Ned Young

North American.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

So the enemy decides they need more fear of us among the hivemind's cannon fodder, and also whatever neutrals there still are. They get a cosplay photo shoot together to add images to their inventory. Trouble is, they have no idea what a real threat from the good guys would look like (see "how many Finnish snipers are in this picture?") so they stage something that looks more like preppies-at-Halloween than preppers-on-the-march.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

"Never appoint a woman with a hyphenated last name to anything. That's as much of a tell as a septum ring." -- A female friend

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Penelope Keith has died. Always liked her.
https://t.co/sptfnW03LO

[Ned Young @Ned689]

In this war the wombs of the invaders are bomb bays.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

If you have been concerned about the end of security updates for Windows 10 this October, you'll be happy to know that Microsoft has extended the security updates end date to October 12, 2027.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

"The technologists don't understand philosophy, and the philosophers don't understand technology." -- Paul Marshall

[Ned Young @Ned689]

"Without truth, kindness is a placebo."

-- Paul Marshall

[Ned Young @Ned689]

The easiest way to think outside the box
Is never to have been *inside* the box.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Anyone interested in writing something about the current regime in New York City and the days of the Paris Commune? I suspect there's something there, but I'm not the one to write it.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

About the shooter's manifesto: Good lord, if you're going to be deranged, could you at least be entertainingly flamboyant about it? A banal manifesto is embarassing.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Peace is an unnatural state. It can be established only by force and maintained only by the credible threat of force. To believe anything else is foolish, terminally foolish.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

The Big Dog is doing his job. Everyone on the planet is better off when the Big Dog is on duty. Under Trump the USA is an effective Big Dog, unlike those times when the dog was controlled by fleas, the parasites that neither want nor comprehend the responsibilities of the position--their goal always and only is to make the whole planet flea-ridden.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Power attracts allies.
Weakness attracts only those who see you as prey.

[Tom Kratman @TKratman]

From Martin Iles, reposted:

Having lived in the USA for nearly two years, I've realised something.

The USA and the remainder of the Western world are no longer aligned.

We all laugh and mock when the Americans say, "Freedom!" because we truly think we're as free as they are.

Wrong. We're not. Not even close. The laws, the mindset, and the behaviour, is totally different in this regard.

Most of all, the governments are totally different. The USA's convictions around core freedoms are on a scale we do not share.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump wins the popular vote, the electoral college, the House, and the Senate... a man who, in every other Western country, is held in open derision, if not contempt.

For these and other reasons, we are not the same.

Yet the West, including Australia, fully expect to rely on the USA for our very survival.

If the world turns bad (which will happen - only a question of time), then the whole West, without America, is toast.

So, you may ask - if we're not very aligned ideologically, then it must be that we bring something to the party militarily?

Well, no... actually... we don't matter that much militarily.

The USA has about 470 ships in its navy, including 11 aircraft carriers, 69 submarines, 75 destroyers... plus 110 new ships in the pipeline.

Australia has about 30, including 3 destroyers, 7 frigates and 7 outdated submarines. The UK does a little better, with about 60.

Meanwhile, the US has over 14,000 military aircraft. A staggering number.

Australia has 252 military aircraft. The UK has 556.

The US army has just shy of 1,000,000 uniformed personnel in its military. Australia has about 45,000.
The USA spends 3.4% ($968 billion) of its GDP on defence. Australia spends 2% ($36.4 billion). The US spends as much as the next 15 largest military-spending countries (including China) combined.

The USA has a fighting culture. The men shoot things (a lot) and hunt things, the veterans get favoured in everything from parking spots to boarding planes. A uniformed young man is thanked in the street a dozen times a day.

"Oh, the Americans and their guns!" we say, in our smug way. Yes, they have a warrior culture. We do not. We don't have to, because we're a leech on theirs.

How many young British men are willing to fight for their country? Now ask the same regarding young American men. The difference is about as wide as it could be.

Militarily, we don't offer squat.

Meanwhile, look at the way Australia works against America's interests by loving on China. China made us rich and we stay close. This is a Marxist regime with expansionist aims.

Again, you have to spend time in the USA to realise just how vast a gulf there is between us on China.

