π Home Win
1. Vipers vs Calvary
β½ Premier League β Sat 17:00
π 88.1%
2. Rewa vs Nasinu
β½ National Football League β Sun 02:00
π 83.5%
3. Village Superstars vs Sandy Point
β½ Premier League β Sat 20:00
π 80.3%
4. Kitchee vs Kowloon City
β½ Premier League β Sat 10:00
π 78.6%
5. Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes
π«π· Ligue 1 β Sun 00:00
π 76.7%
π Le Havre vs Toulouse
π Ligue 1 (Sun, 15th Feb)
π£οΈ Le Havre have scored just 4 goals in their last 10, failing to score in 7 of them and losing to nil in 5. Toulouse, meanwhile, have 5 clean sheets in 10 and 3 in a row, conceding only 8 goals. BTTS No at 1.92 is supported by the modelβs 53.7% (implied 52.1%).
π Derby County vs Swansea City
π Championship (Sat, 14th Feb)
π£οΈ Swansea average 15.5 shots to Derbyβs 10.5, yet are just 2W-1D-7L in their last 10 away matches. The model still gives them a 36.9% win chance versus implied 31.3% at 3.20, so Away Win offers +18% value despite the shaky away record.
π Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
π La Liga (Sat, 14th Feb)
π£οΈ Madrid are 8W-0D-2L in their last 10 at home, but Sociedad are an impressive 6W-3D-1L in their last 10 away, scoring in all 10. The model still makes Madrid clear favourites, yet finds +17% value on the draw at 5.6 and +28.9% on the away win at 8.0.
π Metz vs Auxerre
π Ligue 1 (Sun, 15th Feb)
π£οΈ Auxerre are 0W-3D-7L in their last 10 away games, scoring just 0.4 per away match and failing to net in their last 3 overall, while Metz at least have 3 home clean sheets in their last 10. The model gives Metz a 41.9% win chance vs 33.7% implied by 2.97, making the home win a +24.4% value play.
π Portsmouth vs Sheffield United
π Championship (Sat, 14th Feb)
π£οΈ Portsmouth have seen over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 and are out-cornered in 7 of 10, while Sheffield United games average 12.1 corners with over 9.5 landing in 8 of 10 and over 10.5 in 7 of 10. With the model giving 41.5% to over 10 corners, Over 10.5 Total Corners at 1.9 aligns well with both teamsβ recent profiles.
π Olympique Lyonnais vs Nice
π Ligue 1 (Sun, 15th Feb)
π£οΈ Lyon are 10W-0D-0L overall and 9W-0D-1L at home, conceding only 7 in 10 and keeping 3 straight clean sheets. Nice are 2W-1D-7L in their last 10 away, conceding 2 goals per away game. Home Win @ 1.61 carries +6.2% value (model 65.98% vs implied 62.1%).
π Leicester City vs Southampton
π Championship (Tue, 10th Feb)
π£οΈ 42% of Leicesterβs goals arrive after 70 minutes, pointing to strong late-game output. Southampton, meanwhile, have recorded three 1-1 draws in their last 10. Combined with a high BTTS expectation (62.1%), this hints at a tight match where a late Leicester goal could shape the final scoreline.
π Chelsea vs Leeds United
π Premier League (Tue, 10th Feb)
π£οΈ BTTS has landed in 8 of Chelseaβs last 10 and in 7 of Leedsβ last 10 away games, with both sides regularly scoring and conceding. Despite this, the model has BTTS No at 51.62% vs odds 2.12 (47.2% implied), suggesting slight value fading the trend even in an open-looking matchup.
π West Ham United vs Manchester United
π Premier League (Tue, 10th Feb)
π£οΈ West Hamβs matches are wild (Over 2.5 in 9 of last 10; BTTS in 7 of last 10 home), and their early scoring threat makes them dangerous despite poor results. The model rates a home win at 28.62% vs 26.3% implied at 3.8, giving West Ham @ 3.8 a modest +8.8% value as a contrarian angle.