Neural Loom🪡

obsession with common sense, the scientific method and social science.

👨‍🔬the nurse of philosophy.

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@KhoaVuUmn sorry guys what is io...

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@INTERIORPORN1

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@svdgsb + человек в квоуте говорит о том, почему мы такие бедные, если умные => речь о производительности труда, соотв-но нужно использовать gdp per capita😇

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@svdgsb совокупный ввп по ппс не имеет смысла, т.к. из-за поправки цен на ппс ты сравниваешь херовый российский сыр с хорошим французским, приравнивая. проще говоря, не учитывается международная востребованность производимых в стране товаров и услуг. логичнее пользоваться номинальным

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@deadmarco5 "Просто не надо участвовать в хуйне"

[Anish Moonka @anishmoonka]

Christina Koch was a firefighter at the South Pole at -111°F before she ever applied to be an astronaut. That was maybe the fourth most interesting line on her resume. She grew up in North Carolina, got three degrees from NC State, and her first real job was building deep-space instruments at NASA.

Then she left for Antarctica. Spent three and a half years bouncing between the Arctic and Antarctic as a research scientist, including a full winter at the South Pole base. That means going months without sunlight or fresh food, with a crew of about 50 people and no way out until flights resume. While she was down there, she also joined the glacier search-and-rescue team.

After coming back, she went to Johns Hopkins and built instruments for two NASA missions (one of them is still orbiting Jupiter right now). She figured out how to start a tiny vacuum pump that NASA designed for a future Mars rover. Johns Hopkins nominated it for their Invention of the Year in 2009. Then she went back to the field. More time in Antarctica and a stretch up in Greenland. A government research station in northern Alaska, near the top of the world. Then she ran another one in American Samoa, near the equator.

In 2013, NASA selected her from 6,300 applicants. Eight people got in. Her first space mission was supposed to be a normal rotation on the International Space Station, but NASA extended it. She ended up staying 328 straight days and orbiting Earth 5,248 times, covering about 139 million miles (roughly 291 round trips to the Moon). Up there, she ran over 210 experiments, including tests of cancer drugs in zero gravity and 3D printers that can build structures close to human tissue. Six spacewalks, 42 hours floating outside the station. She learned Russian for the training. She flies supersonic jets.

Right now, Koch is on Artemis II, heading for a flyby behind the far side of the Moon. The crew launched on April 1 and is on track to travel about 252,000 miles from Earth, which would break the all-time human distance record of 248,655 miles set by Apollo 13 in 1970. That record has stood for 56 years, and it was set during a disaster that nearly killed the crew. Fred Haise, one of the Apollo 13 astronauts, is 92 now. He told Koch: "I heard you're going to break our record."

Nobody had left Earth's neighborhood since December 1972. Koch and her three crewmates are the first in 53 years, and they are coming home at about 25,000 mph. That is faster than any crewed spacecraft has ever come back through the atmosphere.

[уважаемые пассажиры @dear_passengers]

а я всем скажу. знаки тоже будут, но я всем скажу. у меня язык как помело.

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@rythm_sister шелти! (шерсть далеко не такая сложная, как кажется)

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@DerArto

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@Ronya22Mtr для такого больше подходят подросшие дети, но и в менее автономном состоянии их нянчить тоже охота, все хорошо

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@Ronya22Mtr конечно!! особенно учить их интересным вещам, посвящать в разные сферы бытия, заинтересовывать в технике, космосе, науках... мечта.

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@Yarmonov_pro @Peonichka да, есть аргументированные возражения. это модель для вводного учебника по макро. у нее очень много допущений, которые не соответствуют американской действительности. Трампа цель — сократить дефицит торг баланса, это не сработает. тут не учтены никакие вторичные эффекты.

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@DefMon3 https://t.co/rI1RkKCg3d

[Olivier Blanchard @ojblanchard1]

With apologies, a long tweet, about the likely macroeconomic outcomes of Liberation Day.

Tariffs can be imposed for understandable if not necessarily good reasons: Protect a sector, right or wrong. Extract rents from foreign producers if there are rents to be extracted. Sure, if there is retaliation, everybody will be worse off, but it maybe worth taking the risk.

Across the board tariffs, which sounds like what we are going to get, are however the worse possible tariffs. They are bad for the country that imposes them, even without retaliation.

Standard scenario: The initial effect of higher tariffs may look good: Lower imports. Higher demand for domestic goods. Smaller trade deficit.

But, with the smaller deficits, and the higher interest rates needed to keep demand under control, appreciation of the dollar (say), less competitive exports. Until trade deficit is back to square one.

So: Useless? Worse. Costly reallocation from exports to import competing sectors. Misallocation. And for the revenues from tariffs: They are there, but in the end, they are paid mostly by US consumers.

A relevant twist, which changes the standard scenario: The enormous uncertainty about Trumps’s tariff policy: Are the tariffs transactional or permanent? Will they remain/increase/decrease?

In that environment, if I am a firm, what do I do? Build a plant in Mexico or in the US, in Vietnam or in China, etc. I do not know, and so I wait. We all wait. Investment comes down, aggregate demand falls, and the effect is a recession.

Now the trade balance improves, for two reasons. The direct effect of tariffs, and lower activity means lower imports. As the Fed tries to maintain activity, lower interest rates and a lower dollar mean more exports. Looks great. Claim of success on the trade front (if you can make people forget the recession)

But only for a while. Over time, as the economy recovers, you go back to the first scenario. The depreciation eventually turns into an appreciation, activity recovers, the trade deficit returns to square one Overall result: a recession, no gain. A general mess.

We shall see how it all turns out.

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@randomnikanona и в заключении — у тебя в тексте не просто много спорных моментов, а просто куча подлогов и откровенного бреда. как же вы заебали все, сотрудники свтв, просто короли манипуляций, лжи и подлогов

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@randomnikanona тебе стоит учесть, что даже сильнейшие ученые с прекрасными эмпирическими доказательствами + теоретическим объяснением механизмов не пишут ничего так, как будто это истина в последней инстанции.

а писать сомнительные тейки про невозможность прыгнуть выше наследуемого iq — позор

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@randomnikanona помимо того, что не нужно, основываясь на пачке корреляций, писать о чем-то со 100% уверенностью, также стоит перед написанием такого спича проверить, существуют ли альтернативные выводы среди сильных ученых и чекнуть их аргументы

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@notashk @KYKYPY3A_B — друг мечты)) очень не хватает в окружающих людях тяги к истине и искреннего стремления продвигать максимально рациональный взгляд на мир, а он меня прямо каждый день радует стабильным выполнением этой функции в твиттере) и крутой мужик в целом

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@beretsthief посоветуйте брату углубиться в американскую конституционную историю, меня в том же возрасте это очень надолго увлекло)
можно посмотреть материалы общего характера, а потом, к примеру, прочитать "Федералист" Мэдисона

[Neural Loom🪡 @Neural_Loom]

@SEgiev This is something of a rebuttal to the "alternative" paths to economic growth. Almost all of them stood on American foundations, but shouted that they were quite different.