Nebula Insights

Odds comparison, line movement, calculators and honest model projections, for bettors who want the math, not the takes. Projections, not picks. Free during beta

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Every sports betting "tool" is one of two things:

an affiliate farm that gets paid when you deposit, or a tout selling picks they'll delete the second they lose.

I spent a year building neither.

Nebula Insights is the analytics layer. The math, not the takes.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Since we started publicly tracking our results, our MLB moneyline v2 model has a track record of 240 wins and 181 losses and has been improving as the season progresses.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Through 40 MLB games this week, our moneyline model has compiled a 27-13 (67.5%) W/L.

Each of our picks shows the projected winner along with the win probability.

Check out our transparent win-loss ledger below.
https://t.co/6TzutyoByx

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

How it works:
We projected NYY to defeat Toronto Blue Jays at 66.6% confidence. This means we think the Yankees would win 666 times if 1000 identical matchups were played.

The result:
Yankees win 3-1 and the model scores this game as a win!

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Analyzing stats show that betting a player with a high or low line is likely irrelevant. What matters is how the player performs.

Check out our Strikeout Props Tracker here!

https://t.co/a5XauYUV1H

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Which MLB Starting Pitchers hit the OVER on their strikeout lines?

Is it pitchers with high lines or low lines?

The answer, both.

The top 5 players who hit the over most often average between 4.88-8.55 Ks per game.

Michael Wacha currently has the highest over hit rate...

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Dylan Cease, ranked second on our leaderboard, is an all-star this season and potential Cy Young candidate.

He has better pitching stats than Michael Wacha, yet has a slightly lower hit rate on strikeout props...

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Since we started our public results tracking, we are 222-169 across 391 MLB games.

NFL moneyline, spread, and o/u prices are live now. Our projections will be published soon as Week 1 approaches.

Interested? Click below.

https://t.co/YW5uzLIKuE

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Huge Win Tonight for our Moneyline MLB projections:

One of our best days of the season to date!
ARI @ BOS - HIT
ATL @ MIN - MISS
BAL @ TB - HIT
CWS @ CHC - HIT
DET @ PIT - HIT
LAD @ COL - HIT
MIA @ PHI - HIT
OAK @ KC - HIT
SD @ NYM - HIT
STL @ CIN - HIT

Nine for ten on the day!

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

@MLB First leadoff and walkoff HR for the same player since Diamondback's Chris Young in the 2010 season.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

@Schultz_Report @ZekeSandhu Big pickup for the Colts!

Provides depth and experience at a thin-stretched position.

Keenan Allen put up 81 receptions, 777 receiving yards, & four touchdowns while also securing 49 first downs last season as the WR2 for the Chargers last season.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

@UnderdogMLB Kyle Tucker has struggled to hit in one of the most hitter friendly stadiums in the MLB.

Home Stats: 2 HRs, .189 avg, & .272 slugging across 60 games
Away Stats: 9 HRs, .269 avg, & .458 slugging across 58 games

Why has Tucker struggled at Dodgers stadium this season?

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

@DKNetwork Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has near identical home and away splits...without the homeruns.

He is batting .257 at home with 10 doubles and .269 away with 9 doubles in 59 and 56 games this season.

He is on track for his lowest power-hitting season since 2020.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

@DKNetwork Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has near identical home and away splits...without the homeruns.

He is batting .257 at home with 10 doubles and .269 away with 9 doubles in 59 and 56 games this season.

He is on track for his lowest power-hitting season since 2020.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Track detailed player statistics to find trend analysis, pitcher vs hitter matchups, line movements and much more.

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

NEW FEATURE ALERT!!!
MLB Player Props Tracking

Track the best lines across major sportbooks for SP strikeouts, total bases, hits, and homeruns.

Easily find which sportsbook offers the best line to maximize returns!

https://t.co/RiaUjTtaMH

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

FREE ACCESS: Jack Flaherty's player page.

 https://t.co/pPbzsBAHek

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

MLB Player Spotlight: Jack Flaherty
Detroit Tigers Starting Pitcher

Home vs Away Splits
Home Starts: 6.62 strikeouts per game (8 games)
Away Starts: 4.11 strikeouts per game (9 games)

Jack Flaherty's strikeout totals differ by 2.51 Ks per game across ballparks...

[Nebula Insights @Nebula_Insights]

Overall Jack Flaherty's stats:
All Starts: 8-9 Ks O/U, averaging 5.29 strikeouts with a mean strikeout line of 5.44 Ks per game.

Interpretation:
Flaherty's props are more appealing for home starts this season.

Check out Nebula Insights for stats & more.
https://t.co/io2EggTtaN