M.F.A.

[Hadi @HadiNasrallah]

Another Lebanese fighter from a Christian family fell side by side with his brothers in the resistance against Israel. A large crowd gathered as the community united to honor his sacrifice. His family joined the funeral bearing the candles of Saint Charbel. RIP Karl Abdlmalik

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@jakeshieldsajj Sometimes God tests people's faith with lots of wealth, and as you can see in the gulf countries, they are very rich. Hence their love for this world, and their lack of will to lose it all. South Lebanon is full of wealth, but people sacrificed it all for what's right.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@jakeshieldsajj God speaks about these people in the Quran, the ones who are only Muslim by name, that have a weak faith, but when push comes to shove, they won't do anything to defend their religion. They love this life more than the afterlife. Those are the hypocrites.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@okok86072 Did you pass by Haris?

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@KevorkAlmassian @Safarnejad_IR I called out this clown too. He jumped on the Iran bandwagon after larping for Jolani and the "blessed" Syrian Revolution, thinking Jolani was gonna free Gaza 🥴 the wahhabi from within these people always comes out.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@Hasschami If you say so, then he is very naïve, is unable to contain his emotions and can't think logically. I still remember when he cheered on the so-called "blessed" Syrian Revolution, and he thought Jolani would free Gaza.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@propandco You're a grifter, always was. The wahhabi in you cannot remain hidden forever.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@propandco You always were a a grifter, and was never sincere about Iran. I saw through you from day 1. You just jumped on the bandwagon, and jumped on the first occasion to criticize Iran. Our allies are known, and will always be loyal to the cause.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@InfoSudLiban Ça c'est la route entre Tibnine et Hariss? Ils sont pas encore rendu là non?

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@essonjon @HadiNasrallah Not at all. Israel was a forward base/colony of the British Empire, and it is now a colony of the USA. Sure, the Zionist lobby in the USA is strong, but America is the head and Israel is its most prized tentacle. People have to wake up to this reality.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@miktator @AlCAmAST @WarMonitors Nah it started before 1948 when terrorist groups like the Irgun, Lehi and the Haganah were massacring people left and right. It started when white Eastern European Khazar converted Jews came to steal a land they have no connection to. I am the real Semite you will never be.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@miktator @AlCAmAST @WarMonitors First off, I don't care what the UN or International bodies or even Assad has to say about the South of Lebanon. Secondly, I love how you just completely ignored the 7 Shia villages of Hunin, Qadas, Al-Nabi Yusha', Ibl el-Kamh, Tayr Bikha, Saliha and Malkiyeh.

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@miktator @AlCAmAST @WarMonitors So Chebaa farms and the 7 Lebanese occupied stolen villages aren't occupied land you inbr3d? Those pager and walkie-talkie attacks we're prepared long ago for a blitzkrieg attack. Hezballah just screwed you guys over and made you guys use them a tad too early.

[AJ Jaff @aj_geo_analysis]

𝗛𝗲𝘇𝗯𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗵 𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗯𝗲 𝗱𝗲𝗳𝗲𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘆 𝗜𝘀𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹. 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆 𝗶𝘀 𝗾𝘂𝗶𝗲𝘁𝗹𝘆 𝗽𝗶𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝗼𝗺𝗲𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗮𝗿 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 𝗱𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿𝗼𝘂𝘀.

This is NOT an endorsement of Hezbollah. It is a factual assessment of why a 40-year-old movement embedded in the social fabric of an entire confessional community CANNOT be eradicated by military force, and why Israel's political class is being forced toward a strategy that puts Lebanon at risk of civil war by design. Bookmark this.

𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗛𝗲𝘇𝗯𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗵 𝗖𝗔𝗡𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗯𝗲 𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱

Hezbollah is NOT a militia, an armed group or anything similar. It is a PARALLEL STATE apparatus that delivers services the Lebanese government cannot. The Lebanese state collapsed financially in 2019, lost 98% of currency value by 2023, and has run on backup power since the 2020 Beirut port blast. Into that vacuum and even before that, Hezbollah has built:

1. Healthcare: 60+ medical centres under the Islamic Health Unit providing ~30,000 monthly consultations. Hospitals, pharmacies, ambulance services, mobile clinics. Treatment is free or near-free for the Shia community.

