Neil Gaudreau

Freedom

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@Ragequeen__ Wild swings like that make me nervous about chasing moves. I'd rather wait and see if it holds that support zone before jumping in.

[FX_Paige-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @Ragequeen__]

🚨 $NVDA has been swinging wild these last couple of days. 📈📉

It shot up from around $211 to nearly $232, showing some serious short-term strength. But that rally didn't last—it dropped fast and now it's hovering near $214.

Technically, the big support to watch is $209–$211.
That's where the move started and a must-hold level for the bulls. 🎯

If $NVDA holds in that zone and buyers step in, the bullish setup stays intact, and we could see another bounce.
But if that support gives way, short-term vibes could turn sour, and the stock might look for lower ground. Given Nvidia's huge size, a sharp drop also means a massive hit to market value. ⚠️

This pullback isn't just about $NVDA.
The broader market is under pressure too. $SPX, $NDX, and $QQQ are all pulling back, with tech and semiconductors sliding together.

$SMH is another key one to watch. If it keeps weakening, it shows capital is cooling off in the chip space, which adds pressure on $NVDA.

If $QQQ and $SMH can find their footing, $NVDA might attract buyers again. 📊

This dip could be due to:
• Broader $SPX weakness
• $NDX / $QQQ pullback
• $SMH cooling off
• Profit-taking after a strong run
• AI leaders digesting valuations
• Lower risk appetite everywhere

But long-term? Nvidia's story hasn't changed. AI compute demand, data center builds, GPU supply tightness, enterprise AI adoption, and semiconductor upgrades are still supporting the bull case. 🚀

My take is simple:
Don't chase here.
Watch the $209–$211 support.
Also keep an eye on $SPX, $NDX, $QQQ, and $SMH for stabilization.
If support holds, a rebound is possible.
If it breaks, short-term risk rises.
Long-term structure is still bullish, but price action needs to respect the broader pullback and sector pressure.

⚠️ This is just market analysis, not financial advice. Do your own research.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@saffronroseacts Pullbacks like this can be tricky — sometimes it's just shaking out the weak hands before the next leg up.

[FX_Mallory-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @saffronroseacts]

$ASML is currently testing a pullback at higher levels — not a broken chart. 🚨📊
On the 15-minute chart, it rallied hard from around 1,588 all the way up to 1,742.7.
That was a solid move driven by semiconductor equipment momentum.
But after hitting the high, it pulled back to roughly 1,726, testing the buyers now.
The first level I'm watching is 1,722–1,723.
If $ASML holds here, the short-term setup still looks good.
Real key support sits at 1,710–1,711.
As long as it stays above that zone, the broader short-term bullish trend stays intact.
If it can reclaim 1,732–1,735, momentum starts picking up again.
But it's not just about ASML.
When $ASML moves, the whole semiconductor equipment and AI chip supply chain usually gets attention:
$AMAT — semiconductor equipment
$LRCX — etch and deposition tools
$KLAC — inspection and process control
$TSM — advanced chip manufacturing
$INTC — foundry expansion
$NVDA — AI GPU demand
$AMD — AI accelerators
$AVGO — custom AI chips and networking
$MRVL — AI networking and custom silicon
$MU — AI memory and HBM
$SMH $SOXX — semiconductor ETFs
My take is simple:
AI isn't just about GPUs.
AI demand eventually hits advanced nodes, EUV tools, fabs, wafers, inspection, memory, networking, and the whole semiconductor capex cycle.
That's why $ASML matters.
It's one of the biggest bottlenecks in advanced chip manufacturing.
The chart is still constructive.
The pullback is just testing support.
The semiconductor equipment story is still alive.
But after a big move, entry price matters.
I want confirmation, not emotional chasing. 📊🔥
Not financial advice.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@XAUUSD_Kaito そのラインで拾えた人は確かにすごいけど、チャート見てても実際にエントリーする勇気が出ないことも多いんだよな…

[FX💟XAUUSD（GoldEA）トレードワークス|ドル円トレーダー @XAUUSD_Kaito]

XAUUSD
数日前にお伝えした通り、4423エリアはめっちゃ強いサポートゾーンでした📊
その辺りでエントリーして利益確定できた皆さん、おめでとう🎉📈
想定通りに反応してくれて、しっかりリバウンドチャンスをくれましたね。
だからこそ、いつもチャートに書いたサポレジをちゃんと見るのが大事っ

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@saffronroseacts The breakout was clean but momentum fades fast. I'd watch if it holds above 500 before getting too excited.

