Murokozi Edson

Economist| Global Finance|Data Analyst|

5p

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

who is going to win trade war between US and China?
@AskPerplexity

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

@AskPerplexity , how will CADECO will operate, is it going to create a new currency in liberated area's my AFC?

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Point

[Sophie Mokoena @Sophie_Mokoena]

“You can’t resolve the problem of DRC with force of arms “. Former SA President Thabo Mbeki last year in April.

[Made By BK @madeby_BK]

Tukuzaniye paji nshya yitwa Made By BK, ku mbuga nkoranyambaga🤩 Aha ni ho uzajya usanga amakuru yose ku bicuruzwa na serivisi za BK. Hari byinshi by'ingirakamaro tugufitiye ushobora kuba utazi. Dukurikire maze tubikugezeho😉 #madebybk

[😎👍 @Utsinziqb]

Still the hypocrisy of the United States, Today is commemoration of genocide against Tutsi in 1994.
#Kwibuka30

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Cc: @KobeissiLetter

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

The role of the state in the economy is to create economic policies across segments to achieve maximum employment not give directly.

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Banking everywhere

[Bank of Kigali Official @BankofKigali]

Ever dreamed of a world where banking doesn't take up your entire day with loads of paperwork and long queues? You don't have to dream anymore! With the Bank of Kigali mobile app, opening an account is a breeze. Save time, bank easy, and live big #BankingMadeEasy

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

#Banks vs Fintech
Banks should Innovate best technological products based on client's needs, products diversification, do market penetration and collaboration with Fintechs to stay ahead.

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Risk control shouldn't be only meeting risk regulatory requirements but should be at the heart of every business entity.

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

"Inflation is just terrible for all of us, but it’s particularly bad for those who have low incomes because they get hit for us and those who have high incomes.”
Lagarde~ ECB

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

ICYMI: Global growth is projected to be 3.% both 2023 & 2024.
Global inflation is projected to be 6.8% and 5.1% in 2023 and 2024 respectively from 8.7% in 2022
For Sub Saharan, growth projections are 3.5% and 4.1% in 2023 and 2024 respectively.
#IMFData

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Good news, 2024 might be the best.

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Way long to go
# IMFEconomicoutlook

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

Surely

[Lisa Abramowicz @lisaabramowicz1]

“Diversification is the only free lunch on Wall Street:" Citi's Bailin. "I’m really back in love with 60-40.” https://t.co/IsK1vRmpKc

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

2. Fragile financial structure (turning point)
↔️ Collapse of investment
↔️asset price deflation
↔️ Demand deflation
↔️ High losses
↔️non performing loans accumulate
↔️ Fire sales
↔️ Financial panic develops
↔️ Credit rationing
↔️goods market deflation
↔️ Complete collapse

3/3

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

In three months ago, we heard the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republican Bank in United States

Here we revisited stages how financial institutions may collapse using Detzer and Hansjorg (2014) paper.

1/3

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

1.Stable financial structure :starts when financial structure is stable
↔️ High investment & low interest rates
↔️high profit from investment
↔️ Asset price inflation
↔️ Over confidence
↔️ Wealth effects, increased value of collateral
↔️ People start to speculate
↔️fraud

2/3

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

SVB collapse= f (Bankrun, regulations,...+u)

[Murokozi Edson @MurokoziEdson]

#RwOT