We can achieve this goal together ! We will need guys around me to help me with the project, with telegram, dexscreener ( i ve told you im nothing ), and people who got impact to make this real ! I believe in US
- This indicator has predicted the last 7 U.S. recessions.
- An inversion often means that investors are expecting an economic slowdown and a future Fed rate cut.
The inverted yield curve: a key recession signal
An inverted yield curve occurs when interest rates on short-term government bonds exceed those on long-term bonds. Normally, a yield curve is upward, reflecting a risk premium for the long term.
Why is this important?
the enormous inflow of cash into europe, which is currently propelling the euro towards its former highs since its depreciation in 2021 and until 2024, is not insignificant and should not be ignored. ( 2 / of many )
The facts are that the loss of confidence in the "almighty" dollar is being reversed, theoretically, and historically, in times of crisis, the dollar has been favored over a basket of other currencies. But the important point is that this is not the case here.
( 1 / of many )
If there is a response from some of the countries affected, what could the answers be? Intellectual property rights? Tax on gafam? European sanctions directly on the biggest American companies? A price increase to spread the impact? Much higher inflation,-> trade wars (4 of many)
And no answers from them? So there's acceptance of this fact? Until when? Decline? Recession? Economic/industrial/political pivot? This will also affect the United States, so how will they be impacted by their own measures? ( 5 of many )
Because the fact is that, for the time being, it won't be good for anyone, and maybe less so for the US. And if it does, then global capitulation to the dollar. In short, the spectrum is much wider than I could ever hope to cover on twitter.
( 6 of 7 many )
As a young trader, I'm very happy to have been born into this generation. We're experiencing extreme market volatility, and new fortunes are being created. Take advantage of this situation to get rich. We've got 4 years ahead of us.
Current data (see image 1)
- The 2-year yield (3.815%) is lower than the 10-year yield (4.072%), suggesting gradual normalization after a period of inversion.
- The 10Y-1Y spread has risen to 0.07% (see image 2), a sign of stabilization.
The fact that a state and companies ( Mag7 or unicorns ) and two different trajectories, is just as important as the separation of church and state imo
Anyone who trades options and had calls on the various indexes such as S&P500 or nikkei etc, I hope the risk was minimal, because at the open tomorrow, there's going to be a bloodbath.