Europe, too. They let China have their way everywhere from Germany to Greenland, all the while importing Islam and sending their own people to court for saying hurty words.

Somehow, we have landed the deal of a lifetime with the USA that says, "when the baddies come, you'll save us ok?" Because we can't save ourselves.

And we live in peace. But we keep gnawing away at freedoms, keep enabling China, and get flabby and disinterested about our military because Uncle Sam's got it.

And, let's be honest, Americans are widely looked down on. To add insult to injury, we don't think that highly of our protectors.

So, the USA is finally saying "enough." I am here, I can tell you what the vibe is, and that's it. Trump is doing what people want in this regard. They're over it.

And we come across all shocked and hard done by. We behave like people with no self-insight at all.

Yes, the global alliance system is all over the place now. From America's perspective, it's about time.

And I must say, though I be a proud Australian, I am forced to agree. Something has to change.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Perhaps it appears unseemly when someone dances on another's grave, but it should tell you something when they had to book a time slot to do it.

[Roko 🐉 @RokoMijic]

Ethnic property rights and phenotypic discrimination

When I think about the simplest truths that almost everyone is wrong about, perhaps the simplest and most important is the pervasive idea that we shouldn't discriminate against people on the basis of their race or ethnic group. It is treated as a dogma on almost the entire political spectrum in The West (though there are notable exceptions and hypocrisies like DEI).

But I actually think it is right to discriminate in this sense and for a somewhat deceptive reason.

We now know pretty much for certain that ethnic groups have different "bulk average psychological properties" ranging from the notorious IQ to things like trust, clannishness and criminality. The evidence for persistent and systematic group differences in humans is really completely overwhelming.

But for a long time, people who believe this have countered that the solution to persistent and systematic group differences is just meritocracy in civic life and in immigration policy.

The logic is that if someone happens to be from ethnic group A which has undesirable average traits Tₐ then you can just give them a test, and if their Trait value T is above your cutoff, you can let them in.

You then end up with a mixed civic country where everyone has high trait values, so it is a very good place.

But in reality that is not what happens.

Why?

There are several ways that mixed populations are worse than uniform populations.

-- Illegibility: A uniform population that is the same quality as a mixed population is equal in quality but higher in legible quality. Anyone can see that someone is white. But if someone is from some distant ethnic group and claims to have passed some test, even if that is true, it's harder for a random member of the public to actually know that. Legibility matters in group politics because it creates shared common knowledge when something goes wrong. When something goes wrong with an illegible system, it can easily be covered up.

-- Ethnic Prison Games: Mixed populations may cooperate in good times and then fragment back along tribal lines in bad times. This is basic game theory, see prison gangs.

-- The Univariate Fallacy: When you take into account correlations between traits, groups that overlap on each individual axis may actually not overlap at all in vector space.

-- Group selection: Many important traits like trust are public goods subject to group selection not individual selection. The tribe is meant to survive and thrive together. People who sacrifice themselves for the greater good can only sustain that in a group that is genetically related enough to them. Mixed groups likely bring in both individual and clan defectors. Games with lots of movement between groups will reliably produce less prosocial behavior. Prosocial traits are something you could try to test for but at the present time, just knowing that someone is from a highly clannish place is a big warning sign.

-- Culture transplantation: empirically, groups tend to bring their culture with them when they move. Rather than assimilating, they change the place they move to. This regrettably combines poorly with democracy - autocratic regimes with a limited franchise like the Gulf States are much more resistant and can absorb a lot of foreigners who have no voting rights and are sent back after a certain time.

Highly mixed, diverse populations are a "tool of Moloch". They reward bad actors.

Ethnic homogeneity is really a kind of property right: nations sort of collectively own their ethnos. When you violate that property right, people suffer in the same way that they would suffer if private property rights were abolished and anyone could just use any property they could get their hands on.

You can even think of the human body as a "collective ethnic property right" of its cells, and generally if you introduce a lot of foreign organisms into the body that results in either the other organisms being destroyed by the immune system, or death of the host because those foreign organisms have bad incentives - it's not their body, so they just plunder it.

Immigration generally works well when the immigrating group is ethnically close to the host group. If they are also culturally close, it will work even better.

