How we break down the market at TML Investors
Each week we track four key indicators:
▫️ Cycle — Where are we in the current market trend? ▫️ Breadth — What percentage of stocks are participating?
▫️ NH/NL — Are new highs outpacing new lows?
▫️ Outlook — Bull, Neutral, or Bear?
By tracking these metrics week over week, we stay in tune with the market's health and position ourselves on the right side of major moves.
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From the TML Investors Watchlist
4 positions | Avg TML: 89 | Avg Fund: 82 | Avg Tech: 75
Current watchlist:
▫️ MU (Micron Technology) — TML: 100 | Fund: 95 | Tech: 100
▫️ SNDK (Sandisk) — TML: 96 | Fund: 74 | Tech: 99
▫️ NVDA (Nvidia) — TML: 89 | Fund: 100 | Tech: 43
▫️ Q (Qnity Electronics) — TML: 70 | Fund: 60 | Tech: 58
Spotlight: Micron (MU)
Theme: AI infrastructure and buildout.
Fundamentals: Two consecutive years of triple-digit annual earnings growth with estimates calling for triple-digit again in 2026. Eight quarters of triple-digit earnings growth with estimates poised to accelerate to mid-triple-digits through 2026.
Technicals: Building a 3-week stage 3 consolidation into the 10-week MA. RS line in new high ground, holding up exceptionally well given the choppy, volatile tape.
Execution: Buy at breakout over $455.50, max stop 10% below entry.
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Palantir is a great reminder of why CAN SLIM still works. True market leaders begin to assert themselves before the market environment improves.
At the breakout in August 2024, PLTR already checked the boxes:
• Explosive earnings acceleration
• Strong and improving sales growth
• RS line in new high ground
• Heavy money flow / accumulation
The market backdrop was ultra bearish. That didn’t matter.
True market leaders separate themselves before conditions feel comfortable.
PLTR went on to run over 230%. The crystal ball wasn’t required. The numbers were already on the table.
An example from our portfolio this week: Micron
The data storage stocks have had a phenomenal run with super clean price action and now pushing into new highs.
Starting to look extended here. That's not a sell signal, but it's a reminder to manage risk and stay disciplined.
It’s Model Book Wednesday.
Each week, we study a true market leader from the prior year and document it exactly as it appeared at both the buy and sell point.
This builds confidence, sharpens pattern recognition, and proves that these patterns still work in real markets.
Below we feature Celestica and its ~91% run in 2025.
Look at the ratings at the breakout!!! Just like O'Neil taught: the numbers were already on the table. No crystal ball required.
Our top-10 rated stocks in the market as of last week.
Elite earnings power. Strong sales growth. Leading relative strength.
This is what leadership looks like when the market is working.
$FIX $KGC $KRMN $AEM $MU $PAAS $NGD $NEM $BE $WPM
An example from our watchlist this past weekend.
Bloom Energy ($BE) is setting up again after a strong advance in 2025. We're watching it closely as it builds the right side of its base.