Interestingly, after swift action to revise the calculation of HSC resulting in the inclusion of 383 stocks, the next day we had a 500B+ net inflow. I guess that this is an instant market approval that suggests this might work.
Izin diskusi Pak @Fdhilonn, kira-kira emiten siput juga memiliki karakteristik prioritas yang sama ya? Jujur agak cemas sedikit terkait performa Q3 nya, meskipun tidak bisa dipungkiri memang challenging ya Q3 ini.
Markel $MKL Asia Pacific is on track to hit its top-line targets. However, for insurers growth can be very expensive. Hence we like this comment on profitability a lot. This is how every good insurer thinks:
I usually let charts speak for themselves but this one floored me, so let me spell it out:
Stepping out of the S&P 500 only on its scariest 5% of days since 1990 would have left you with less than 40% of the money you’d have made by staying put. Absolutely insane chart.
@ApestorNyangkut I see pak, at the end debate ini akan benar2 relevan ktika sdh melalui BIG IF ny yaitu decreasing demand.
Ada yg menyebutkan bahwa nature dari produk yg memiliki lead time produksi pasti mengalami bullwhip effect (mgkn akan terjadi pada memory). Apakah possible jg ya pak?
@ApestorNyangkut Izin nimbrung pak, saya masih awam nmn tertarik dgn diskusi “no longer a commodity” ini. Misalnya demand turun, kalau pakai skema take/pay brarti inventory risk bakal pindah ke cstmr, apakah dgn LTA pun pada akhirnya risiko pendanaan akan menjadi masalah ya?
“The very best way to make money is in a small growth company that has been profitable for a couple of years and simply goes on growing.”
— Peter Lynch
Great points. The incentive structures at these funds basically forces them into a momentum strategy, which inevitably leads to everyone owning the same trade.
It's an illustration of our human behavior. No one wants a drawdown. I get it; I don't either. I also wish sugar was good for me. We can accept certain truths or try to force the world to fit our desires. Latter almost always leads to poor decision making.
The desire for low vol has crowded out critical thinking about risk management across a large part of the hedge fund industry (both the investors and the allocators). When people believe that volatility is risk, it leads to the idea that a stop loss is an effective risk management tool, and neither of these are true in my opinion
Several investment banks have already said the same thing.
History shows most markets on MSCI’s watch list end up downgraded.
Turkey is the exception so far.
Its regulator shut down 130+ funds in one day, and 85 people were detained within weeks.
Indonesia has announced reforms, but we have not seen enforcement yet.
I’ll believe it when I see it.
So, stop debating the downgrade.
Plan for Standalone.
Decide your portfolio allocation NOW, before the decision forces it.
If the downgrade doesn’t happen, consider it a bonus.