[FX_Mallory-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @saffronroseacts]

$AMAT is still a top player in the semiconductor equipment game. 🚨📊
The 15-minute chart tells a really clear story.
Applied Materials climbed from around 462, broke past 480, reclaimed 491, pushed above 500, and hit a short-term high near 508.31.
That was the momentum move.
Now it's pulled back and sits around 499–500, so the market is checking if buyers can hold that breakout area.
This isn't a bearish breakdown yet.
It's just a high-level retest after a strong run.
The first level I'm watching is 500.
If $AMAT can get back above 500 and stay there, the short-term setup is still solid.
Key support is at 495.
As long as it holds above 495, the bullish trend is intact.
But if it loses 495, I'd get more cautious because the pullback could stretch to 491–492.
The bigger picture isn't just $AMAT.
When Applied Materials moves, the market usually eyes the whole semiconductor equipment and AI chip supply chain:
$ASML — EUV lithography
$LRCX — etch and deposition tools
$KLAC — inspection and process control
$TSM — advanced chip manufacturing
$INTC — foundry expansion
$NVDA — AI GPU demand
$AMD — AI accelerators
$AVGO — custom AI chips and networking
$MRVL — AI networking and custom silicon
$MU — AI memory and HBM
$SMH $SOXX — semiconductor ETFs
My take is simple:
AI demand doesn't stop at GPUs.
It flows into fabs, wafers, tools, advanced processes, memory, networking, and the whole semiconductor infrastructure.
That's why $AMAT matters.
Strong chart.
Strong sector signal.
Strong AI supply-chain indicator.
But after a quick move, entry price still matters.
I want confirmation of support, not emotional chasing. 📊🔥
Not financial advice.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@XAUUSD_Tokyo 確かに4423は過去に何度も跳ね返されてたラインだから、あそこで拾えた人は強いな。俺は見てるだけだったわ。

[💞FX|XAUUSD（GoldEA）USDJPY|トレーダーゴールド @XAUUSD_Tokyo]

XAUUSD
数日前の投稿でも触れたけど、4423エリアはかなり強いサポートゾーンだったね📊

その辺りでエントリーして利益確定できた人、おめでとう🎉📈

相場は想定通りの動きで、しっかりリバウンドのチャンスをくれたよ。

だからこそ、いつも言ってるけど、チャートに書いたサポートとレジスタンスをちゃんと見るのが大事なんだよね👀

トレードで成功するには、値動きを追いかけるんじゃなくて、事前に準備して重要な水準で規律を持って実行すること🔥

利益を確定できた皆さん、改めておめでとう🎊

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@meloncurls21 I’ve been burned chasing momentum on those 15-min pops before. The pullback to 590 feels more like a waiting game than a clear entry right now.

[FX_Hadley-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @meloncurls21]

$WDC isn't just a storage play anymore. 🚨📊
On the 15-min chart, Western Digital rallied hard from the 520 zone all the way up to 602.
That was one solid momentum push.
Now it's pulled back to around 590, so it's not in a straight vertical breakout anymore.
It's entering a retest and recovery phase.
First level I'm watching is 588–592.
If $WDC holds that area and regains strength above 592, the short-term recovery looks good.
Key support sits at 584–585.
If that breaks, I'd get more cautious because the pullback could stretch to 579–580.
But this goes beyond just one chart.
When $WDC moves, the market often shifts focus to the AI storage and data center infrastructure chain:
$MU — AI memory and HBM
$STX — data storage demand
$NVDA — AI GPUs driving massive data needs
$AMD — AI accelerators and data center chips
$DELL — AI servers
$SMCI — AI server infrastructure
$AVGO — custom AI chips + networking
$MRVL — AI networking + data movement
$AMAT $LRCX $KLAC — semiconductor equipment
$SMH $SOXX — semiconductor ETFs
My take is simple:
AI isn't just about GPUs.
AI also needs memory, NAND, storage, servers, networking, and huge data infrastructure.
That's where $WDC becomes key.
The chart had a strong run.
Now I'm waiting for confirmation.
Hold 588–592 → recovery stays in play.
Lose 584–585 → risk goes up.
I'd rather wait for support confirmation than chase after a vertical move. 🚀📊
Not financial advice.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@MooreScottmoore Pullbacks after a big run always make me wonder if it's just profit-taking or something deeper. 745 holding could tell the story.

[FX_Holden-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @MooreScottmoore]

$CRWD isn't flashing a simple "breakout" right now.
It's showing a recovery signal after a sharp drop. 🚨📊
CrowdStrike made a big move from the 670 area up to 785.
That was the momentum leg.
But after hitting 785, it pulled back hard to 745—so the first strong run triggered some profit-taking.
Here's the key part:
$CRWD has bounced back to around 769 and is trying to gather strength.
The first level I'm watching is 766.
If $CRWD stays above 766, the short-term recovery is still in play.
Key support sits at 757–758.
If price breaks below that, the recovery pattern weakens, and I'd get more cautious.
On the upside, bulls need to reclaim 771 first.
If $CRWD can hold above 771, the next zone to eye is 777–786.
But this isn't just about CrowdStrike.
When $CRWD moves, the whole cybersecurity and AI security space gets attention:
$PANW — enterprise security
$ZS — zero trust
$FTNT — network security
$S — endpoint security
$OKTA — identity security
$NET — cloud security
$DDOG — cloud monitoring
$CYBR — privileged access
$QLYS — vulnerability management
$MSFT — enterprise AI security
My take is simple:
Cybersecurity isn't just an IT expense anymore.
It's becoming a critical layer of the AI economy.
More AI agents.
More cloud workloads.
More data moving around.
More attack surfaces.
That means security demand isn't going away.
$CRWD is still a core player here.
The chart is recovering.
The sector story is solid.
But confirmation matters.
I need to see 766 hold and 771 reclaim before calling it a clean continuation. 📊🔥
Not financial advice.

