NBA First Basket

#NBAtwitter Data Analysis and NBA First Basket Plays - Up 100 units over last 4 seasons.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Thanks for following along this season- I've enjoyed the interaction with all of you.
Posted my fewest plays in a long time, but am proud of the result acheived this year. Hopefully you found the data provided useful to you.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Wild 76ers come back. Fun to watch and be at.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Randomly in Philly for golf trip. Decided to take in a 76ers game. Allen when healthy should win the tip. No official play from me, but Mobley and Maxey are who I’d play.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Wednesday first basket play - Jokic has a slight edge on the tip over Holmgren. Using FD for bets

Jokic +550 risk 0.5 units
Murray +500 risk 0.5 units

Jokic cashed in 2 of 4 LY vs the Thunder.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Adding in Player Data for Thursday. Also included first basket probabilities at the far right. Statistically, Murray has the best chance to score first tonight.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Game data for Thursday. 2 games. Allen is ? for the Cavs.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Game data for Thursday. 2 games. Allen is ? for the Cavs.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@Slipscoreapp Solid- Really need first point. First FG is different and DK /Fanduel pay out on first point.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Player data for Wednesday. I likely won't post this everyday, and won't add current season to this for another week or so. But it is useful.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Game data for Wednesday. Honestly don't see much that I like tonight. Might have something later. Player data to follow in a bit.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@FlexgodMario I get it. Predicting who wins the tip is half the battle. The team that won the tip last year scored first 67% of the time. Lots of variability early in the season so I take it slow the first 2 weeks.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Wemby wins the tip but dishes to Vassell for a 3. Always hard to predict who’s going to be open if Wemby doesn’t take the shot. Back at it tomorrow.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@FrancisDallo I have in the past, but skipped last year. If I start it back up will be 11/1 and will drop info on how to join.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@allen_p54 I’d take the +800. Fox doesn’t get many free throws on opening baskets.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

1st play of the season:

FD - Wembanyama +400 risk 0.75 units (posted yesterday)
FD - Fox +650 risk 0.5 units

Wembanyama was 8-0 vs Holmgren last year. Thunder give up first baskets to guards in 47% of games. Wemby scored first team basket in 42% of games last season.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

Game and Player data for NBA Opening Day!

The Celtics, 76ers and Spurs should all win the opening tip. New rosters for Celtics and 76ers make it hard to figure out who will score first. I do like the Spurs to score first tonight.

[MrOverUnder @MrOverUnder]

Sooo is “ method of “ staying now?

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

NBA opening day is tomorrow. I’ll drop data in the morning,
Wembanyama won all opening tip-offs last year vs Holmgren, who is questionable.

FD- Wembanyama 1st basket +400 risk 0.75 units

Will pair that with another player in the morning.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@RichardPrince_ My guess is no, but should find out on Tuesday

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

We should be good to go for the season. Looks like first baskets are still up on several books. They appear to have only taken away will Player A make or miss his 1st attempt.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

@FantasyFreakTN They offer 1st touchdowns in NFL, and pretty much everything else with regards to player props in the NFL, so hoping they offer first baskets. Current listed props for regular season NBA appear limited because it is ~4 days away.

[NBA First Basket @NBAFirstBasket]

With the NBA news today, will have to wait and see what goes away. Assuming prediction markets don't follow the same path, this will only push more bettors to prediction market platforms.