Muldenson

Not Financial Advice. Do Your Own Research. Ex-Engineer/Supply Chain/Ops Finance. The world is fueled by a giant debt bubble and computer driven derivatives.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Model Update:

We are trading at near 7400 on $SPX $SPY #ES_F on what my model projected.

If we continue the downtrend, 6800 can trade, where cash gets deployed.

If we see a relief rally 8050 can trade.

If we have bottomed, we can set sight on 8787.50.

These moves will be vicious in both directions.

I loaded up on 7400 knowing the downside risk and know how to manage it whether it's buying/selling to the general market or if its individual equities.

Sometimes its as simple as picking a level you have conviction on and if price slips, you manage the risk.

We are money managers at the end of the day.

Manage risk.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

I just made some headway into fair price and future price modeling. I took the $XLY sector and $SPX as a starter benchmark.

Fair prices on each:

$SPX @ 7400 (add 25 for /es futures)
$XLY @ 109.75

Target prices on each:

$SPX @ 9065 (add 25 for /es futures)
$XLY @ 138.50

Target prices can have between a 9 month to 36 month window.

The model is built off velocity/momentum.

If we keep the current bull run velocity we should see these prices fruition quickly, but if a bear case causes a turn then it will delay and slow down.

If we get to 7400 on $SPX this will be a strong buy for me.

More to come as I keep thinking and building.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

I'd say not being present and thinking multiple trades will make me profitable are probably my biggest mistakes. Sometimes sticking to the basics of investing/trading are the prerequisite to becoming profitable. When leaving a job to trade you feel the pressure to do more when in reality, you need to do less.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Good Morning degenerates

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick Nice, its always great seeing my neighbors lighting fireworks, dancing, and having their lights up. The next thing I think about is Christmas coming around the corner.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@elonmusk Model B incoming to complete the CYB3R Acronym? Cybercab, Model Y, Model B, Model 3, Roadster.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Thank you @BovedaInc! I can't wait to put this cigar humidor to good use in two weeks after its seasoned!

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick But Jensen said MRVL was $1T Market Cap 😭

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick Kind of epic that PTJ went on TV a week or two ago and said market was going to sell off just like he did when the market ripped.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Model was right.

$SPY $SPX #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

I just made some headway into fair price and future price modeling. I took the $XLY sector and $SPX as a starter benchmark.

Fair prices on each:

$SPX @ 7400 (add 25 for /es futures)
$XLY @ 109.75

Target prices on each:

$SPX @ 9065 (add 25 for /es futures)
$XLY @ 138.50

Target prices can have between a 9 month to 36 month window.

The model is built off velocity/momentum.

If we keep the current bull run velocity we should see these prices fruition quickly, but if a bear case causes a turn then it will delay and slow down.

If we get to 7400 on $SPX this will be a strong buy for me.

More to come as I keep thinking and building.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick For God, who said, 'Let light shine out of darkness,' made his light shine in our hearts to give us the light of the knowledge of God’s glory displayed in the face of Christ.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick It's been a while since ES and NQ have been decoupled like today. Typically NQ is 2x-3x off ES.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

My price predictions (12 Month Range):

Base Fair Value: $494.20
Bull Case Target: $626.50
Bear Case Target: $323.75

$GOOGL

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

In on $GOOGL 1085 shares

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

We hit 7490 earlier, is the market about to catch everyone offside and rip every bears face off now?

$SPX $SPY #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

We are about 85 points lower from this post. Still waiting on 7425 on futures to go full long. My model is still tracking the same as last week. Time horizon will be everything for future auction pricing.

$SPX $SPY #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Prepping anniversary dinner tonight for wifey

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Looks like Hoka is ahead of the game, ON mention during investor day that they'd have a similar style mid range shoe. Not sure how you feel about it, but it seems like ONs been sleeping since the Mbappe steal. Would like to see some more output out of them other than seeing discounts at Dicks which is counter intuitive to what they have been saying. Not sure how that plays out between Dicks and ON.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

We still have election uncertainty, AAPL, and NVDA to report earnings. Wouldn't be surprised if we continue to get some more sell pressure leading into these events.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

I know this sounds crazy but what if $qqq $ndx #nq get smacked down to its range that it broke out of earlier this year? A lot of the AI companies are already getting pushed down to that level outside of the mega caps. Would 25,500 actually happen?

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

We are about 85 points lower from this post. Still waiting on 7425 on futures to go full long. My model is still tracking the same as last week. Time horizon will be everything for future auction pricing.

$SPX $SPY #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

We are about 100 points lower from this post.

Still waiting on 7425 on futures to go long.

My model is still tracking the same as last week.

Time horizon will be everything for future auction pricing.

$SPX $SPY #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

collected 20 pts for profit on this trade.

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

Longed 7630 #ES_F

[Muldenson @Muldenson]

@TicTocTick Drink a nice Bordeaux and have a cigar during the weekend.