NATO support for Ukraine relies on the public believing Ukraine can outlast Russia. NATO estimates for Russian strength are either on par or underestimated, don’t take the over on this
NATO suggests that Russia can sustain the war at its current pace until 2027. Of course, I may be accused of being sympathetic to Ukraine and having a biased opinion, but let’s look at the facts—what’s wrong with this statement? The Russian war machine currently relies on
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Israeli bombing of military targets in Iran as of this moment are still ongoing, perhaps it’s still too early for a full assessment so I will leave it at what I’ve said so far, for now
Iran still has very powerful ground forces with the regions largest standing army. Iranian incursions into Iraq should never be discounted, but due to the loss of air defenses and an outdated air force this would be unlikely at the moment.
Based on recent precedent I am skeptical Iran will give in and negotiate, with America slowly stepping back from global affairs now is not a time anyone wants to look weak.
On the other hand Iran is not completely defanged and it’s possible we are underestimating their strength
Summary of early reporting:
Iran appears to have been severely weakened by last nights Israeli surprise attack. Most critically, air defenses and decision makers such as military high command were targeted with great effect.
At this point it seems that Iran has 3 options.
1.Step back from table and maintain status quo, more vulnerable to attack than ever
2.Respond and open themselves up to a gut shot.
3.Come to the negotiating table and stop the bleeding
Trump Elon fight is amusing, but unfortunate. Any hope/support I had for the current republican administration centered around getting deficit spending under control.
Against renewed #Russian 🇷🇺 attack efforts, #Ukraine 🇺🇦 has not been idle, and is currently building the New Donbas Line, which stretches from #Kharkiv city to #VilnePole (#Zaporizhzhia), and which is the fruit of years of drone war experience and, finally, error correction.
In some sections, it's already capable of withstanding full-force #Russian attacks.
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@squatsons In general I agree with you. I appreciate OP for providing the information. My read of this is Ukraine is prepping defense far in advance of what they usually do because of that fact. Less defensible terrain means more preparation is needed.