2. Education: ~14,000 students in Hezbollah-run schools. Scholarships, books, financial aid for low-income students. Vocational training institutes. A network that includes university-level programs.

3. Welfare: Cash assistance, food distribution, housing reconstruction (the Jihad Al-Binna Reconstruction Campaign has rebuilt entire neighbourhoods after every Israeli war since 1996). Compensation for families of dead fighters and civilians.

4. Religious infrastructure: Mosques, religious schools, charitable foundations for orphans and the wounded but also a source of income.

5. Media: They also have their own central press capacity and news channels such as Al-Manar TV, Al-Nour radio, and various other news services.

6. Agriculture and economy: Cooperatives, micro-financing, agricultural services in the Bekaa Valley and the South.

7. Municipal control: Hezbollah controls roughly 60% of Shia-majority municipalities in southern Lebanon. It administers garbage collection, water, basic infrastructure where the central state has not arrived.

This is what "state within a state" actually means.

Hezbollah is the ONLY functioning service provider for a large portion of the Lebanese Shia community. You cannot bomb a hospital network into non-existence without bombing the patients it serves.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗹𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗴𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹

Hezbollah holds 15 of 128 seats in the Lebanese parliament through the Loyalty to the Resistance bloc. Its closest ally, the Amal Movement (also Shia), holds 15 seats through the Development and Liberation bloc. Together the "Shia Duo" wields a veto over any major government decision. Hezbollah has TWO cabinet ministers in the current government.

The Speaker of the Lebanese Parliament, Nabih Berri (in office since 1992, 34 consecutive years), heads the Amal Movement, NOT Hezbollah directly, but he is allied to Hezbollah AND Iran. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi visited Berri in Beirut in June 2025. Berri has stated publicly: "We stand with Iran when the choice is between it and Israel. Even if it were between Israel and the devil himself, we are certainly against Israel." Berri has BLOCKED Lebanese government decisions to expel the Iranian ambassador. He has refused to support disarmament of Hezbollah's military wing. Under the Taif Agreement sectarian apportionment, the Speaker post is permanently reserved for a Shia, which structurally locks in the Shia Duo's parliamentary control regardless of election outcomes.

You CANNOT militarily defeat a movement that holds constitutional veto power in the country's own parliament.

𝗦𝗼 𝗜𝘀𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹'𝘀 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗴𝘆 𝗶𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗶𝘃𝗼𝘁

So, IF eradication is impossible, what is the actual Israeli strategy? Three layers, executed in parallel.

Layer 1. Capture and annex. Israel now occupies roughly 2,000 sq km of southern Lebanon, nearly 25% of the country. Beaufort Castle was the symbolic flagship with very limited strategic value given the latest technology and drones used in these wars by both sides. The Litani buffer zone is the operational deliverable. The territory will NOT be returned and I cannot see this being returned to Lebanon anytime soon. Netanyahu needs visible territorial gains by the October 27 Israeli election or he loses the coalition and faces a corruption trial.

The land grab is the campaign asset.

Layer 2. Negotiate with the central government to isolate Hezbollah politically. Talks with the Aoun-Salam government (NOT with Hezbollah) seek to formalise a security arrangement that boxes Hezbollah out of southern Lebanon and freezes its political weight. The central government has already declared a total ban on Hezbollah's military and security activities (March 2026). The talks are designed to make that ban permanent.

Layer 3. The dangerous one. Apply enough sustained pressure on Lebanese society (economic collapse, displacement of 1+ million Shia from the south, ongoing strikes, infrastructure destruction) that NON-SHIA Lebanese factions decide Hezbollah's presence is the source of their suffering and turn against the group themselves. The objective is NOT to defeat Hezbollah militarily. It is to ENGINEER another Lebanese civil war in which the Lebanese themselves do the work Israel cannot while provided with American weapons.

