#BTC
Historically, buying Bitcoin below old All Time Highs from the previous cycle has been an immensely profitable strategy
Of course, there is still scope for additional downside for $BTC over the next few months and so even better entries likely lay ahead
But at a high level, investors who bought Bitcoin at current prices will probably be very happy with their entries, years from now
#Crypto #Bitcoin
#BTC
One of the major mistakes many people have made about Bitcoin is thinking a bottom was in already (Denial)
But months from now, a major mistake will be to think Bitcoin will continue to go lower, even after it has actually bottomed (Bearish Euphoria)
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
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#BTC
Bitcoin has only just started deviating below the 200-week SMA
The significance of this is that historical Bear Market Bottoming out formations have started to develop via such deviations
$BTC #Crypto#Bitcoin
#BTC
Many are asking why I drew the Macro Downtrend this way
I drew it in late November 2025 (and haven't changed it since) as a speculative line of best fit which proved to have been an almost picture-perfect rejection point for the January 2026 upside wick
Though Bitcoin missed this trendline by barely 3%, the Downtrend has been proven to be a valid reaction point for price and it will probably continue to be that way
The best trendlines are the ones that are drawn based on timeless TA principles ahead of time and then later their credibility is verified by price reacting from them
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Bitcoin
if you can handle a bit of chop and manage to not freak out over micro movements, this will be a great year for you.
2026: 100-120k
2027: New ATH
#BTC
Bitcoin would need to break back above the Macro Triangle base ($82500) and break the Macro Downtrend to invalidate the Four Year Cycle
Until then, calls for the 4 Year Cycle being over are premature
$BTC #Crypto#Bitcoin
$BTC So far following the same course as the last two times we saw this pattern play out in this down trend.
If we'd see a further escalation (ground troops deployed), I think the $50Ks are a very realistic scenario. I would personally be adding quite a bit more spot Bitcoin & Ethereum in that region over time. But no rush in making any decision obviously.
If not, and this blows over, I still want to see the bulls retake the $72K level to show strength. That would invalidate this "pattern" that has been playing out a few times now.
In the end I will just let the charts speak. Especially with the amount of misinformation and fake headlines out there.
March is closing in 4 days. Here's what nobody's talking about:
Sixth consecutive red monthly candles. Last time BTC printed 6 red months in a row was 2018. What followed was +320% rally in 2019.
But this time it's not going to go the way you think...
Every major bottom in BTC history happened when monthly candles looked exactly like this. Boring. Quiet. Ignored. So is this the bear bottom?
Unlikely - here's why:
We'll get some reliefs here and there but overall it seems we're not even halfway through the bear market. I'll walk you through 3 different perspectives now.
> Performance: Bear market years drop -66% on avg. From $87.5k yearly open, north star is $30k or another -55% drop from here. Not in straight line of course.
> Cycles: 4-year cycle consists of 3-year bulls and 1-year bears. We're month 6 out of 12. Worked for all past cycles. Why would it not work now?
> Patterns: just because a pattern worked last time does not mean it will work now. Most likely it won't. May well be a coincidence. A random pattern is meaningless.
Seeing another -55% drop in next 6 months wouldn't be anything unusual. In fact, it would be absolutely normal.
And if I were to shoot my shots, I guess $30-40k in Q4.
I don't have a crystal ball so do with that what you want.
My tip is hope for the best but be ready for the worst. Plan how you'll tackle the bottom whenever it comes.
What's your plan for April?