8278

8278

[0x_Miko @Mikocrypto11]

一个清华学生，把 Anthropic 的 AI 用成了 Polymarket 上的提款机
$1,430 → $1,550,750

而且素材里给出的数据更夸张：
44,364 笔交易
100% 胜率
单笔最大盈利 $23,600
这个账号叫 k9Q2m

按这段素材的说法，他不是靠运气，也不是靠猜
而是把 6 套对冲基金常用公式 同时塞进 bot 里，每个 tick 都跑一遍
多数人还在判断
这个 bot 直接算

它跑的 6 个核心模块是：
1）LMSR Pricing
Polymarket 的价格沿对数曲线变化
bot 会提前算出自己的进场会带来多大价格冲击
比如市场给 BTC 5 分钟上涨 31¢，模型却判断这段曲线已经错价，于是先进去等修正

2）Kelly Criterion
每一笔都按最合适的仓位去下
不会大到把账户打爆，也不会小到没意义

3）EV Gap Detection
它一直在扫一个东西：
市场价格到底错了多少
比如市场给 30¢，真实概率被它算到 55¢，那 EV 就直接转正，触发进场

4）KL-Divergence
BTC 5 分钟 和 15 分钟 市场本来就有关联
一旦两边漂开，它就当成套利信号
当统计距离超过 0.2，就开始标记机会

5）Bayesian Updates
新区块确认
成交量异动
价格跳动
这些新信息一进来，它就立刻更新概率
先验是 54%，新数据进来后，后验可能直接跳到 71%

6）Stoikov Execution
不是看到机会就冲
它会继续算一个更合适的执行价格
只在风险调整后仍然成立的位置成交

真正执行的时候，不是满足一个条件就下单。
而是这 6 层一起过筛：
LMSR 确认错价
EV gap 超过 5%

Kelly 允许仓位
Bayesian posterior 同意
KL-divergence 发现相关漂移
Stoikov 放行执行价格
只有这样，才会进场。=

也就是说，这已经不是普通意义上的“交易 bot”了
更像是一套 对冲基金框架，被搬进了 prediction market
素材最后那句其实点得很直白：

数学是公开的
edge 也是真的
真正的差别只在于：
大多数人从来没把它真正搭出来
这种把 6 个量化过滤器 同时塞进 Claude，再去跑 Polymarket 的打法，你觉得是未来的标准配置，还是只适合极少数真能把系统搭起来的人？

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@sparringimsu Do you have lucid normal team yet ?

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@jiji_eth @BountyTemple

[Bounty Temple @BountyTemple]

📣 It’s official
K Rune Mint Date is locked in
🗓️ July 25 to August 8
🕙 10 AM ET on @Rarible
🔗 https://t.co/hKwQFupcDc

🎮 Player Tiers in Bounty Temple
Bounty Temple has several tiers of players, suitable for everyone:
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This Friday, the day is set!
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⸻

K-rune giveaway
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4. Follow @BountyTemple on X
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⸻

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[方源 @aFangYuan]

不知道是 #GameFi 项目熄火了，还是因为我的关注点不在这个板块？最近没有什么特别爆火的gamefi了？

朋友分享了一个链游 Bounty Temple ，号称可以打破传统GameFi模式，让玩家通过K-Rune确权。

说白了就是利用NFT+经济模型一直继承游戏收益，而不是简单的游戏赚币变现离场。每个K-Rune拥有自己的核心特质，特质被每一个后来诞生并绑定的BTM，都可以获得1%的特质分润收益。

这样就可以简单理解，谁先建立起来特质矩阵，发展更多的BTM绑定，就有更多的永久红利收益。

@BountyTemple 将于7月12日和13日晚上8:30（UTC+8），在OpenSea 首发。

传送门可以收藏一下：
https://t.co/bCRYNnF3Bc

#GameFi #NFT

[克己 @KEJI_BTC]

🚨 GameFi 升级，不再是打金机器，而是“特质即资产”的新纪元。

💥 $TYT 生态系统正式上线「特质经济模型」——你铸造的不是NFT，而是一串能不断繁殖收益的DNA 🧬。

⛩️ @BountyTemple 全新玩法开启：

🧬 K-Rune：链上DNA铸造符文

K-Rune 不只是 NFT，它代表一种特质（攻击、防御、治愈、加速等），是 Gen-Zero BTM 的“遗传基因”。

每个 K-Rune 铸造出的 Gen-Zero BTM（游戏角色），都永久绑定你的符文特质，并将你的收益权写入合约中。

📌 每次转售，创作者都能获得 1% 收益分润
📌 无限代级联传承，收益叠加不设限
📌 链上身份绑定，代表你在 GameFi 中的“特质帝国”

你不再只是玩家，而是协议里的基因共建者。未来每一个和你绑定的角色交易或使用，你都能从中受益。

💡 特质网络 ≠ 打金工厂

这是 GameFi 首次将“创作者分润”与“链上基因传承”结合，NFT 的价值来源不再是稀缺性，而是结构性分润。

你不是在“玩NFT”，你是在创造别人玩的NFT。

✅ 越早铸造，网络越大，未来每一代角色的收益都与你有关。

📅 时间：7月11日 20:30（UTC+8）
📍平台：OpenSea
🎫 每个钱包限购 4 个铸造包，先到先得！

🧬 铸造属于你的特质DNA，打造一条链上可遗传、可放大、可持续分润的收益矩阵。
这不仅是“Play to Earn”，更是“Play to Be Remembered”。

[Bounty Temple @BountyTemple]

THE BETA TEST STARTS IN 24HRS!

