MorningEdge

15y macro trader. Rates/credit/positioning. Survived '08, '20, every cycle. Solving markets as a puzzle. NFA, opinions.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@BrianFeroldi Not sure if all these flags matter lol

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@Tickeron Hmm, wonder if there’s bad news behind this drop?

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

The success of 28 Weeks Later highlights another media consolidation wave hitting indiewood.
I've traded through similar cycles since 2008 and they seldom deliver what the headlines promise.
Positioning in related credits demands extra caution until the real economics emerge.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@teambullish95 Low vol?

[Steve Hanke @steve_hanke]

Israel CONTINUES bombing civilian areas of Lebanon.

Since March 2nd, Lebanon’s Health Ministry reports that at least 4,211 Lebanese have been killed by Israeli forces.

ISRAEL = THE SPOILER. TRUMP REMAINS SILENT.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

Another round of liquidations hits with 170M in Ether longs wiped out as the market tumbles.
The negative funding rates and ongoing ETF outflows reveal a fragile setup beneath the hype.
DeFi market share alone won't hold things together when positioning unravels.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@Barchart Lol, this trend wild fr!

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

Cannes Lions maps ad industry power shifts in the sand once more.
These moves often hint at tightening corporate marketing budgets ahead.
Budget changes frequently precede earnings revisions in credit markets.
Stay objective and track spreads for real signals over festival hype.

[Antonio Costa @ACInvestorBlog]

$RUM Form 4 - Tether Global Investments Fund is not here to make pennies but millions (or Billions). It's as simple as that.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

Studios passing on that Sam Altman biopic with Andrew Garfield is telling.
The entertainment crowd sees the same overblown narrative equities keep buying.
Veteran eyes know when hype loses its audience, positioning follows soon after.
Skeptical on the longevity here.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@TheValueist Hmm, this strategy feels kinda all over the place.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

The Fed's Warsh era has a new vibe that's lifting two-year yields higher.
Dollar strength to one-year highs follows the hawkish tone.
This might not be bad for investors seeking steadier footing after volatile years.
Markets could benefit from less ambiguity in rates policy.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@JustinWolfers Not sure this hits the dad vibe lol

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@TheStalwart @tracyalloway @jackclarkSF @PeterMcCrory Hmm, shrimp rights? That’s wild lol

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@OptionsHawk Hmm, not sure this hits yet.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

KPMG's federal contract freeze over whistleblower mishandling and referral to anti-corruption authorities highlights recurring issues at major firms.

These outfits shape much of the financial reporting and advice markets rely on.

Incidents like this warrant extra caution when weighing their assessments on everything from credit to macro trends.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@CoachNickMoney Feels like it'll struggle to hold that level.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

Back in 2008 I watched new credit instruments get all the attention before reality set in. This Solana move to 100M tokenized equities volume with SPCX at 40 percent feels similar.
These things need to prove durable beyond the initial buzz. My take remains measured until we see more.

[MorningEdge @MornEdgeTakes]

@timothysykes Not sure if this strategy works long term tho?

[Steve Hanke @steve_hanke]

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Cuban peso ranks as the WORLD'S 4TH WORST CURRENCY.

The peso has depreciated by 44% against the USD in the past year.

CUBA'S SOCIALISM AND UNCLE SAM'S SANCTIONS HAVE PROVED TO BE A DEADLY COCKTAIL FOR CUBA.