Every cycle has one DEX that captures the majority of volume before anyone notices. This might be that one. Or not. Worth 5 minutes to find out:
https://t.co/ITDDLgjHGj
$STRC closed ex-dividend day above [$100 - dividend value], meaning the arb (buy before/sell after) is still profitable, and there will be even more arb-driven flows next month
This is also evidence that a lot of the recent volume is not mercenary but is here to hold
$BTC has a pattern. Out of 13 ranges, 8 of them (60%)
lasted around 60 days.
We are currently at day 59, so there is a high chance it breaks out next week. Stay prepared.
$BTC BTC Multi-TF Analysis TL;DR - Bearish to $63-60k
As I mentioned last week, we almost hit Weekly EMA and reversed down as planned.
1W: weekly EMA rejection
1D: failed breakout, below POC, RSI below MA → first target $66k
4H: below EMA & POC → target $64.5k FVG
All structures bearish. Watching for Daily close below POC for confirmation
$BTC Weekly Analysis
- got the move to Weekly EMA last week → rejection down ✅
- blue Weekly FVG + Red Weekly FVG - there intersection - BTC entered but failed to hold → reaction down
- RSI attempted breakout up, succeeded, but now expecting continuation down
Target: ~$60k
$BTC Daily Analysis
- BTC consolidated at VAH → pushed to $76k → strong rejection next day, back in range
- downtrend from VAH initiated
- last 2 days: Daily EMA holding price down, no close above
- today: rejection from POC again
- RSI formed downtrend after $76k, broke below MA
Expecting: close below POC today → continuation down
target 1: $66k RSI target: 30 zone
$BTC 4H Analysis
- back in range, closed below 4H EMA
- since this morning: closed below POC
Expecting:
- continuation down to 4H FVG ($64.5k)
- retest VAL
- continuation of downtrend toward ~$60k test
BTC 4H:
- BTC formed 3 bottoms (marked on chart), each making Lower Highs
- Currently trading at Value Area High
- RSI bouncing from 50 level - showing bull strength
BTC Daily (1D):
Based on Volume Profile:
- Price consolidating in marked range for weeks
- Recently started closing above Daily EMA + trading at Value Area High
- RSI holding above 50 - this usually leads to moves higher
Bulls gaining control
Plan:
- Weekly momentum still heavily bearish, but expecting deceleration after we print a lower low on the Daily.
- Looking for a sweep below current lows before any meaningful bounce. Watching for entry on pullback toward 71k zone if we get the liquidity grab first.
Patience pays here.
5 days and such returns with sharpe ratio on my automated trading pool
We gonna run it to 1 mil with my homies in 6-12 month stay tuned
30k$ was the starting TVL
I sometimes give it quant traders because of their ability to outperform the S&P by a tiny margin per annum but the reality is, making anything over 10% per annum is going to get you to your end goal of financial freedom. What’s stopping you is capital.
Your main focus should be on accumulating as much money as possible and putting it to work for you. You’re always going to struggle if you don’t have enough to start with.
I know many of you want to quit your job overnight and become a day trader but the job is the thing that’s going to propel you further and quicker.
Focus on the things you can control such as how much you spend vs how much you save and keep learning. Don’t make any decisions you may later regret.
What I will also say is that the younger you are, the more risk you can take and you should absolutely take risks. I took many risks when I was younger like moving to the other side of the world on my own and it’s paid off massively.
You may be fearful but you never know if you don’t try. Step into the fear and believe in yourself. You’re the only one stopping you from doing the things you want to do in life.