Are you ready? 👀 Stay tuned for more!

#BountyTemple #P2EE #GameFi #TYT

[Bounty Temple @BountyTemple]

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#BountyTemple $TYT #KRunePower #GameFi #P2EE #NFTUtility

[Bounty Temple @BountyTemple]

💰 Bounty Awaits, Brave Staker! 🏆
Stake 10,000 $TYT and enter our STAKE & WIN RAFFLE 🎟️
Contest ends: 11th June at 12pm UTC
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#BountyTemple #GameFi #P2EE #NFTMarketplace #PlayToEarn

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@PiNewsMedia @kunkka

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

🔥 FunFi Awakening: 15 Minutes Daily to Master the Money Storm!

🤔 What Can 15 Minutes Do? How to become a millionaire in 15 minutes of fun?

Those idle moments – scrolling social media while waiting for your coffee, those 15 minutes before sleep, or that lunch break you usually waste – into actual wealth-building opportunities.😊 These fragments of time, when used wisely, can literally make you a millionaire while having fun! 💵This is where CATTEA's revolutionary FunFi concept comes in – the perfect fusion of entertainment and finance that makes building wealth as enjoyable as playing your favorite game.🎮

CATTEA offers a game-changing solution—play just 15 minutes daily to earn $1 in 🪙$CATTEA. As "The Latte Factor" teaches, invest these earnings at 20% annual return with daily compounding. This simple habit, through the mathematical magic of compound interest formula A = P × (1+r)^t (A = 1 × ((1+0.20)^40 - 1)/(0.20 × 365), accumulates to an astonishing $9,827,460 over 40 years! Yes, you read that right—nearly $10 million from just $1 earned during 15 minutes of daily gaming! 💰

But how exactly do you earn these life-changing 🪙$CATTEA? Through pure FUN!😁 Just play our addictive Match-3 puzzles where each satisfying "pop" showers you with $CATTEA, complete daily challenges with just a few effortless taps to instantly earn massive rewards, or manage your bubble tea shop that keeps generating 🪙$CATTEA even when you're offline! The joy multiplies through our social features – invite friends and permanently earn Extra 10% of their earnings without lifting a finger! Everything about CATTEA is designed for maximum entertainment with minimum effort – no complicated rules, no stress – just pure, relaxing fun that happens to build your financial future while you enjoy every second!

The future of finance isn't about spreadsheets and sacrifice—it's about FUN and prosperity! 🚀 With over 2.8 trillion 🪙$CATTEA tokens already distributed and hundreds of millionaires created, the CATTEA revolution is transforming how humanity builds wealth. Your daily 15 minutes of joy could become the foundation of your financial empire! This isn't just a game—it's the dawn of the FunFi era where financial freedom is accessible to anyone with a smartphone and 15 minutes to spare. Your millionaire journey starts with a single tap today! 💎

15 minutes a day to play, millions earned the easy way. CATTEA leads the FunFi Era! 🪙- https://t.co/vh0xPvSzuj

#Cattea #Drink2Airdrop #Match3

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@Jiaowobaobao123 4.88u

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

WHEN LIFE GIVES YOU DEPRESSION, CATTEA GIVES YOU $CATTEA AIRDROP: 🪙

Real ones know – daily Cattea recharge > everything. 🔋

Cattea, It's a drink to earn Meow-ment! 🧋- https://t.co/tKjLxHuP23

#Cattea #Drink2Airdrop #Match3

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

⭐️Cattea Goes Global with LINE Mini Dapp!
Cattea is now on LINE Mini Dapp! Jump in and start your Drink-to-Earn journey with incredible Launch Event and Rewards. 🎁

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Cattea, It's a drink to earn Meow-ment! 🧋
#MiniDapp #MiniDappOnLINE #Cattea

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

Last 1 day Before Cattea Goes Live on LINE Mini Dapp:The Secret's Out!
Why are all the Meows purr-paring for tomorrow's Cattea launch? Hint: A Tesla Model Y, 20×iPhone 16 Pro Max, and a mountain of 🪙CATI tokens are up for grabs! Act now, the countdown is on!

Cattea, It's a drink to earn Meow-ment! 🧋
#Cattea #Drink2Airdrop #Match3

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

🐱Early Meows, attention! In just 2 days, Cattea hits LINE Mini Dapp with exclusive early access bonuses!
Find LINE Mini Dapp and get ready for Extra 🪙Cattea: Welcome Reward + Referral Rewards! The early Meow catches the treat! 😊

Cattea, It's a drink to earn Meow-ment! 🧋
#Cattea #Drink2Airdrop #Match3

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@OGCommunity_X @BountyTemple $TYT pumping . TARGET 5usdt

[Catrix (Cattea) @CatrixXyz]

Let's take a look at @CatteaAI tokenomics!

Check this out, up to 75% of tokens are dedicated to AirDrop!🚀 Don't hesitate, invite your friends to join Cattea！

MM 7%: TGE 100%
Marketing 10%: TGE 100%
Community 75%: TGE 100%
Develop 8%: TGE 0 & Cliff 12 months, vesting 12 months

Cattea, It's a drink to earn Meow-ment!🧋😘

#Cattea #Tokenomics #Drink2Airdrop

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@tvbzify $TYT

[8278 @NeinOoi]

@laofeiyyds 发