@TrisOsborneMP I see you are assuming I am suggesting Kemi will win- I didn’t
I just think your claim that it is a 2 horse race doesn’t stack up these days- on present polling you will be largest party without a majority
And as you say Lab lost a 10point lead from 2012
@TrisOsborneMP Certainly true that eating into the Green’s vote is helpful for Labour, but still very much in coalition territory I think it’s fair to say - happy to be shown otherwise
The “value of the property
“ for tax purposes has baffled many countries who have tried a wealth tax. Spain uses the last sale transaction which of course whilst concrete, means two homes next door to each other & exactly the same could be paying vastly different annual tax
The problem with any annual tax based on property value is that property values aren’t ‘real’. We are living through a massive housing bubble where prices have been artificially inflated by cheap credit over decades. The current ‘value’ of someone’s home - especially if they’ve owned it for a long time - may not bear any relation to how much disposable income they have and certainly doesn’t reflect the amount of local services they consume. The tax as proposed by Burnham would therefore be just as arbitrary as the current council tax system. It would be better to name it a ‘proximity to the City of London’ tax.
Labour have managed to exceed worst youth unemployment rates than achieved during a global pandemic - this really has to be a top priority of the government to fix the problem they created 👇👇
I can speak with experience
There was life before Parliament and there definitely is life after
Sometimes the best laid plans just don’t survive contact with reality
Exc: Grant Shapps believed to be one of at least 10 ex Tory MPs who have failed their assessments as Badenoch overhauls selection process
https://t.co/aKDkUf57Bi
Let’s look again in Jan at this post, because the underlying issues @MontieUSA points to are driving VI for Reform & that matters. Will they really change?
But …@andyburnham is a good communicator & like it or not, that also matters,damned if I know how much though
The lack of any big (short-term) shifts in headline voting intention is not what I expected and suggests that much of the electorate isn't in a hurry to return to the old two-party system.
This is a reality that deserves more recognition from - in particular - the pro-Tory talking heads who are so dominant at The Times and Mail. They consistently over-focus on the personal ups and downs of individual politicians and consistently underestimate the ongoing impact of endless economic disruption, deepening cultural division, declining public sector performance and the similar politicisation of both method and personnel that voters see in Lib, Lab and Con.
Yep, in this focus on the long-term under-currents to their daily lives voters are wiser than most pundits.
@KarlTurnerMP Blimey - I agree with your predecessor 🧐
Too many new Labour MPs fill their social media feed blaming the Tories …they will learn
Have a good weekend
Spot on 👇
But the last administration thought it clever to be doom and gloom and keep blaming the Tories, forgetting the electorate had already punished them and then wanted leaders to offer hope not fear
.@andyburnham has come across more positive in the 5 days that he’s been PM than our government have in 2 years. It’s not what you do (necessarily) it’s how you do it, and (crucially importantly) how you communicate the good stuff you’ve done. Looking forward to week 2 with a spring in my step, warmth in my heart and positivity in my head. 🌹
Yes. And it never works ever to blame the previous administration. It’s just psychology. Blame the previous government is tantamount to saying you voted for them and they effed it up. Might as well say “you stupid idiots”. Same as Brexit if you think we’d have been better off remaining fine but don’t say “I told you so”. Goes down like a bucket of spew. Clever dickery isn’t very clever. It’s stupidity, in fact. My predecessor the late, great John Prescott used to say don’t blame the last lot for your own misgivings get on and change it. Don’t complain, campaign. Better off saying we inherited challenges and we think we can improve matters by doing this or that but we’d be really grateful for your support in letting us try to make things better.
“Let’s just remind people, it was the Conservatives who set the cap at £2 when in office, and then you as Labour, under Keir Starmer, put it up to £3. So you’re only bringing it back to what the Conservatives set it at originally”
Car crash interview.
One of the improvements we’re making to our candidate selection process is screening for this tendency. Conservatives are weeding out the self-absorbed who come into politics because they couldn’t get into showbiz.
For these poseurs, being an MP is not about legislating to make people’s lives easier, safer and richer but a platform to campaign for their personal hobby-horses and other self-promoting activity.
They waste a lot of Parliament’s time with trivia, creating unwelcome delays and distraction from their colleagues’ work and focus on serious matters.
First @YouGov poll of the Burnham premiership shows a tight contest, with a small +1 point bump for Labour.
Best result for Labour since January, but movements within margin of error.
Continues the trend of a narrowing race between Reform, Labour and Tories in recent months.
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