One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Joined our Adivasi brothers and sisters in the Rally against Vote Chori.
It's a sea of people lending strength to the fight against those subverting the Constitution
@INCIndia@INCAdivasi@INCWestBengal
दिल्ली के त्रिलोकपुरी में आज SIR को लेकर जनसुनवाई में वोट चोरी के जीते-जागते सबूत देखकर आया हूं।
हैरान रह जाएंगे! सिर्फ़ 4 बूथों पर 416 वोट काट दिए गए। बिना किसी जायज़ कारण के, ग़ैरक़ानूनी तरीके से।
इसीलिए हर बूथ का ऑडिट ज़रूरी है। तभी BJP-EC की वोट चोरी का असली पैमाना सामने आएगा।
ज्ञानेश कुमार जी, जितना छिपना है, छिप लीजिए। जाना तो पड़ेगा ही।
Yesterday, the nation's young came out in Delhi to peacefully protest. They came with love in their hearts, not hatred or anger. They were beaten, both by cops and BJP goons.
This is not the India we want.
Tomorrow, we will march to the Supreme Court as Indians, united beyond party, gender, caste, community and state.
Youth, all opposition parties, civil society groups, all those who believe in democracy and stand by the Constitution of India, will walk with us.
We will submit a memorandum to the Chief Justice on behalf of the nation, demanding an end to vote chori, halting of SIR and the resignation of Gyanesh Kumar.
Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Ajit Doval and Mohan Bhagwat cannot silence India's voice. These cowards cannot intimidate us. They will have to step aside.
We will march together, with love, brotherhood and patriotism.
Daro mat.
Tomorrow, all of India will march to the Supreme Court.
कल दिल्ली में देश का युवा शांतिपूर्ण विरोध के लिए सड़कों पर उतरा। उनके दिलों में नफ़रत या गुस्सा नहीं, मोहब्बत थी। लेकिन उन्हें पुलिस और BJP के गुंडों, दोनों ने पीटा।
ऐसा भारत हम नहीं चाहते।
कल, सोमवार 12 अक्टूबर को, हम भारतीय होने के नाते सुप्रीम कोर्ट तक मार्च करेंगे। पार्टी, महिला-पुरुष, जाति, समुदाय और राज्य की हर दीवार से ऊपर उठकर, हम सब एक साथ चलेंगे।
देश का युवा, तमाम विपक्षी दल, सिविल सोसाइटी और लोकतंत्र में विश्वास रखने वाले, भारत के संविधान के साथ खड़े सभी लोग हमारे साथ चलेंगे।
हम देश की ओर से मुख्य न्यायाधीश को एक ज्ञापन सौंपेंगे। हमारी माँग है - वोट चोरी बंद हो, SIR पर रोक लगे और ज्ञानेश कुमार इस्तीफ़ा दें।
नरेंद्र मोदी, अमित शाह, अजित डोभाल और मोहन भागवत भारत की आवाज़ को दबा नहीं सकते। ये कायर हमें डरा नहीं सकते। इन्हें पीछे हटना ही होगा।
हम सब साथ चलेंगे - मोहब्बत, भाईचारे और देशभक्ति के साथ।
डरो मत।
कल पूरा भारत सुप्रीम कोर्ट तक मार्च करेगा।
#ChaloDilli
Your 5-year misrule in Delhi proves that development and governance are things you don't understand and are far beyond your comprehension.
You ruined the Delhi that Shiela Dixit had built.
BJP’s hands are steeped in theft.
In Uttarakhand, BJP workers are filing bulk applications to delete voters.
In the Kichha constituency, 99% of all deletion requests came from a single objector—a BJP booth-level agent. He alone filed 4,855 objections, and every single voter he targeted is a Muslim.
This is especially disturbing in the context of what is emerging from West Bengal.
By August 7, SIR tribunals had decided only 82,782 of 38.1 lakh appeals. Yet, of those appeals decided to date, 91% of the names have been restored to the voter rolls — albeit after the election has concluded and a government with a stolen mandate has already been formed.
SIR is the BJP's tool to rig elections.
