio of insider buying versus selling on a five-day moving average, and when it spikes, the people with the most information are putting their own cash on the line.

At the height of the Liberation Day selloff, that signal hit its strongest reading in months, right as policy shifted and the market took off from oversold conditions. They were not selling into the panic. They were backing up the truck.

#stockmarket #investing #insiderbuying #markets #trading

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Wall Street's Pawn Shop Explained in 60 Seconds

Catch the full episode on YouTube: https://t.co/adEu0hzGP4

A Treasury bill is the highest grade collateral on earth. The system treats it almost like cash. Someone borrows against it in repo, Wall Street's pawn shop, and walks away with cash while still holding the bill in some form. Now the same dollars are working at two places at once. That cash can take on risk, buy an index, finance a leveraged position.

The bill does not buy the stock directly. But it finances the balance sheet capacity, the hedging, and the leverage that does. That is how more bills in the system quietly leak into more buying for risk assets, and it is one of the least understood engines in the entire market.

#stockmarket #investing #liquidity #bonds #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

The Reason NVIDIA Keeps Winning

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/adEu0hz8Zw

When new buying power enters the market, it has to go somewhere. A small stock cannot absorb the flood. A name that index funds own, momentum funds chase, options traders trade, pensions hold, and retail recognizes can. That is what turns a company into an every buyer asset, and it is why every wave of money seems to reach the same handful of names.

This is not a claim that the fundamentals are fake. The chips matter, the earnings matter. But size creates buyer access, and buyer access reinforces size. Understanding that loop explains a lot about how the modern market actually moves.

#stockmarket #investing #Nvidia #markets #liquidity

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Stop Blaming the Fed. Start Watching the System.

Catch the full breakdown here: https://t.co/adEu0hz8Zw

The Fed is not the money printer. The system is. Banks print credit, repo prints, collateral chains amplify it, and the Fed only shows up when the other printers break. The market is not a voting machine and it is not a weighing machine. It is a purchasing power machine.

This episode connects the work of the people who each studied one piece of it: Buffett on value, Minsky on instability, Soros on reflexivity, Howell on liquidity, Borio on credit cycles. Each one studied an organ. This is the whole organism, and the connective tissue that ties it together.

#Shorts #stockmarket #investing #liquidity #FederalReserve #markets

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

How the Market Manufactures Buyers Out of Nowhere

Catch the full episode on Youtube: https://t.co/adEu0hzGP4

Every time the market falls and then rebounds, the explanation is always the same. They bought the dip. But who is they? Where did the money come from, who financed them, and why do they keep showing up in the same handful of names?

This episode of What Are We Missing pulls apart the machine behind it: liquidity, leverage, collateral, forced buying, momentum, and policy. Not a stock pick. Not a rigged-market rant. Just a plain-English breakdown of how the financial system manufactures buying power and why that power keeps flowing into the same mega-cap names while the headlines look terrible.

#stockmarket #investing #liquidity #markets #wallstreet

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Wall Street Built a $60 Billion Doomsday Machine

Catch the full breakdown on YouTube: https://t.co/8Dgl7NEG9B

Global assets in leveraged and inverse stock ETFs just went from $20 billion in January 2025 to over $60 billion today. Vertical. These are products that give retail investors 2x and 3x daily exposure to single stocks within regular brokerage accounts, and growth has accelerated since the momentum reversal was flagged in April.

The chart comes from Goldman Sachs via Bloomberg, and it tells you everything about how much leverage is now baked into a system where the best engineers no longer build infrastructure but instead build financial products because that is where the incentives point.

#stockmarket #investing #leverage #ETF #wallstreet

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

SpaceX Just Filed the Wildest IPO Document in History

Catch the full breakdown on YouTube: https://t.co/Xx5xPaQYt2

SpaceX just filed its S-1 and it is 540 pages of something nobody has ever seen in a public market before. The mission statement "extend the light of consciousness to the stars" appears six times throughout the prospectus. The TAM section includes asteroid mining, lunar energy production, and manufacturing on Mars. There is an artist rendering of life on Mars in the document. Not a pitch deck. The prospectus.

Elon's compensation only vests if SpaceX hits a $5.7 trillion market cap and establishes a human colony on Mars with at least one million inhabitants. A binding vesting condition in an SEC filing.

This reads less like an IPO and more like a manifesto for a civilization that hasn't been born yet.

#Shorts #SpaceX #IPO #stockmarket #investing #ElonMusk

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Owning Great Businesses Beats Predicting the Future

Full episode: https://t.co/pcpUzwJuhA

First episode of What Are We Missing with Pieter Slegers from Compounding Quality. He ignores macro entirely and just buys businesses he'd own for 20 years. Quality stocks haven't been this cheap in a decade. The full conversation challenged everything I do every morning.

#investing #stocks #momentum #WarrenBuffett #qualityinvesting

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

Who should be our next guest?

https://t.co/zP9BHYwwcZ

[Me And The Money Printer @MonetaryFallacy]

What Are We Missing: Pieter Slegers (Compounding Quality)

https://t.co/pcpUzwIWs2

The best companies in the world... wide moats, real pricing power, decades of compounding... are trading at their biggest discount since 1999. So either the best businesses on Earth quietly got worse… or the market is missing something enormous.

In the debut episode of What Are We Missing, Garrett Baldwin (Me and the Money Printer) sits down with Pieter Slegers of Compounding Quality, one of the most-followed quality investors in the world, to figure out which it is.

Garrett spends his life watching the machinery under the market: liquidity, funding, macro. Pieter ignores almost all of it and has compounded beautifully anyway.

This conversation is the collision of those two worldviews... what each side's blindness buys, and what it costs... applied to the single biggest setup in markets right now: quality at a 30-year discount, in the middle of an AI panic.