@ChrisWh08370492 However, i'm not sure about my take. If he was smart and/or maxxing his potential profits, he should at least sell some during the jury results, even at a loss. ๐ซ๐ฎ was dead quite early.
@ChrisWh08370492 Actually played the market perfectly imo. Had walls on several countries. Resulted to keeping some prices down while cementing ๐ซ๐ฎ on top. Could cashout for a big profit but didn't. My guess is he had ๐ง๐ฌ+ others covered on sportsbooks/exchanges. If not he is crazy or very rich lol
I know nobody gives a shit right now but it will be hilarious to see plenty of poor man's Bangarangas in Sing for Greece 2027..
#Eurovision#eurovisiongr
@khrebareaalne@ChrisWh08370492 As Chris said, it happens and it's okay. Your honesty is very much appreciated and refreshing to see in a community where no one ever loses..
@RemetSantos May be harsh with this but ofc it goes when you're pretty confident pre-contest and all season long that Finland's path to win is through the juries, and their actual chance to win tele is below 5%. As I said you will not hit every time but in the long run doubling down is value
๐งต Time to write down lessons learned for #Eurovision next year.
Feel free to share down below yours as well!
This year taught (or reminded) me the following:
1/ Most In-play trading/betting are dumb money or hedging. Be confident and PILE on what you think will happen.
@RemetSantos When scores are keep coming its not mainly about predicting anymore, but responding to what's actually happening. When J results were over, ๐ซ๐ฎ was nowhere near 25-30% as the market suggested on BF. The scenario of ๐ซ๐ฎ overlapping ๐ง๐ฌ in tele while remaining above ๐ฎ๐ฑ was next to 0%
@UTelega88106 Don't actually agree with the first one. Early betting can def be value. We might overrate how smart it is but still.
The tricky part is to be able to change your mind and not be anchored by your early positions. My season begun with backing ๐ซ๐ท outright and ended laying top-10
๐ง๐ฌdoesnโt fall into this category. Was overlooked for long but people loved the song eventually, staging/performance led to the landslide. When it got exposed outside the bubble it exploded immediately. I expect very good streaming success for ๐ง๐ฌand endless partying in the summer
4. No amount of staging can elevate a mediocre song to a winning song. Yup, it's about you ๐ฆ๐บ. Itโs a song contest. Buffled how I backed them this week after a long season of being very vocal and bullish against their chances. Lucky I sold some.
Want to give a shout out to @ChrisWh08370492. Consistently sharp with his predictions but most importantly with his insight.
Must admit he was one of those that pushed me in the ๐ง๐ฌ hype train and luckily I was early enough to get 75 odds in the outright.
Follow him!
#Eurovision
@Barwineewindas Thanks a lot man! Appreciate your contribution to our community too!
Some distractions were in my feed this year, you were definitely not a part of it. Can't wait for next year!
Super excited with the results and overall journey!
๐ง๐ฌ Superb winner, finally Eurovision is back to the Balkans! Perfect year for huge profit when a dark horse wins.
๐ท๐ด I'm so happy for it. Betting aside, it was my favorite this year and was bullish about their upside
#Eurovision
#Eurovision Final Predictions:
Winner: ๐ฆ๐บ
Top-5 (random order): ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ท
Rest of Top-10 (random order): ๐ฎ๐น ๐ซ๐ท๐ท๐ด๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฐ
Last Place: ๐ฆ๐น
Betting wishes:
Winner: ๐ฆ๐บ/๐ง๐ฌ/๐ท๐ด
Top 5-10/ Best Balkan: ๐ท๐ด๐ง๐ฌ
Top-10: ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฑ
Not Top-10: ๐ธ๐ช๐ซ๐ท
Not Top-15: ๐จ๐พ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฒ๐น
Last Place: ๐ง๐ช
Good luck everyone!
#Eurovision Final Predictions:
Winner: ๐ฆ๐บ
Top-5 (random order): ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ท
Rest of Top-10 (random order): ๐ฎ๐น ๐ซ๐ท๐ท๐ด๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฐ
Last Place: ๐ฆ๐น
Betting wishes:
Winner: ๐ฆ๐บ/๐ง๐ฌ/๐ท๐ด
Top 5-10/ Best Balkan: ๐ท๐ด๐ง๐ฌ
Top-10: ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฑ
Not Top-10: ๐ธ๐ช๐ซ๐ท
Not Top-15: ๐จ๐พ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฒ๐น
Last Place: ๐ง๐ช
Good luck everyone!