Nate Watson

~ no longer on twitter ~
Builder and designer of things on the web. Into graphy things (photo-, typo- and your classic bar and line). Kiwi in Melbourne. he/him

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Checking back into twitter to mention that I've added the Wellington by-election results to my visualisation thingy:

https://t.co/ybNU7iqqtI

(huge congrats @grogersxyz!)

going back to twitter-free life now, byeeeee 👋

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

checking back into twitter briefly for some shameless self-promo: I made a vegan recipe zine!

copies are available on etsy (physical and digital). If anyone bakes any of the recipes, i'd love to see pics! https://t.co/Q1vLxixZOE

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

just in time for the 2025 elections!

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@dakvid Haha diving deep into the 2019 version of that race is what made me spot the issue! Yeah totally, that's a solid idea. It'd probably be reasonably accurate too since the votes transferred from already-elected candidates is usually miniscule

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

as is tradition I've made some graphs of the NZ local election results! Only 4 councils for now, but I'll keep this thread up to date as results come in.

interactive visualisation: https://t.co/srEYjhcoSQ

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@dakvid (specifically it seems impossible to tell which votes have transferred from an already-elected candidate's excess, vs an eliminated candidates pool)

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@dakvid Thanks! Yep, whichever single-winner results I can wrangle from councils! The difficulty with the other ones is that sometimes votes transfer from multiple candidates in a single round, and the data isn't detailed enough to tell exactly where votes came from

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@UXshane @tonamutonamu Tron graph up now: https://t.co/HS9rdK3PHL

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Got hold of more data, so Kirikiriroa/Hamilton, Kāpiti and Far North people: here's how people voted in your mayoral elections!

Full detailed versions on https://t.co/srEYjhcoSQ #nzpol

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Got hold of more data, so Kirikiriroa/Hamilton, Kāpiti and Far North people: here's how people voted in your mayoral elections!

Full detailed versions on https://t.co/srEYjhcoSQ #nzpol

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

As an example, this is what the *exact same* votes would result in when choosing 1 person (first pic) vs 2 people (second pic)

You can only know who would be second by counting the votes with that in mind from the start

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

election nerd hot-take: saying people came 2nd, 3rd, etc in an STV election for a single position isn't accurate or fair to the candidates.

doing so completely ignores *all* the 2nd+ preference votes from people who ranked the winning candidate 1st

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@grogersxyz Yep - exactly! IMO you'd have to count the votes as if you were electing 2 (or 3, or 4) people in order to determine actual placings

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@UXshane @tonamutonamu Yep! Just waiting for the data - I emailed the council this morning requesting it (as a former Tron-ian I'm very eager to see how it played out)

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

fresh chart with preliminary results for Welly and to better show placement across counts.

interactive version updated too: https://t.co/C9SpPJSjfm

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Quick visualisation of the Wellington election results - showing how votes transferred / how people ranked the candidates #nzpol

(gonna have a fancy interactive one up soon for all the councils!)

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@keith_ng @BrianDawsonWgtn @coughlthom @ScoopWellington Here's a version of the chart that shows Eagle's drop across counts a bit better

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

@KaroriBee A step further: I'd absolutely love to see data that breaks down how many times each ranking appeared/was voted for.

e.g "100 people ranked (A, D, B), 50 ranked (D, B, A), etc."

Very quick math says at most it'd be a couple of megabytes of data

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Detailed + accessible version over here: https://t.co/5Z7bVWL8eA #nzpol

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Ruapehu: https://t.co/mk2JW7ND9p

[Nate Watson @Nathanielnw]

Nelson: https://t.co/SKiGq5ICLP