📍बालाघाट
आज जब सुना कि बालाघाट में महामारी ने दो और आदिवासी बच्चों की जान ले ली तो दिल टूट गया, बीमारी से ज्यादा डायन तो सरकार का सिस्टम है।
प्रदेश के उप मुख्यमंत्री व स्वास्थ्य मंत्री पद पर बने रहने की नैतिक ज़िम्मेदारी खो चुके हैं।
अब देखना होगा भाजपा और मुख्यमंत्री कितनी जल्दी उनका इस्तीफा लेते हैं?
साहिल की FIR दर्ज हुई। यह न्याय की तरफ़ पहला क़दम है।
पर सोचिए - एक FIR लिखने की इजाज़त तक गृह मंत्रालय से आनी पड़ी। अब समझ आया कि न्याय पर लगाम किसने लगा रखी है।
Tributes to Rajiv Gandhi ji on his birth anniversary.
The architect of modern India who worked towards technological advancements and the empowerment of the youth, women, and the marginalised groups.
His vision continues to guide and inspire us.
Privileged to be part of Sangathan Srijan Abhiyan of @INCIndia in Alipurduar District led by AICC Observer @rakibul_inc, Hon'ble MP of Dhubri (Assam).
2026 is the year of the Organisation for the Party and we intend to hear and learn from each and every member, worker, and well-wisher of the Congress as we organisationally build the Party.
@prakashjoshiinc@INCWestBengal
सभी देशवासियों को स्वतंत्रता दिवस की हार्दिक शुभकामनाएँ।
आज़ादी हमारे स्वतंत्रता सेनानियों द्वारा दिया गया सिर्फ़ एक तोहफ़ा नहीं, बल्कि एक ज़िम्मेदारी भी है।
यह ज़िम्मेदारी है सत्य और अहिंसा के रास्ते पर चलने की, संविधान और तिरंगे के मूल्यों को अपने दिल में रखने की और हर हाल में लोकतंत्र की रक्षा करने की।
मुझे गर्व है कि हमारे देशवासी, खासकर युवा, इन मूल्यों की रक्षा के लिए एकजुट हैं।
जय हिंद! 🇮🇳
I have heard @narendramodi calling @RahulGandhi a "hybrid" calf after mocking Sonia Gandhi as an imported Jersey Cow.
Also, when he was the Chief Minister of Gujarat, he routinely scoffed Muslims with a Tum Paanch, Tumhare Pacchis jibe.
In the past, have also heard him say,his exact words: "me 20 loko no puchyu koi Soniyaben ne clerk ni nokri no aape ane Rahul patawala ni. Aaawa loko ne aapne appdo desh apaay? (asked 20 people. Nobody wanted to make Soniaben even a clerk and Rahul a peon; can we entrust our country to such (unqualified) people?).
Those currently demonising "Cockroaches" or Congress or others; where were you during the "Election Commissioner James Lyngdoh meets Sonia Gandhi in Church or when @ShashiTharoor's 50 crore girl friend and other derogatory remarks were made? Or recently when @girirajsinghbjp put up images of a young woman and her son with Rahul Gandhi?
For some people, whatever #BJP does is nationalism and when others do it, it is character assassination!
@Cockroachbackk @CJP_for_India@Cockroachisback@INCIndia@Yadavakhilesh
हल्द्वानी में कांग्रेस अध्यक्ष श्री मल्लिकार्जुन खरगे जी की सभा के बाद मंच का “शुद्धिकरण” सिर्फ़ एक व्यक्ति का अपमान नहीं - यह उस संविधान का अपमान है जिसने छुआछूत को अपराध घोषित किया।
और यह कोई इकलौती घटना नहीं है। यह BJP-RSS की सालों से पाली-पोसी मनुवादी सोच का नतीजा है - वो घिनौनी सोच जो आज भी इंसान का दर्जा उसके जन्म से तय करती है, समानता और मानवता से नहीं।
So the Monsoon session of the Parliament comes to an end after seeing repeated disruptions due to the obdurate position adopted by the Government.
It would not be out of place to recall what the BJP stalwarts had to say about disruptions by the opposition
Arun Jaitley(Jan30,2011) “…parliamentary obstruction is not undemocratic.”
Later said “occasions when obstruction in Parliament brings greater benefits to the country”
Sushma Swaraj(Sept11,2012) “Not allowing Parliament to function is a form of democracy like any other form of democracy