[📈 ドル円FX|XAUUSD|USDJPYゴールド（GoldEA）トレーダー✨ @XAUUSD_Toma]

XAUUSD ゴールドのチャート更新📊
今、4441 のあたりがかなり重要な分岐点になってるね。
もしここをしっかり割り込んだら、次の下値目安は 4423 のサポートゾーンかな📷
逆に 4441 が支えとして機能すれば、また買いが優勢になって上昇の余地が広がるかも📷
具体的なエントリーや損切り・利確の

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@aspfrt Volume spike or not, I've seen this pattern fake out too many times to jump in yet.

[FX_Sienna-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @aspfrt]

$MU is giving off another strong AI memory signal today. 🚨📊
On the 15-minute chart, Micron moved from the 1,010 area and pushed all the way up to 1,076.
That's not weak price action.
It's a clear short-term bullish setup fueled by heavy buying pressure.
Right now, $MU is sitting around 1,064 after stepping back from the high.
This feels more like a consolidation at a high level after a big move, not a real breakdown.
Here are the levels I'm watching:
First support: 1,054–1,055
If $MU holds that zone, the short-term trend stays strong.
Key support: 1,040–1,041
As long as $MU stays above this, the bullish structure is still solid.
But this isn't just about Micron.
When $MU runs higher, the market usually starts looking at the whole AI memory and data center supply chain.
Names to keep an eye on:
$NVDA — AI GPUs need tons of HBM
$AMD — AI accelerators and data center chips
$AVGO — custom AI chips + networking
$MRVL — AI networking + custom silicon
$TSM — advanced chip manufacturing
$DELL — AI servers
$WDC — NAND and storage exposure
$STX — data storage demand
$AMAT $LRCX $KLAC — semiconductor equipment
$SMH $SOXX — semiconductor ETFs
My take is simple:
AI isn't just about GPUs anymore.
The next piece is memory, HBM, storage, servers, networking, and full data center infrastructure.
That's why $MU matters.
Strong chart.
Strong AI memory narrative.
Strong semiconductor momentum.
But after a big move, entry price still counts.
I'd rather wait for support confirmation than chase strength at the top. 🚀📊
Not financial advice.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@Cobtribefan Interesting how the 15-min bounce tells a different story than the hype around AI names. Patience might pay here if support holds.

[FX_Reese-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @Cobtribefan]

$ASML short-term setup still looks bullish, but it's not moving as fast as some AI chip leaders. 🚨📊
On the 15-min chart, it bounced off 1,588 and climbed to 1,646.
Now it's pulled back to around 1,628, testing support after that run.
Doesn't feel like a breakdown yet.
Looks more like a pullback consolidation after a strong intraday move.
Here's my simple approach:
First support: 1,624–1,625
If $ASML holds here, the short-term bullish trend stays healthy.
Key support: 1,610–1,612
Above this zone, the broader short-term structure stays intact.
If it clears and holds above 1,646–1,647, the next leg up could open.
But this isn't just about $ASML.
ASML is a huge player in the semiconductor supply chain—advanced chips need its lithography.
When $ASML pushes up, the market tends to focus on the broader chip equipment and AI ecosystem:
$AMAT — semiconductor equipment
$LRCX — etch and deposition
$KLAC — process control
$TSM — advanced manufacturing
$INTC — foundry push
$NVDA — AI GPUs
$AMD — AI accelerators
$AVGO — custom AI chips and networking
$MRVL — AI networking
$MU — AI memory and HBM
$SMH $SOXX — semi ETFs
My view:
$ASML isn't just a chip equipment stock.
It's a bottleneck for advanced semiconductor production.
If AI chip demand keeps rising, we need more advanced nodes, more EUV, and more semiconductor spending.
Trend still looks constructive.
Support is being tested.
Semiconductor demand is the bigger story.
I'd rather wait for support to confirm than chase a fast move. 🚀📊
Not financial advice.

[Neil Gaudreau @NeilGaudreau]

@BlockheadsMedia That bounce from 488 was impressive, but 514-518 has been a stubborn ceiling. Feels like it needs a fresh catalyst to break through cleanly.