I spent a humiliating amount of time learning how to make animated graphs, just to illustrate a fairly obvious point.
“Forecasting s-curves is hard”
My views on why carefully following daily figures is unlikely to provide insight.
https://t.co/yrE71bUXVT
I want remdesivir to succeed
Today’s report from Chicago is not proof of benefit
Rct of remdesivir v standard of care endpoint survival OR
Rct remdesivir v placebo endpoint 7pt scale
If you dont produce this data, many will remain critical
We want Rx that work not snakeoil
Most hypotheses-- gorgeous, eloquent, marvelous hypotheses-- fail in rigorous testing
Most swings in the dark connect with air
Come on, the chance that these maneuvers are going to yield success is vanishingly low, even if rationale is sound
What has happened to us, docs?
Yes, we are scared, and yes there is uncertainty, but you don't walk away from decades of VTE guidance, decades of vent management, decades of guiding principles for experimental drugs based on a hunch, a guess, fragmented data, a preprint
Ok, here is a little #Tweetorial about #COVID19 and whether, outside of a controlled trial, we should be using different:
1. rules for anti-coagulation/ lytics
2. ventilatory settings in ARDS
3. anti-virals/ anti-inflammatories
@JohnMeara You are absolutely right. So essentially, to get good indicator 1 data we will have to: 1. assess surgical capacity, and 2. adjust GIS models
Glad to present the results of our latest study, in which we compared patient reported travel times in rural Rwanda to the GIS models which have been used to derive 2-hour access to surgery. We conclude current GIS models likely overestimate geo access
https://t.co/MuD3WtRvCC 1/7
@gustafdrevin Can't say that I'm too surprised either. Certainly that's what a lot of people have thought, but now we have some harder data (and something to cite 😉)
Dear American friends! Since we’ve received a lot of attention lately, I would like to give you some facts and figures on the ’situation in Sweden’ regarding the #coronavirus and #covid19.
I also have to remind myself that access to high-quality, safe cesarean deliveries is still and will continue to be important. So while it feels odd to write that grant now, and while I have great concerns that anything not-COVID will be funded. That is what I am working on.