@malcolm_reavell@UnumVerum_ Malcolm: when the government issues new debt it references the prices of the debt which already trades on the secondary market. Higher yields on bonds mean there will be a higher refinancing cost in future.
@matthew_sigel Yes, but borrowing from the capital markets is always more expensive than borrowing from depositors. And a greater reliance on the ABS market exposes banks to more market-liquidity risk (cf. Northern Rock in the UK).
Andy Burnham would be wise to remember the words of James Carville back in 1994:"I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody."
The other basic issue is of course: slippage. You cannot assume that you will be able to trade exactly at the close when you buy and sell the next day on the open. These are periods of high volatility, so in all likelihood, your execution price will be quite far from the recorded prices ex post.
@Jason Completely true. Not only does it undermines the entire premise of publishing, it undermines "his" whole argument (which is not his at all, of course, just a response to his prompts with his bias). Disappointing.
The LeFTy manages to distort anything everywhere in a bid to disparage the Trump administration. Government debt management offices frequently adjust the duration profile of their debt . That’s what they do. It’s laughable how people are jumping on this news as a sign that somehow Bessent is desperately trying to support the bond market .
@ukhpinfo With net property wealth accounting for 40% of UK private wealth any continued drawdown in prices could really begin to reverberate across the whole economy. Not so safe as houses anymore.
Socialism and real estate don’t mix.
When governments treat private landlords as the enemy and impose rent caps + eviction barriers, supply shrinks, maintenance collapses, and the affordability crisis gets worse. We’ve seen the pattern before. The economic solution is more supply + market prices, not manufactured scarcity.