Writing this down it really does seem quite obvious: a bit of microeconomics plus some game theory and biology makes a very clear case that nations should be ethnostates unless there is a really compelling reason not to be.

This gives a "bell curve" meme:

The simpleton is an unthinking racist who only wants to be around his own group.

The midwit is a cosmopolitan who thinks that if you can just filter people by measurable traits, you can have a nation of any ethnic mix. The

Gigabrain realizes that actually a whole bunch of second order effects mean that mixed groups have much higher enforcement costs, lack legibility, are riskier and should be expected to need to be either authoritarian or very politically unstable.

Phenotypic discrimination is rational.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

I think that it's possible, given their heavy participation in mental health fields, that the enemy has been stockpiling people whose mental condition makes them candidate useful idiots/cannon fodder. The cosplay "therapists" don't have to choose someone specific to send into battle--specifics don't matter. It's enough for the "therapists" as a group to rachet up the tension on their candidates as a group. One or several unstable people will act out, producing the enemy's needed martyr.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

https://t.co/lOcvMhQNLh

[Aravind @aravind]

Countries thinking there's going to be a global reset creating a China led world order, as CCP has made everyone believe for years are mistaken.

The US has already put in place a sequence of events that is going to prevent this, and put China in its place, starting with the election of Donald Trump - as I had written months before he got elected (attached post).

The US has already taken control of Panama canal and Venezuela. It is a matter of time before Cuba and all of South America are in US control.

The US also wants Russia on its side and Russia will mostly pivot. It knows about the China influenced US deep state that created the Ukraine war and also removed Trump in 2020.

It knows China is quietly taking over Russia's north east and may invade one day. It knows China's partnership with the US was one of reasons for the fall of the USSR. For which China got rewarded with business and tech by the US.

Russia will silently pivot to be friendly with the west as soon as the Ukraine war is ended (the old DS is still preventing this influencing Europe against US wishes.)

The US is already at work in Iran. Once the regime goes, most of the middle east will be under US control. Nepal, Sri Lanka, Maldives, Pakistan, Bangladesh all have already been prepared to be under US fold. China has lost influence in South Asia.

The US is also in control of most of the world's energy except Russia's. It is getting control of all shipping lanes and channels, especially if it exerts control on Greenland, which it is trying and may get, directly or indirectly.

Those who can see all these events and connect them can understand what's happening. To think somehow China will be able to break the US hegemony, collapse the dollar without collapsing itself, and upend the world order in its favor is delusional as of now.

A delusion created by the China propaganda in the last decade by influencing most of world's mainstream media and infiltrating world's social media. Not just people but many countries are still in this delusion I think.

The CCP, of course, is not going to collapse without a fight causing a lot of issues in the world.

Now, where this fight will be and how it will be done is anybody's guess. But my opinion has been it won't go for Taiwan. It won't go fight the US directly or indirectly. Which rules out Japan, Phillipines, and Korea.

That leaves only India and Vietnam. But Vietnam's own communist party seems more aligned with China now. So that's why I say China will create conflict with India when things start going south at home.

Because this conflict is manageable with no risk of US intervention and no threat of India escalating it into a devastating nuclear war as a responsible power.

And by using Pakistan, it has a possibility of a limited propaganda win to keep citizens in China supporting the CCP.

It already made preparation for this starting a conflict in 2020 during Covid when China was sure everything was going as per plan. It has tested India, found weaknesses and strengths, prepared itself to fill gaps, and is sitting tight for the next move.

But whatever move China makes, the US will ensure it gets trapped and weakened. Be it India or Taiwan, be it another plandemic or planned dumping of US treasuries to hit the dollar, China can't escape without issues. Being a single party dictatorship, the political collapse is inevitable one day.

India or the US can fight a war, lose some territory or strategic interest to China, the worst that can happen is public disillusionment, protests, a collapse of the govt and a new one elected. Think about this in China's case. This is where it is headed as economic issues hit.

And that economic hit and manufactured recession is coming, mostly in the next two years (after mid terms), created by the US by Trump's actions, trade wars, and takeovers around the world.

[Ned Young @Ned689]

Mandatory recycling is compelled religious observance.