2026 College Basketball Sports Betting Conclusion:
This college basketball season my ensemble model performed at a 54.54% accuracy rate (majority underdogs)
Profit: +28.62 Units (+28.62% ROI)
My goal for this season was +30 Units and I was just off, but nonetheless very happy with this season's results.
To put this into perspective, over the span of just a single college basketball season, my ensemble model outperformed:
YEARLY Returns For:
Major index funds, some of the top listed hedge funds, etc. In other words, my continuous goal to use predictive analytics/probability theory to execute mathematically rational decisions for financial profit in the sports betting market continues to prove that it is a completely legitimate method of investment.
NOW ONTO THE MLB!
6/4/26 MLB Sports Betting Picks
PICK #1: San Diego Padres Moneyline
Odds: +169
Model Probability: 43.49%
Expected Value: 16.99%
Risk: 1.67%
Potential Profit: 2.82 Units
The rest of today’s picks will be attached to this post.
PICK #4: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Odds +178
Model Probability: 51.38%
Expected Value: 42.84%
Risk: 4.37%
Potential Profit: 7.77 Units
That’s all for today’s picks. I will have an analysis video posted shortly.
Enjoy!
Hey, man! Great to hear.
My unit size is 1% of my bankroll, that way using kelly criterion is as simple as possible. So when I say “risk 1.99%”, that means risk 1.99 units since 1 unit represents 1% of my bankroll. If a unit was 5% of my bankroll then that’d be 5x1.99 which would be a risk of 9.95 units which, in my opinion, is way too high of leverage
First pick of the day cashes, that also being today’s highest mathematical edge pick.
This starts the day off hot and guarantees us profit for the day regardless of the Padres pick
Starting off today up 2.44 units🔥📈
6/3/26 MLB Sports Betting Picks
PICK #1: New York Mets Moneyline
Odds: +123
Model Probability: 50.88%
Expected Value: 13.46%
Risk: 1.99%
Potential Profit: 2.44 Units
PICK #2: San Diego Padres Moneyline
Odds: +182
Model Probability: 41.31%
Expected Value: 16.49%
Risk: 1.51%
Potential Profit: 2.74 Units
That’s all for today’s picks. I will have an analysis video posted soon!
Enjoy!
@ParkerR87236h I didn’t post an analysis video for the Guardians/Yankees game. I only do videos on my highest edge picks but, in the future, I do want to do multi pick analysis videos for sure.
6/2/26 MLB Sports Betting Picks
PICK #1: San Diego Padres Moneyline
Odds: +123
Model Probability: 54.29%
Expected Value: 21.07%
Risk: 3.11%
Potential Profit: 3.82 Units
The rest of today’s picks will be attached to this post.