This is what the Israeli strategic class is quietly working toward. They have learned that direct military operations against Hezbollah hardens it. They are now betting that economic strangulation, displacement, and political destabilisation will turn Sunnis, Christians, Druze, and even reform-Shia factions into the de facto demolition crew Israel could not field itself.

𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗽𝗮𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗹 𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗿𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗱𝘆 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗳𝗲𝗮𝗿

This is not a new playbook. The 1975 to 1990 Lebanese civil war killed 150,000 people, displaced one million, devastated Beirut, and ended only after the Taif Agreement carved out a fragile sectarian power-sharing arrangement. The conditions that produced that war (sectarian frustration, economic collapse, foreign-power proxy competition, displacement, militia entrenchment) are ALL present today, in worse form than they were in 1975.

The Lebanese political class knows this. That is why the Aoun-Salam government has tried to avoid direct confrontation with Hezbollah even while issuing the formal ban. They know that pushing too hard triggers the civil war. They also know that NOT pushing at all means Israel keeps the territory it has captured.

Lebanon is trapped between two unacceptable outcomes. Israel is engineering the trap.

The Outlook?

Hezbollah will NOT be militarily defeated by Israel. The group is too embedded in the social fabric of an entire confessional community that has nowhere else to go for healthcare, education, welfare, and physical security. 40+ years of state-substitution work cannot be undone with airstrikes. Israel's planners know this. The strategy has therefore pivoted to: capture the land, isolate Hezbollah politically through the central government, and apply sustained pressure on Lebanese society to ENGINEER an internal civil conflict that does the eradication Israeli forces cannot.

This is signal that the Lebanon front is NOT actually about Hezbollah. It is about creating the conditions for Lebanese society to tear itself apart over Hezbollah, on a timeline that delivers Netanyahu his October election victory and his post-war corruption-trial protection.

The path forward for anyone who actually wants peace in Lebanon is to recognise that the current escalation is engineered for an outcome that will produce 200,000 dead Lebanese, not the eradication of Hezbollah. Pressure the Israeli government to negotiate withdrawal with the Aoun-Salam government and accept that Hezbollah's political wing will exist regardless of military outcomes. Anything less is a road map to a war that everyone except the architects loses.

I look beyond the headlines and make sense of the nuances. If this gave you signal worth keeping, like and consider following 🙏

𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!

[Free Palestine TV @TVFreePalestine]

That No4 Jewish Invader getting an FPV in the butt 😂🤣

All his friends were covered with his feces if they were still alive 😇🤪

[Christopher Helali @ChrisHelali]

Last night in Tabriz, Iranians brought out a picture of Armenian Christian martyr in Hezbollah, Atam Krikor Hekimian ❤️

[M.F.A. @Mustaph59543793]

@dimitrilascaris @MarioNawfal Generous of you to assume that he's smarter than this.

[Cenk Uygur @cenkuygur]

Israel is planning to steal $40 billion gas field in Lebanese waters. Sorry, I meant self-defense themselves into $40 billion. In order to do that, they’re going to destroy 70 villages, including three Christian ones. No one in our government cares. In fact, we’re funding this.

[aya @political_aya__]

Feel the need to clarify that most people returned to the South despite the imminent and very serious threat of "israeli" breaches (aggression) in order to bury their martyrs, visit their graves, check on their homes—or what remains of them, pick some needed belongings, tidy up their houses a bit, etc. The majority returned to displacement because these people understand their responsibility very well. Many of the ones who stayed behind are ones who cannot afford to stay displaced—I hope others can try to imagine being displaced in a school or tent or on the streets for weeks, especially the ones watching from afar. It's been the case for our people in Gaza for years now...
And while their return during the very first hours was advised against by the Resistance, the ones who returned created an image of victory that frustrated the enemy that aims to exterminate these regions. The people are not considered an essential part of the Resistance for nothing. The people and the Resistance are always in harmony.